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J1 League · Regular Season - 12 October 25, 2026 08:00 Ajinomoto Stadium, Chofu
FC Tokyo
#2 · 27 pts
6 – 0
Final score
Mito Hollyhock
#17 · 9 pts
✓Model correct — prediction FC Tokyo
Teruhito Nakagawa (ast. Hirokazu Ishihara) 32'
Teruhito Nakagawa 46'
Soma Anzai (ast. Kyota Tokiwa) 66'
Dani Gómez (ast. Hirokazu Ishihara) 70'
Alexander Scholz (ast. Rio Omori) 76'
Marcelo (ast. Fuki Yamada) 90'+3
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The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave FC Tokyo a 59% win probability (draw 26%, Mito Hollyhock 14%). The final result was FC Tokyo 6–0 Mito Hollyhock. In 2 previous meetings, FC Tokyo have won 1 times, with 1 draws and 0 wins for Mito Hollyhock.

Match statistics
23
Total shots
11
11
Shots on target
2
2.59
Actual xG
0.80
2
Saves
5
54%
Possession
46%
7
Corners
5
7
Tackles
21
1
🟨 Yellow cards
0
Match Events
Kein Sato
15'
⚽Teruhito Nakagawa · ast. Hirokazu Ishihara
32'
⚽Teruhito Nakagawa
46'
63'
Keisuke Tada / Kaito Taniguchi ↕
63'
Motoki Nishihara / Chihiro Kato ↕
64'
Yu Funabashi / Hugo Leonardo ↕
↕ Teruhito Nakagawa / Marcelo
64'
↕ Kashif Bangnagande / Rio Omori
64'
⚽Soma Anzai · ast. Kyota Tokiwa
66'
↕ Kein Sato / Dani Gómez
68'
⚽Dani Gómez · ast. Hirokazu Ishihara
70'
72'
Yuri Tamura / Kiichi Yamazaki ↕
⚽Alexander Scholz · ast. Rio Omori
76'
78'
Shota Yamashita / Jin Okumura ↕
↕ Motoki Nagakura / Fuki Yamada
80'
↕ Takahiro Ko / Shuto Nagano
80'
⚽Marcelo · ast. Fuki Yamada
90'+3
Pre-match prediction
59.15%
FC ←
26.13%
X
14.72%
Mito
✓ Correct prediction — we assigned to the actual result (FC Tokyo) 59.15% (medium confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
FC
1.49
2.59
+1.1
Mito
0.30
0.80
+0.5
FC Tokyo dominated by xG (2.59 vs 0.80). The final result reflects the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
League Table
#Team GPts
1 Machida Zelvia Machida Zelvia 12 27
2 FC Tokyo FC Tokyo 12 27
3 Sanfrecce Hiroshima Sanfrecce Hiroshima 12 26
4 Kashiwa Reysol Kashiwa Reysol 12 25
5 Vissel Kobe Vissel Kobe 12 23
6 Kawasaki Frontale Kawasaki Frontale 12 22
7 Urawa Urawa 12 21
8 Kashima Kashima 12 20
9 Yokohama F. Marinos Yokohama F. Marinos 12 18
10 Fagiano Okayama Fagiano Okayama 12 16
11 Nagoya Grampus Nagoya Grampus 12 14
12 Cerezo Osaka Cerezo Osaka 12 14
13 Shimizu S-pulse Shimizu S-pulse 12 14
14 V-varen Nagasaki V-varen Nagasaki 12 12
15 Gamba Osaka Gamba Osaka 12 11
16 Kyoto Sanga Kyoto Sanga 12 10
17 Mito Hollyhock Mito Hollyhock 12 9
18 Tokyo Verdy Tokyo Verdy 12 8
19 Avispa Fukuoka Avispa Fukuoka 12 7
20 JEF United Chiba JEF United Chiba 12 7
Lineups
FC Tokyo FC Tokyo 4-4-2
81 Kim Seung-Gyu Kim Seung-Gyu G 6.56
6 K. Bangnagande K. Bangnagande 64' D 6.98
4 H. Inamura H. Inamura D 7.94
24 A. Scholz A. Scholz 1 ⚽ D 8.31
22 H. Ishihara H. Ishihara 2 👟 D 9.37
7 S. Anzai S. Anzai 1 ⚽ M 8.20
27 Kyota Tokiwa Kyota Tokiwa 1 👟 M 7.55
8 T. Ko T. Ko 80' M 6.94
10 K. Sato K. Sato 68' M 6.27
39 T. Nakagawa T. Nakagawa 2 ⚽ 64' F 9.15
26 M. Nagakura M. Nagakura 80' F 6.90
Bench
