The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave FC Basel 1893 a 53% win probability (draw 23%, FC Winterthur 23%). The final result was FC Winterthur 0–2 FC Basel 1893. In 4 previous meetings, FC Winterthur have won 1 times, with 1 draws and 2 wins for FC Basel 1893.
Match statistics
6
Shots on target
3
2.47
Actual xG
0.82
43%
Possession
57%
5
Corners
3
Pre-match prediction
23.42%
FC
23.26%
X
53.32%
FC ←
we assigned to the actual result (FC Basel 1893)
53.32%
(medium confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.15
2.47
+1.32
2.02
0.82
-1.21
FC Winterthur dominated by xG (2.47 vs 0.82).
The final result does not reflect the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of FC Winterthur vs FC Basel 1893?
The final score was FC Winterthur 0–2 FC Basel 1893.
What did the model predict before FC Winterthur vs FC Basel 1893?
The model assigned 23% probability to a FC Winterthur win, 23% to a draw, and 53% to an FC Basel 1893 win.