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J1 League · 3rd place June 06, 2026 07:00 National Olympic Stadium, Tokyo
FC Tokyo
#2 · 27 pts
1 – 3
Final score
Cerezo Osaka
#12 · 14 pts
R. Sato (ast. L. Nozawa) 62'
10' (ast. M. Shibayama) S. Homma
(pen.) 35' S. Sakuragawa
43' (ast. M. Shibayama) S. Sakuragawa
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The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave FC Tokyo a 54% win probability (draw 20%, Cerezo Osaka 25%). The final result was FC Tokyo 1–3 Cerezo Osaka. In 1 previous meetings, FC Tokyo have won 0 times, with 1 draws and 0 wins for Cerezo Osaka.

Match statistics
13
Total shots
9
4
Shots on target
6
3
Saves
3
53%
Possession
47%
11
Corners
1
19
Tackles
16
1
🟨 Yellow cards
2
Match Events
5'
10'
ast. M. Shibayama · S. Homma⚽
↕ K. Sato / L. Nozawa
29'
35'
(pen.) S. Sakuragawa⚽
43'
ast. M. Shibayama · S. Sakuragawa⚽
60'
A. Ohata / K. Noborizato ↕
↕ K. Endo / K. Tawaratsumida
61'
↕ Marcelo Ryan / F. Yamada
61'
⚽R. Sato · ast. L. Nozawa
62'
66'
Thiago Andrade / S. Sakuragawa ↕
67'
K. Yoshino / S. Kagawa ↕
69'
M. Shibayama
K. Hashimoto
73'
↕ K. Koizumi / K. Higashi
76'
↕ K. Tokiwa / T. Ogashiwa
76'
79'
T. Nakamura / S. Homma ↕
79'
S. Uejo / M. Nakajima ↕
89'
D. Cools
Pre-match prediction
54.32%
FC
20.04%
X
25.64%
Cerezo ←
we assigned to the actual result (Cerezo Osaka) 25.64% (low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
FC
2.22
—
—
Cerezo
1.49
—
—
League Table
#Team GPts
1 Machida Zelvia Machida Zelvia 12 27
2 FC Tokyo FC Tokyo 12 27
3 Sanfrecce Hiroshima Sanfrecce Hiroshima 12 26
4 Kashiwa Reysol Kashiwa Reysol 12 25
5 Vissel Kobe Vissel Kobe 12 23
6 Kawasaki Frontale Kawasaki Frontale 12 22
7 Urawa Urawa 12 21
8 Kashima Kashima 12 20
9 Yokohama F. Marinos Yokohama F. Marinos 12 18
10 Fagiano Okayama Fagiano Okayama 12 16
11 Nagoya Grampus Nagoya Grampus 12 14
12 Cerezo Osaka Cerezo Osaka 12 14
13 Shimizu S-pulse Shimizu S-pulse 12 14
14 V-varen Nagasaki V-varen Nagasaki 12 12
15 Gamba Osaka Gamba Osaka 12 11
16 Kyoto Sanga Kyoto Sanga 12 10
17 Mito Hollyhock Mito Hollyhock 12 9
18 Tokyo Verdy Tokyo Verdy 12 8
19 Avispa Fukuoka Avispa Fukuoka 12 7
20 JEF United Chiba JEF United Chiba 12 7
Lineups
FC Tokyo FC Tokyo 4-4-2
1 Hayate Tanaka Hayate Tanaka G 6.20
42 K. Hashimoto K. Hashimoto D 5.70
17 H. Inamura H. Inamura D 6.90
24 A. Scholz A. Scholz D 7.00
2 S. Muroya S. Muroya D 6.20
22 K. Endo K. Endo 61' M 7.20
27 Kyota Tokiwa Kyota Tokiwa 76' M 6.20
37 K. Koizumi K. Koizumi 76' M 6.70
16 K. Sato K. Sato 29' M 6.70
23 Ryunosuke Sato Ryunosuke Sato 1 ⚽ F 9.60
9 Marcelo Ryan Marcelo Ryan 61' F 6.20
Bench
71 F. Yamada F. Yamada 29' M 6.70
32 K. Doi K. Doi D
10 Keigo Higashi Keigo Higashi 14' M 7.20
33 K. Tawaratsumida K. Tawaratsumida 29' M 7.00
28 Leon Nozawa Leon Nozawa 1 👟 61' F 7.20
3 M. Morishige M. Morishige D
15 R. Omori R. Omori D
11 T. Ogashiwa T. Ogashiwa 14' F 6.20