99 Dani Gómez Dani Gómez 1 ⚽ 22' F 7.57
71 F. Yamada F. Yamada 1 👟 10' M 7.12
1 H. Tanaka H. Tanaka G 0.00
38 Kio Tanaka Kio Tanaka M 0.00
44 K. Suzuki K. Suzuki D 0.00
9 Marcelo Ryan Marcelo Ryan 1 ⚽ 26' F 7.63
3 M. Morishige M. Morishige D 0.00
15 R. Omori R. Omori 1 👟 26' D 7.32
20 S. Nagano S. Nagano 10' D 7.12
Mito Hollyhock Mito Hollyhock 4-4-2
27 J. Słowik J. Słowik G 6.57
3 K. Osaki K. Osaki D 5.98
17 K. Itakura K. Itakura D 6.09
15 Y. Kimoto Y. Kimoto D 6.26
25 T. Mase T. Mase D 5.73
39 H. Yamamoto H. Yamamoto M 6.43
38 Leonardo Hugo Leonardo Hugo 64' M 6.36
24 K. Yamazaki K. Yamazaki 72' M 6.20
8 C. Kato C. Kato 63' M 5.79
22 K. Taniguchi K. Taniguchi 63' F 6.13
30 J. Okumura J. Okumura 78' F 6.50
Bench
34 K. Nishikawa K. Nishikawa G 0.00
29 K. Tada K. Tada 27' F 6.32
2 M. Fofana M. Fofana D 0.00
44 M. Nishihara M. Nishihara 27' M 5.90
50 R. Ieizumi R. Ieizumi D 0.00
9 R. Nemoto R. Nemoto F 0.00
53 Shota Yamashita Shota Yamashita 12' M 5.87
20 Y. Funabashi Y. Funabashi 26' M 5.75
16 Y. Tamura Y. Tamura 18' D 5.48
Best on the pitch
H. Ishihara
H. Ishihara
D · FC
9.37
2 👟
· 38 pass
T. Nakagawa
T. Nakagawa
F · FC
9.15
2 ⚽
3 shots · 20 pass
A. Scholz
A. Scholz
D · FC
8.31
1 ⚽
1 shots · 72 pass
S. Anzai
S. Anzai
M · FC
8.20
1 ⚽
3 shots · 26 pass
H. Inamura
H. Inamura
D · FC
7.94
· 87 pass
Marcelo Ryan
Marcelo Ryan
F · FC
7.63
1 ⚽
4 shots · 5 pass
FC Tokyo FC Tokyo — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
Kim Seung-Gyu G 90 6.56 — — 0 28 17% 0 — —
K. Bangnagande D 64 6.98 — — 0 36 29% 0 — —
H. Inamura D 90 7.94 — — 0 87 74% 1 — —
A. Scholz D 90 8.31 1 — 1 72 68% 0 — —
H. Ishihara D 90 9.37 — 2 0 38 33% 0 — —
S. Anzai M 90 8.20 1 — 3 26 22% 0 — —
Kyota Tokiwa M 90 7.55 — 1 0 51 43% 1 — —
T. Ko M 80 6.94 — — 1 56 48% 1 — —
K. Sato M 68 6.27 — — 3 23 15% 2 1 —
T. Nakagawa F 64 9.15 2 — 3 20 19% 0 — —
M. Nagakura F 80 6.90 — — 4 30 19% 0 — —
Dani Gómez F 22 7.57 1 — 2 9 8% 1 — —
F. Yamada M 10 7.12 — 1 1 6 4% 0 — —
Marcelo Ryan F 26 7.63 1 — 4 5 3% 0 — —
R. Omori D 26 7.32 — 1 1 6 5% 0 — —
S. Nagano D 10 7.12 — — 0 5 5% 1 — —
Mito Hollyhock Mito Hollyhock — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
J. Słowik G 90 6.57 — — 0 33 25% 0 — —
K. Osaki D 90 5.98 — — 0 56 46% 1 — —
K. Itakura D 90 6.09 — — 0 58 50% 2 — —
Y. Kimoto D 90 6.26 — — 2 55 47% 3 — —
T. Mase D 90 5.73 — — 1 33 25% 1 — —
H. Yamamoto M 90 6.43 — — 2 30 27% 3 — —
Leonardo Hugo M 64 6.36 — — 1 24 22% 1 — —
K. Yamazaki M 72 6.20 — — 0 31 23% 3 — —
C. Kato M 63 5.79 — — 0 14 11% 1 — —
K. Taniguchi F 63 6.13 — — 2 17 12% 2 — —
J. Okumura F 78 6.50 — — 2 26 17% 2 — —
K. Tada F 27 6.32 — — 1 5 4% 0 — —
M. Nishihara M 27 5.90 — — 0 8 7% 1 — —
Shota Yamashita M 12 5.87 — — 0 7 4% 1 — —
Y. Funabashi M 26 5.75 — — 0 24 19% 0 — —
Y. Tamura D 18 5.48 — — 0 11 8% 0 — —
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of FC Tokyo vs Mito Hollyhock?
The final score was FC Tokyo 6–0 Mito Hollyhock.
What did the model predict before FC Tokyo vs Mito Hollyhock?
The model assigned 59% probability to a FC Tokyo win, 26% to a draw, and 14% to an Mito Hollyhock win.