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J1 League · Regular Season - 11 October 21, 2026 12:00 Ajinomoto Stadium, Chofu
FC Tokyo
#2 · 27 pts
0 – 0
Final score
Kashiwa Reysol
#4 · 25 pts
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The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave FC Tokyo a 47% win probability (draw 28%, Kashiwa Reysol 24%). The final result was FC Tokyo 0–0 Kashiwa Reysol. In 2 previous meetings, FC Tokyo have won 1 times, with 0 draws and 1 wins for Kashiwa Reysol.

Match statistics
19
Total shots
12
3
Shots on target
3
1.69
Actual xG
1.08
2
Saves
3
55%
Possession
45%
5
Corners
5
17
Tackles
12
3
🟨 Yellow cards
4
Match Events
Hayato Inamura
12'
44'
Yudai Konishi
45'
Keita Endo / Koya Yuruki ↕
45'
Yoshio Koizumi / Hinata Yamauchi ↕
45'
Wataru Harada / Sachiro Toshima ↕
↕ Kashif Bangnagande / Kota Tawaratsumida
62'
65'
Yusuke Segawa / Shota Fujio ↕
↕ Marcelo / Teruhito Nakagawa
72'
↕ Kein Sato / Fuki Yamada
72'
Hirokazu Ishihara
75'
78'
Mao Hosoya / Tojiro Kubo ↕
79'
Yoshio Koizumi
Alexander Scholz
80'
85'
Wataru Harada
↕ Soma Anzai / Rio Omori
86'
↕ Motoki Nagakura / Dani Gómez
87'
90'+4
Keita Endo
Pre-match prediction
47.22%
FC
28.19%
X ←
24.59%
Kashiwa
we assigned to the actual result (Draw) 28.19% (low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
FC
1.42
1.69
+0.26
Kashiwa
0.71
1.08
+0.37
FC Tokyo dominated by xG (1.69 vs 1.08). The final result does not reflect the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates were accurate.
League Table
#Team GPts
1 Machida Zelvia Machida Zelvia 12 27
2 FC Tokyo FC Tokyo 12 27
3 Sanfrecce Hiroshima Sanfrecce Hiroshima 12 26
4 Kashiwa Reysol Kashiwa Reysol 12 25
5 Vissel Kobe Vissel Kobe 12 23
6 Kawasaki Frontale Kawasaki Frontale 12 22
7 Urawa Urawa 12 21
8 Kashima Kashima 12 20
9 Yokohama F. Marinos Yokohama F. Marinos 12 18
10 Fagiano Okayama Fagiano Okayama 12 16
11 Nagoya Grampus Nagoya Grampus 12 14
12 Cerezo Osaka Cerezo Osaka 12 14
13 Shimizu S-pulse Shimizu S-pulse 12 14
14 V-varen Nagasaki V-varen Nagasaki 12 12
15 Gamba Osaka Gamba Osaka 12 11
16 Kyoto Sanga Kyoto Sanga 12 10
17 Mito Hollyhock Mito Hollyhock 12 9
18 Tokyo Verdy Tokyo Verdy 12 8
19 Avispa Fukuoka Avispa Fukuoka 12 7
20 JEF United Chiba JEF United Chiba 12 7
Lineups
FC Tokyo FC Tokyo 4-4-2
81 Kim Seung-Gyu Kim Seung-Gyu G 6.96
6 K. Bangnagande K. Bangnagande 62' D 7.14
4 H. Inamura H. Inamura D 6.94
24 A. Scholz A. Scholz D 6.72
22 H. Ishihara H. Ishihara D 6.64
7 S. Anzai S. Anzai 86' M 6.23
8 T. Ko T. Ko M 7.42
27 Kyota Tokiwa Kyota Tokiwa M 6.95
10 K. Sato K. Sato 72' M 6.38
26 M. Nagakura M. Nagakura 87' F 6.33
9 Marcelo Ryan Marcelo Ryan 72' F 6.36
Bench
99 Dani Gómez Dani Gómez 3' F 6.79
71 F. Yamada F. Yamada 18' M 6.51
1 H. Tanaka H. Tanaka G 0.00
44 K. Suzuki K. Suzuki D 0.00
