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J1 League · Regular Season - 9 October 10, 2026 08:00 Ajinomoto Stadium, Chofu
FC Tokyo
#2 · 27 pts
3 – 0
Final score
Urawa
#7 · 21 pts
Motoki Nagakura 63'
Soma Anzai (ast. Motoki Nagakura) 69'
Kein Sato 85'
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The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave FC Tokyo a 48% win probability (draw 27%, Urawa 23%). The final result was FC Tokyo 3–0 Urawa. In 2 previous meetings, FC Tokyo have won 0 times, with 2 draws and 0 wins for Urawa.

Match statistics
16
Total shots
11
5
Shots on target
2
1.98
Actual xG
0.84
2
Saves
2
54%
Possession
46%
3
Corners
3
18
Tackles
16
1
🟨 Yellow cards
0
Match Events
Marcelo
21'
24'
Ado Onaiwu / Harumi Minamino ↕
30'
45'
Ryoma Watanabe / Tatsuki Seko ↕
↕ Kota Tawaratsumida / Kein Sato
61'
↕ Kashif Bangnagande / Rio Omori
61'
⚽Motoki Nagakura
63'
⚽Soma Anzai · ast. Motoki Nagakura
69'
72'
Renji Hidano / Kaito Yasui ↕
73'
Samuel Gustafson / Hayate Ueki ↕
↕ Hirokazu Ishihara / Fuki Yamada
76'
↕ Marcelo / Teruhito Nakagawa
76'
77'
Hiiro Komori / Kotaro Hayashi ↕
⚽Kein Sato
85'
↕ Motoki Nagakura / Dani Gómez
88'
Pre-match prediction
48.37%
FC ←
27.65%
X
23.97%
Urawa
we assigned to the actual result (FC Tokyo) 48.37% (medium confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
FC
1.59
1.98
+0.39
Urawa
0.71
0.84
+0.13
FC Tokyo dominated by xG (1.98 vs 0.84). The final result reflects the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates were accurate.
League Table
#Team GPts
1 Machida Zelvia Machida Zelvia 12 27
2 FC Tokyo FC Tokyo 12 27
3 Sanfrecce Hiroshima Sanfrecce Hiroshima 12 26
4 Kashiwa Reysol Kashiwa Reysol 12 25
5 Vissel Kobe Vissel Kobe 12 23
6 Kawasaki Frontale Kawasaki Frontale 12 22
7 Urawa Urawa 12 21
8 Kashima Kashima 12 20
9 Yokohama F. Marinos Yokohama F. Marinos 12 18
10 Fagiano Okayama Fagiano Okayama 12 16
11 Nagoya Grampus Nagoya Grampus 12 14
12 Cerezo Osaka Cerezo Osaka 12 14
13 Shimizu S-pulse Shimizu S-pulse 12 14
14 V-varen Nagasaki V-varen Nagasaki 12 12
15 Gamba Osaka Gamba Osaka 12 11
16 Kyoto Sanga Kyoto Sanga 12 10
17 Mito Hollyhock Mito Hollyhock 12 9
18 Tokyo Verdy Tokyo Verdy 12 8
19 Avispa Fukuoka Avispa Fukuoka 12 7
20 JEF United Chiba JEF United Chiba 12 7
Lineups
FC Tokyo FC Tokyo 4-4-2
81 Kim Seung-Gyu Kim Seung-Gyu G 6.97
6 K. Bangnagande K. Bangnagande 61' D 7.10
4 H. Inamura H. Inamura D 7.74
24 A. Scholz A. Scholz D 7.36
22 H. Ishihara H. Ishihara 76' D 7.39
33 K. Tawaratsumida K. Tawaratsumida 61' M 6.86
27 Kyota Tokiwa Kyota Tokiwa M 6.76
20 S. Nagano S. Nagano M 7.11
7 S. Anzai S. Anzai 1 ⚽ M 7.59
26 M. Nagakura M. Nagakura 1 ⚽ 1 👟 88' F 8.21
9 Marcelo Ryan Marcelo Ryan 76' F 6.38
Bench
99 Dani Gómez Dani Gómez 2' F 6.52
71 F. Yamada F. Yamada 14' M 7.20
1 H. Tanaka H. Tanaka G 0.00
38 Kio Tanaka Kio Tanaka M 0.00