58 Wataru Goto Wataru Goto G
Cerezo Osaka Cerezo Osaka 4-2-3-1
23 Kosuke Nakamura Kosuke Nakamura G 7.30
6 K. Noborizato K. Noborizato 60' D 6.90
44 S. Hatanaka S. Hatanaka D 6.60
4 R. Inoue R. Inoue D 7.20
27 Dion-Johan Cools Dion-Johan Cools D 7.60
10 S. Tanaka S. Tanaka M 6.90
13 M. Nakajima M. Nakajima 79' M 6.30
19 S. Homma S. Homma 1 ⚽ 79' M 7.50
8 S. Kagawa S. Kagawa 67' M 7.20
48 M. Shibayama M. Shibayama 2 👟 M 7.90
9 S. Sakuragawa S. Sakuragawa 2 ⚽ 66' F 8.20
Bench
66 A. Ohata A. Ohata 30' D 6.70
3 Hayato Tanaka Hayato Tanaka D
5 H. Kida H. Kida M
21 Jin Hyeon Kim Jin Hyeon Kim G
35 Kyohei Yoshino Kyohei Yoshino 23' M 6.90
7 S. Uejo S. Uejo 11' M 6.70
11 Thiago Andrade Thiago Andrade 24' F 6.30
2 T. Nakamura T. Nakamura 11' D 6.90
39 Wigi Kanemoto Wigi Kanemoto F
Best on the pitch
Ryunosuke Sato
Ryunosuke Sato
F · FC
9.60
1 ⚽
2 shots · 56 pass
S. Sakuragawa
S. Sakuragawa
F · Cerezo
8.20
2 ⚽
2 shots · 19 pass
M. Shibayama
M. Shibayama
M · Cerezo
7.90
2 👟
2 shots · 46 pass
Dion-Johan Cools
Dion-Johan Cools
D · Cerezo
7.60
1 shots · 28 pass
S. Homma
S. Homma
M · Cerezo
7.50
1 ⚽
1 shots · 20 pass
Kosuke Nakamura
Kosuke Nakamura
G · Cerezo
7.30
· 27 pass
FC Tokyo FC Tokyo — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
Hayate Tanaka G 90 6.20 — — — 28 23% — — —
K. Hashimoto D 90 5.70 — — — 40 29% 1 1 —
H. Inamura D 90 6.90 — — — 83 74% 5 — —
A. Scholz D 90 7.00 — — 1 74 66% 4 — —
S. Muroya D 90 6.20 — — 2 26 22% 2 — —
K. Endo M 61 7.20 — — — 17 14% 1 — —
Kyota Tokiwa M 76 6.20 — — 3 28 24% — — —
K. Koizumi M 76 6.70 — — 1 25 23% 1 — —
K. Sato M 29 6.70 — — — 10 8% 1 — —
Ryunosuke Sato F 90 9.60 1 — 2 56 48% 3 — —
Marcelo Ryan F 61 6.20 — — 1 7 6% — — —
F. Yamada M 29 6.70 — — 2 7 6% — — —
Keigo Higashi M 14 7.20 — — — 11 10% — — —
K. Tawaratsumida M 29 7.00 — — — 17 14% — — —
Leon Nozawa F 61 7.20 — 1 1 20 17% 1 — —
T. Ogashiwa F 14 6.20 — — — 8 6% — — —
Cerezo Osaka Cerezo Osaka — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
Kosuke Nakamura G 90 7.30 — — — 27 18% — — —
K. Noborizato D 60 6.90 — — — 41 35% 1 — —
S. Hatanaka D 90 6.60 — — — 52 47% 2 — —
R. Inoue D 90 7.20 — — — 47 40% 1 — —
Dion-Johan Cools D 90 7.60 — — 1 28 22% 3 1 —
S. Tanaka M 90 6.90 — — — 49 42% 1 — —
M. Nakajima M 79 6.30 — — 3 34 28% 2 — —
S. Homma M 79 7.50 1 — 1 20 18% — — —
S. Kagawa M 67 7.20 — — — 50 44% 1 — —
M. Shibayama M 90 7.90 — 2 2 46 36% — 1 —
S. Sakuragawa F 66 8.20 2 — 2 19 16% 1 — —
A. Ohata D 30 6.70 — — — 7 5% — — —
Kyohei Yoshino M 23 6.90 — — — 6 5% 2 — —
S. Uejo M 11 6.70 — — — 2 1% — — —
Thiago Andrade F 24 6.30 — — — 6 5% 1 — —
T. Nakamura D 11 6.90 — — — 5 2% 1 — —
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of FC Tokyo vs Cerezo Osaka?
The final score was FC Tokyo 1–3 Cerezo Osaka.
What did the model predict before FC Tokyo vs Cerezo Osaka?
The model assigned 54% probability to a FC Tokyo win, 20% to a draw, and 25% to an Cerezo Osaka win.