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J1 League · 3rd place June 06, 2026 07:00 Ajinomoto Stadium, Tokyo
FC Tokyo
#15 · 0 pts
1 – 3
Final score
Cerezo Osaka
#3 · 0 pts
R. Sato (ast. L. Nozawa) 62'
10' (ast. M. Shibayama) S. Homma
(pen.) 35' S. Sakuragawa
43' (ast. M. Shibayama) S. Sakuragawa
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The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave FC Tokyo a 54% win probability (draw 20%, Cerezo Osaka 25%). The final result was FC Tokyo 1–3 Cerezo Osaka. In 1 previous meetings, FC Tokyo have won 0 times, with 1 draws and 0 wins for Cerezo Osaka.

Match statistics
13
Total shots
9
4
Shots on target
6
3
Saves
3
53%
Possession
47%
11
Corners
1
19
Tackles
16
1
🟨 Yellow cards
2
Match Events
5'
10'
ast. M. Shibayama · S. Homma⚽
↕ K. Sato / L. Nozawa
29'
35'
(pen.) S. Sakuragawa⚽
43'
ast. M. Shibayama · S. Sakuragawa⚽
60'
A. Ohata / K. Noborizato ↕
↕ K. Endo / K. Tawaratsumida
61'
↕ Marcelo Ryan / F. Yamada
61'
⚽R. Sato · ast. L. Nozawa
62'
66'
Thiago Andrade / S. Sakuragawa ↕
67'
K. Yoshino / S. Kagawa ↕
69'
M. Shibayama
K. Hashimoto
73'
↕ K. Koizumi / K. Higashi
76'
↕ K. Tokiwa / T. Ogashiwa
76'
79'
T. Nakamura / S. Homma ↕
79'
S. Uejo / M. Nakajima ↕
89'
D. Cools
Pre-match prediction
54.32%
FC
20.04%
X
25.64%
Cerezo ←
we assigned to the actual result (Cerezo Osaka) 25.64% (low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
FC
2.22
—
—
Cerezo
1.49
—
—
League Table
#Team GPts
1 Mito Hollyhock Mito Hollyhock 0 0
2 Avispa Fukuoka Avispa Fukuoka 0 0
3 Cerezo Osaka Cerezo Osaka 0 0
4 Tokyo Verdy Tokyo Verdy 0 0
5 Kyoto Sanga Kyoto Sanga 0 0
6 Nagoya Grampus Nagoya Grampus 0 0
7 Shimizu S-pulse Shimizu S-pulse 0 0
8 Yokohama F. Marinos Yokohama F. Marinos 0 0
9 Kawasaki Frontale Kawasaki Frontale 0 0
10 Kashiwa Reysol Kashiwa Reysol 0 0
11 JEF United Chiba JEF United Chiba 0 0
12 Vissel Kobe Vissel Kobe 0 0
13 Urawa Urawa 0 0
14 Sanfrecce Hiroshima Sanfrecce Hiroshima 0 0
15 FC Tokyo FC Tokyo 0 0
16 Kashima Kashima 0 0
17 Gamba Osaka Gamba Osaka 0 0
18 Fagiano Okayama Fagiano Okayama 0 0
19 Machida Zelvia Machida Zelvia 0 0
20 V-varen Nagasaki V-varen Nagasaki 0 0
Lineups
FC Tokyo FC Tokyo 4-4-2
1 Hayate Tanaka Hayate Tanaka G 6.20
42 Kento Hashimoto Kento Hashimoto D 5.70
17 Hayato Inamura Hayato Inamura D 6.90
24 Alexander Scholz Alexander Scholz D 7.00
2 Sei Muroya Sei Muroya D 6.20
22 Keita Endo Keita Endo 61' M 7.20
27 Kyota Tokiwa Kyota Tokiwa 76' M 6.20
37 Kei Koizumi Kei Koizumi 76' M 6.70
16 K. Sato K. Sato 29' M 6.70
23 Ryunosuke Sato Ryunosuke Sato 1 ⚽ F 9.60
9 Marcelo Ryan Marcelo Ryan 61' F 6.20
Bench
71 Fuki Yamada Fuki Yamada 29' M 6.70
32 Kanta Doi Kanta Doi D
10 Keigo Higashi Keigo Higashi 14' M 7.20
33 Kota Tawaratsumida Kota Tawaratsumida 29' M 7.00
28 Leon Nozawa Leon Nozawa 1 👟 61' F 7.20
3 Masato Morishige Masato Morishige D
15 R. Omori R. Omori D
11 Tsuyoshi Ogashiwa Tsuyoshi Ogashiwa 14' F 6.20
58 Wataru Goto Wataru Goto G
Cerezo Osaka Cerezo Osaka 4-2-3-1
