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FC Tokyo - Machida Zelvia

J1 League August 08, 2026 12:00
FC Tokyo
#15 · 0 pts
vs
Machida Zelvia
#19 · 0 pts
⚡ Pre-match analysis
33.81%
Win
FC Tokyo
33.18%
Draw
33.02%
Win
Machida Zelvia
2.79
Expected xG
1.85

Market probabilities

Most likely result 1–1 (11.74%)
1X2 Result
1 34%
X 33%
2 33%
Double Chance
1X 67%
X2 66%
12 67%
Over / Under
Over 1.5 74%
Over 2.5 51%
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The ForzaPitch prediction gives FC Tokyo a 33% win probability, against 33% for a draw and 33% for Machida Zelvia. Expected goals are 2.8 for FC Tokyo and 1.8 for Machida Zelvia (total 4.6), with a 74% probability of Over 1.5 goals. The most likely scoreline is 1–1 at 11.74% probability. In 2 previous meetings, FC Tokyo have won 1 times, with 1 draws and 0 wins for Machida Zelvia.

Season Stats

FC Tokyo
7W 5D 3L
Machida Zelvia
6W 7D 2L
Averages per game
1.6
Goals
1.1
1.1
Conceded
1.0
5.5
Shots OT
4.3
5.5
Corners
5.0
51%
Poss.
44%
Percentages
73%
O 1.5
73%
60%
O 2.5
40%
53%
BTTS
47%
33%
Clean Sht
40%
ℹ Based on the last 15 matches in J1 League. Bars use fixed scales (goals max 3.5, percentages 0–100%).

Venue Form

Goals signal (venue avg)
30%
O 3.5
60%
BTTS
FC Tokyo
4W 3D 3L · at home
Machida Zelvia
4W 6D 0L · away
1.5
gls/g
1.6
1.3
Conceded
1.1
40%
Win %
40%
70%
Win or Draw
100%
90%
O 1.5
80%
50%
O 2.5
50%
20%
O 3.5
40%
50%
BTTS
70%
30%
Clean Sht
30%
30%
Failed to Score
10%
last 10
ℹ Home team's record in home matches only · Away team's record in away matches only.

Score Matrix

↕ FC Tokyo Machida Zelvia →
0 1 2 3 4 5
0 1.0% 1.8% 1.6% 1.0% 0.5% 0.2%
1 2.7% 5.0% 4.6% 2.8% 1.3% 0.5%
2 3.8% 7.0% 6.4% 3.9% 1.8% 0.7%
3 3.5% 6.5% 6.0% 3.7% 1.7% 0.6%
4 2.5% 4.5% 4.2% 2.6% 1.2% 0.4%
5 1.4% 2.5% 2.3% 1.4% 0.7% 0.2%

Recent form

FC Tokyo FC Tokyo
L Cerezo Osaka 1–3
D Cerezo Osaka 2–2
L Kashima 1–0
D Urawa 0–0
W Tokyo Verdy 2–1
Home clean sheet (120 days) 20%
Machida Zelvia Machida Zelvia
W Nagoya Grampus 2–1
D Nagoya Grampus 2–2
W Urawa 1–0
D Kawasaki Frontale 1–1
D Tokyo Verdy 0–0
Away clean sheet (120 days) 22%

Playing profile

FC Tokyo FC Tokyo
Attack
25
Defence
35
Form
30
Machida Zelvia Machida Zelvia
Attack
19
Defence
34
Form
31
Indices on a 0–100 scale calculated by the model

Head-to-Head

1
FC Tokyo
1
Draw
0
Machida Zelvia
5 Apr 2026 J1 League 0–0
1 Apr 2026 J1 League 3–0

League Table

# Team G Pts
1 Mito Hollyhock Mito Hollyhock 0 0
2 Avispa Fukuoka Avispa Fukuoka 0 0
3 Cerezo Osaka Cerezo Osaka 0 0
4 Tokyo Verdy Tokyo Verdy 0 0
5 Kyoto Sanga Kyoto Sanga 0 0
6 Nagoya Grampus Nagoya Grampus 0 0
7 Shimizu S-pulse Shimizu S-pulse 0 0
8 Yokohama F. Marinos Yokohama F. Marinos 0 0
9 Kawasaki Frontale Kawasaki Frontale 0 0
10 Kashiwa Reysol Kashiwa Reysol 0 0
11 JEF United Chiba JEF United Chiba 0 0
12 Vissel Kobe Vissel Kobe 0 0
13 Urawa Urawa 0 0
14 Sanfrecce Hiroshima Sanfrecce Hiroshima 0 0
15 FC Tokyo FC Tokyo 0 0
16 Kashima Kashima 0 0
17 Gamba Osaka Gamba Osaka 0 0
18 Fagiano Okayama Fagiano Okayama 0 0
19 Machida Zelvia Machida Zelvia 0 0
20 V-varen Nagasaki V-varen Nagasaki 0 0
Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win FC Tokyo vs Machida Zelvia?
The model gives FC Tokyo a 33% win probability, 33% for a draw, and 33% for an Machida Zelvia win.
How many goals are expected in FC Tokyo vs Machida Zelvia?
Expected goals: FC Tokyo 2.8, Machida Zelvia 1.8 (total 4.6). Probability of over 1.5 goals: 74%.
What is the most likely score in FC Tokyo vs Machida Zelvia?
1–1 is the most probable final score, with an estimated probability of 11.74%.