33 K. Tawaratsumida K. Tawaratsumida 28' M 6.75
3 M. Morishige M. Morishige D 0.00
15 R. Omori R. Omori 4' D 6.52
20 S. Nagano S. Nagano D 0.00
39 T. Nakagawa T. Nakagawa 18' F 7.14
Kashiwa Reysol Kashiwa Reysol 3-4-2-1
29 K. Nagai K. Nagai G 6.95
2 H. Mitsumaru H. Mitsumaru D 7.12
4 T. Koga T. Koga D 6.85
28 S. Toshima S. Toshima 46' D 6.88
44 K. Yuba K. Yuba M 6.13
39 N. Nakagawa N. Nakagawa M 6.84
21 Y. Konishi Y. Konishi M 6.50
24 T. Kubo T. Kubo 78' M 6.22
16 K. Yuruki K. Yuruki 46' M 6.24
87 H. Yamauchi H. Yamauchi 46' M 6.52
15 S. Fujio S. Fujio 65' F 6.40
Bench
26 D. Sugioka D. Sugioka D 0.00
1 H. Saruta H. Saruta G 0.00
5 K. Endo K. Endo 44' M 6.28
9 M. Hosoya M. Hosoya 12' F 6.56
40 R. Harakawa R. Harakawa M 0.00
42 W. Harada W. Harada 44' D 6.74
8 Y. Koizumi Y. Koizumi 44' M 6.71
20 Y. Segawa Y. Segawa 25' M 6.93
Best on the pitch
T. Ko
T. Ko
M · FC
7.42
2 shots · 67 pass
K. Bangnagande
K. Bangnagande
D · FC
7.14
· 37 pass
T. Nakagawa
T. Nakagawa
F · FC
7.14
· 5 pass
H. Mitsumaru
H. Mitsumaru
D · Kashiwa
7.12
· 65 pass
Kim Seung-Gyu
Kim Seung-Gyu
G · FC
6.96
· 36 pass
Kyota Tokiwa
Kyota Tokiwa
M · FC
6.95
· 61 pass
FC Tokyo FC Tokyo — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
Kim Seung-Gyu G 90 6.96 — — 0 36 29% 0 — —
K. Bangnagande D 62 7.14 — — 0 37 35% 0 — —
H. Inamura D 90 6.94 — — 1 90 78% 4 1 —
A. Scholz D 90 6.72 — — 1 103 90% 0 1 —
H. Ishihara D 90 6.64 — — 0 40 35% 3 1 —
S. Anzai M 86 6.23 — — 3 44 37% 2 — —
T. Ko M 90 7.42 — — 2 67 62% 3 — —
Kyota Tokiwa M 90 6.95 — — 0 61 56% 2 — —
K. Sato M 72 6.38 — — 2 29 24% 2 — —
M. Nagakura F 87 6.33 — — 4 25 21% 0 — —
Marcelo Ryan F 72 6.36 — — 3 16 11% 0 — —
Dani Gómez F 3 6.79 — — 1 7 5% 0 — —
F. Yamada M 18 6.51 — — 1 10 10% 1 — —
K. Tawaratsumida M 28 6.75 — — 1 11 9% 0 — —
R. Omori D 4 6.52 — — 0 4 3% 0 — —
T. Nakagawa F 18 7.14 — — 0 5 4% 0 — —
Kashiwa Reysol Kashiwa Reysol — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
K. Nagai G 90 6.95 — — 0 41 29% 0 — —
H. Mitsumaru D 90 7.12 — — 0 65 59% 2 — —
T. Koga D 90 6.85 — — 0 54 48% 1 — —
S. Toshima D 46 6.88 — — 0 17 11% 2 — —
K. Yuba M 90 6.13 — — 1 42 37% 1 — —
N. Nakagawa M 90 6.84 — — 1 59 52% 2 — —
Y. Konishi M 90 6.50 — — 0 47 40% 0 1 —
T. Kubo M 78 6.22 — — 2 31 26% 1 — —
K. Yuruki M 46 6.24 — — 1 13 12% 0 — —
H. Yamauchi M 46 6.52 — — 2 7 3% 2 — —
S. Fujio F 65 6.40 — — 1 13 10% 0 — —
K. Endo M 44 6.28 — — 1 22 17% 1 1 —
M. Hosoya F 12 6.56 — — 0 3 2% 0 — —
W. Harada D 44 6.74 — — 1 21 19% 0 1 —
Y. Koizumi M 44 6.71 — — 1 31 26% 0 1 —
Y. Segawa M 25 6.93 — — 1 1 1% 0 — —
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of FC Tokyo vs Kashiwa Reysol?
The final score was FC Tokyo 0–0 Kashiwa Reysol.
What did the model predict before FC Tokyo vs Kashiwa Reysol?
The model assigned 47% probability to a FC Tokyo win, 28% to a draw, and 24% to an Kashiwa Reysol win.