FC Tosno - Cherepovets
Cup
August 12, 2026 17:00
⚡ Pre-match analysis
33.33%
Win
FC Tosno
33.33%
Draw
33.33%
Win
Cherepovets
3.1
1.83
Expected xG
Market probabilities
Most likely result
1–1
(14.04%)
1X2 Result
1
33%
X
33%
2
33%
Double Chance
1X
67%
X2
67%
12
67%
Over / Under
Over 1.5
75%
Over 2.5
52%
The ForzaPitch prediction gives FC Tosno a 33% win probability, against 33% for a draw and 33% for Cherepovets. Expected goals are 3.1 for FC Tosno and 1.8 for Cherepovets (total 4.9), with a 75% probability of Over 1.5 goals. The most likely scoreline is 1–1 at 14.04% probability.
Season Stats
1W
0D
0L
3W
0D
1L
Averages per game
3.0
Goals
2.5
0.0
Conceded
1.8
Percentages
100%
O 1.5
100%
100%
O 2.5
100%
0%
BTTS
75%
100%
Clean Sht
25%
ℹ
Based on the last 4 matches in Cup. Bars use fixed scales (goals max 3.5, percentages 0–100%).
Score Matrix
↕ FC Tosno
Cherepovets →
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0.7% | 1.3% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| 1 | 2.3% | 4.1% | 3.8% | 2.3% | 1.0% | 0.4% |
| 2 | 3.5% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 3.5% | 1.6% | 0.6% |
| 3 | 3.6% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 3.7% | 1.7% | 0.6% |
| 4 | 2.8% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 2.8% | 1.3% | 0.5% |
| 5 | 1.7% | 3.2% | 2.9% | 1.8% | 0.8% | 0.3% |
Playing profile
FC Tosno
Attack
75
Defence
100
Form
85
Cherepovets
Attack
79
Defence
74
Form
79
Indices on a 0–100 scale calculated by the model
Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win FC Tosno vs Cherepovets?
The model gives FC Tosno a 33% win probability, 33% for a draw, and 33% for an Cherepovets win.
How many goals are expected in FC Tosno vs Cherepovets?
Expected goals: FC Tosno 3.1, Cherepovets 1.8 (total 4.9). Probability of over 1.5 goals: 75%.
What is the most likely score in FC Tosno vs Cherepovets?
1–1 is the most probable final score, with an estimated probability of 14.04%.