USL Championship
· Group Stage
October 01, 2026 02:00
W. Wilson
19'
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave FC Tulsa a 50% win probability (draw 22%, New Mexico United 27%). The final result was FC Tulsa 1–0 New Mexico United. In 1 previous meetings, FC Tulsa have won 0 times, with 0 draws and 1 wins for New Mexico United.
Match statistics
Match Events
⚽W. Wilson
19'
45'+2
N. Hamalainen
46'
J. LaCava
/
M. Howell
W. Eisner
50'
54'
N. Hamalainen
54'
N. Hamalainen
J. Webber
57'
59'
V. Noel
/
C. Wilkerson
59'
T. Blackett
/
C. Nava
W. Wilson
/ O. Damm
63'
68'
L. Archimede
/
C. Dennis
69'
J. Rennicks
/
J. Melto Quiah
Ian
74'
A. Ordonez
/ R. Cabral
78'
Ian
/ J. Sangwa
78'
L. Dorsey
/ S. Lukic
86'
J. Webber
/ B. Diallo
86'
90'+1
L. Archimede
Pre-match prediction
50.01%
FC ←
22.01%
X
27.98%
New
we assigned to the actual result (FC Tulsa)
50.01%
(medium confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
2.01
—
—
1.46
—
—
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of FC Tulsa vs New Mexico United?
The final score was FC Tulsa 1–0 New Mexico United.
What did the model predict before FC Tulsa vs New Mexico United?
The model assigned 50% probability to a FC Tulsa win, 22% to a draw, and 27% to an New Mexico United win.