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USL Championship · Group Stage October 04, 2026 02:00
#7 · 43 pts
1 – 1
Final score
#2 · 51 pts
A. Ordonez 9' (pen.)
89' M. Rodriguez
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The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave FC Tulsa a 44% win probability (draw 23%, Sacramento Republic 32%). The final result was FC Tulsa 1–1 Sacramento Republic. In 2 previous meetings, FC Tulsa have won 1 times, with 0 draws and 1 wins for Sacramento Republic.

Match statistics
Match Events
⚽A. Ordonez (pen.)
9'
31'
R. Spaulding
32'
A. Rodriguez
Ian
45'+1
46'
M. Rodriguez / A. Rodriguez ↕
46'
J. Gurr / A. Midence ↕
54'
M. Benitez / R. Spaulding ↕
↕ Ian / J. Sangwa
60'
↕ W. Wilson / K. Elmedkhar
60'
↕ B. Diallo / J. Webber
60'
69'
J. Casas / D. Crisostomo ↕
78'
C. Jennings / F. Ajago ↕
↕ A. Cissoko / D. Pierre
83'
↕ A. Ordonez / W. Eisner
86'
89'
M. Rodriguez⚽
L. Dorsey
90'+4
Pre-match prediction
44.32%
FC
23.1%
X ←
32.58%
Sacramento
we assigned to the actual result (Draw) 23.1% (low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
FC
1.69
—
—
Sacramento
1.41
—
—
League Table
#Team GPts
1 New Mexico United New Mexico United 30 52
2 Sacramento Republic Sacramento Republic 30 51
3 El Paso Locomotive El Paso Locomotive 30 50
4 Lexington Lexington 30 48
5 Colorado Springs Colorado Springs 30 47
6 San Antonio San Antonio 30 45
7 FC Tulsa FC Tulsa 30 43
8 Phoenix Rising Phoenix Rising 30 40
9 Orange County SC Orange County SC 30 39
10 Oakland Roots Oakland Roots 30 38
11 Las Vegas Lights Las Vegas Lights 30 36
12 Monterey Bay Monterey Bay 30 24
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of FC Tulsa vs Sacramento Republic?
The final score was FC Tulsa 1–1 Sacramento Republic.
What did the model predict before FC Tulsa vs Sacramento Republic?
The model assigned 44% probability to a FC Tulsa win, 23% to a draw, and 32% to an Sacramento Republic win.