10 K. Sato K. Sato 1 ⚽ 29' F 7.54
44 K. Suzuki K. Suzuki D 0.00
3 M. Morishige M. Morishige D 0.00
15 R. Omori R. Omori 29' D 6.99
39 T. Nakagawa T. Nakagawa 14' F 6.45
Urawa Urawa 4-3-3
1 S. Nishikawa S. Nishikawa G 6.03
18 K. Hayashi K. Hayashi 77' D 6.09
5 K. Nemoto K. Nemoto D 6.81
2 Y. Miyamoto Y. Miyamoto D 7.01
6 M. Yamane M. Yamane D 6.57
37 H. Ueki H. Ueki 73' M 5.82
12 T. Seko T. Seko 45' M 5.99
25 K. Yasui K. Yasui 72' M 6.44
10 Matheus Sávio Matheus Sávio F 6.36
42 H. Minamino H. Minamino 24' F 6.50
7 T. Kaneko T. Kaneko F 6.23
Bench
45 A. Onaiwu A. Onaiwu 66' F 6.21
3 Danilo Boza Danilo Boza D 0.00
17 H. Komori H. Komori 13' F 6.29
23 K. Fukui K. Fukui G 0.00
36 R. Hidano R. Hidano 18' F 6.34
13 R. Watanabe R. Watanabe 45' M 5.87
11 Samuel Gustafson Samuel Gustafson 17' M 5.90
33 S. Sasa S. Sasa M 0.00
88 Y. Naganuma Y. Naganuma M 0.00
Best on the pitch
M. Nagakura
M. Nagakura
F · FC
8.21
1 ⚽ 1 👟
1 shots · 25 pass
H. Inamura
H. Inamura
D · FC
7.74
· 69 pass
S. Anzai
S. Anzai
M · FC
7.59
1 ⚽
3 shots · 24 pass
K. Sato
K. Sato
F · FC
7.54
1 ⚽
2 shots · 9 pass
H. Ishihara
H. Ishihara
D · FC
7.39
· 34 pass
A. Scholz
A. Scholz
D · FC
7.36
· 60 pass
FC Tokyo FC Tokyo — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
Kim Seung-Gyu G 90 6.97 — — 0 41 27% 0 — —
K. Bangnagande D 61 7.10 — — 0 27 19% 3 — —
H. Inamura D 90 7.74 — — 0 69 55% 3 — —
A. Scholz D 90 7.36 — — 0 60 52% 0 — —
H. Ishihara D 76 7.39 — — 0 34 29% 1 — —
K. Tawaratsumida M 61 6.86 — — 3 19 16% 2 — —
Kyota Tokiwa M 90 6.76 — — 1 47 41% 1 — —
S. Nagano M 90 7.11 — — 2 47 42% 2 — —
S. Anzai M 90 7.59 1 — 3 24 14% 4 — —
M. Nagakura F 88 8.21 1 1 1 25 16% 0 — —
Marcelo Ryan F 76 6.38 — — 2 7 5% 1 1 —
Dani Gómez F 2 6.52 — — 1 1 1% 0 — —
F. Yamada M 14 7.20 — — 1 8 6% 0 — —
K. Sato F 29 7.54 1 — 2 9 6% 1 — —
R. Omori D 29 6.99 — — 0 10 7% 0 — —
T. Nakagawa F 14 6.45 — — 0 3 2% 0 — —
Urawa Urawa — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
S. Nishikawa G 90 6.03 — — 0 20 15% 0 — —
K. Hayashi D 77 6.09 — — 0 21 20% 1 — —
K. Nemoto D 90 6.81 — — 1 38 34% 4 — —
Y. Miyamoto D 90 7.01 — — 0 58 51% 2 — —
M. Yamane D 90 6.57 — — 3 42 33% 3 — —
H. Ueki M 73 5.82 — — 3 33 29% 0 — —
T. Seko M 45 5.99 — — 0 17 12% 1 — —
K. Yasui M 72 6.44 — — 2 22 19% 2 — —
Matheus Sávio F 90 6.36 — — 1 31 24% 1 — —
H. Minamino F 24 6.50 — — 0 3 2% 0 — —
T. Kaneko F 90 6.23 — — 1 36 24% 1 — —
A. Onaiwu F 66 6.21 — — 0 16 12% 1 — —
H. Komori F 13 6.29 — — 0 3 3% 0 — —
R. Hidano F 18 6.34 — — 0 5 3% 0 — —
R. Watanabe M 45 5.87 — — 0 16 15% 0 — —
Samuel Gustafson M 17 5.90 — — 0 7 4% 0 — —
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of FC Tokyo vs Urawa?
The final score was FC Tokyo 3–0 Urawa.
What did the model predict before FC Tokyo vs Urawa?
The model assigned 48% probability to a FC Tokyo win, 27% to a draw, and 23% to an Urawa win.