23 Kosuke Nakamura Kosuke Nakamura G 7.30
6 Kyohei Noborizato Kyohei Noborizato 60' D 6.90
44 Shinnosuke Hatanaka Shinnosuke Hatanaka D 6.60
4 Rikito Inoue Rikito Inoue D 7.20
27 Dion Cools Dion Cools D 7.60
10 Shunta Tanaka Shunta Tanaka M 6.90
13 M. Nakajima M. Nakajima 79' M 6.30
19 Shion Homma Shion Homma 1 ⚽ 79' M 7.50
8 Shinji Kagawa Shinji Kagawa 67' M 7.20
48 M. Shibayama M. Shibayama 2 👟 M 7.90
9 S. Sakuragawa S. Sakuragawa 2 ⚽ 66' F 8.20
Bench
66 A. Ohata A. Ohata 30' D 6.70
3 Hayato Tanaka Hayato Tanaka D
5 Hinata Kida Hinata Kida M
21 Jin Hyeon Kim Jin Hyeon Kim G
35 Kyohei Yoshino Kyohei Yoshino 23' M 6.90
7 Satoki Uejo Satoki Uejo 11' M 6.70
2 Takumi Nakamura Takumi Nakamura 11' D 6.90
11 Thiago Andrade Thiago Andrade 24' F 6.30
39 Wigi Kanemoto Wigi Kanemoto F
Best on the pitch
Ryunosuke Sato
Ryunosuke Sato
F · FC
9.60
1 ⚽
2 shots · 56 pass
S. Sakuragawa
S. Sakuragawa
F · Cerezo
8.20
2 ⚽
2 shots · 19 pass
M. Shibayama
M. Shibayama
M · Cerezo
7.90
2 👟
2 shots · 46 pass
Dion Cools
Dion Cools
D · Cerezo
7.60
1 shots · 28 pass
Shion Homma
Shion Homma
M · Cerezo
7.50
1 ⚽
1 shots · 20 pass
Kosuke Nakamura
Kosuke Nakamura
G · Cerezo
7.30
· 27 pass
FC Tokyo FC Tokyo — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
Hayate Tanaka G 90 6.20 — — — 28 23% — — —
Kento Hashimoto D 90 5.70 — — — 40 29% 1 1 —
Hayato Inamura D 90 6.90 — — — 83 74% 5 — —
Alexander Scholz D 90 7.00 — — 1 74 66% 4 — —
Sei Muroya D 90 6.20 — — 2 26 22% 2 — —
Keita Endo M 61 7.20 — — — 17 14% 1 — —
Kyota Tokiwa M 76 6.20 — — 3 28 24% — — —
Kei Koizumi M 76 6.70 — — 1 25 23% 1 — —
K. Sato M 29 6.70 — — — 10 8% 1 — —
Ryunosuke Sato F 90 9.60 1 — 2 56 48% 3 — —
Marcelo Ryan F 61 6.20 — — 1 7 6% — — —
Fuki Yamada M 29 6.70 — — 2 7 6% — — —
Keigo Higashi M 14 7.20 — — — 11 10% — — —
Kota Tawaratsumida M 29 7.00 — — — 17 14% — — —
Leon Nozawa F 61 7.20 — 1 1 20 17% 1 — —
Tsuyoshi Ogashiwa F 14 6.20 — — — 8 6% — — —
Cerezo Osaka Cerezo Osaka — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
Kosuke Nakamura G 90 7.30 — — — 27 18% — — —
Kyohei Noborizato D 60 6.90 — — — 41 35% 1 — —
Shinnosuke Hatanaka D 90 6.60 — — — 52 47% 2 — —
Rikito Inoue D 90 7.20 — — — 47 40% 1 — —
Dion Cools D 90 7.60 — — 1 28 22% 3 1 —
Shunta Tanaka M 90 6.90 — — — 49 42% 1 — —
M. Nakajima M 79 6.30 — — 3 34 28% 2 — —
Shion Homma M 79 7.50 1 — 1 20 18% — — —
Shinji Kagawa M 67 7.20 — — — 50 44% 1 — —
M. Shibayama M 90 7.90 — 2 2 46 36% — 1 —
S. Sakuragawa F 66 8.20 2 — 2 19 16% 1 — —
A. Ohata D 30 6.70 — — — 7 5% — — —
Kyohei Yoshino M 23 6.90 — — — 6 5% 2 — —
Satoki Uejo M 11 6.70 — — — 2 1% — — —
Takumi Nakamura D 11 6.90 — — — 5 2% 1 — —
Thiago Andrade F 24 6.30 — — — 6 5% 1 — —
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of FC Tokyo vs Cerezo Osaka?
The final score was FC Tokyo 1–3 Cerezo Osaka.
What did the model predict before FC Tokyo vs Cerezo Osaka?
The model assigned 54% probability to a FC Tokyo win, 20% to a draw, and 25% to an Cerezo Osaka win.