✓Model correct — prediction FC Luzern
39'
(ast. R. Dantas)
O. Kabwit
54'
(ast. A. Vasovic)
P. Dorn
68'
O. Kabwit
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave FC Luzern a 56% win probability (draw 19%, FC Winterthur 23%). The final result was FC Winterthur 0–3 FC Luzern. In 4 previous meetings, FC Winterthur have won 2 times, with 1 draws and 1 wins for FC Luzern.
Match statistics
6
Total shots
18
0
Shots on target
9
0.54
Actual xG
2.75
6
Saves
0
42%
Possession
58%
1
Corners
6
11
Tackles
21
1
🟨 Yellow cards
2
1
🟥 Red cards
0
Match Events
2'
A. Bajrami
39'
ast. R. Dantas ·
O. Kabwit⚽
T. Citherlet
45'+1
45'+2
(missed pen.)
M. Di Giusto⚽
L. Maksutaj
/ A. Hunziker
46'
54'
ast. A. Vasovic ·
P. Dorn⚽
R. Buess
/ E. Maluvunu
57'
E. Essiam
/ N. Burkart
57'
62'
S. Karweina
/
M. Di Giusto
62'
K. Spadanuda
/
L. M. Silva Ferreira
68'
O. Kabwit⚽
L. Zuffi
/ P. Kasami
73'
73'
J. Von Moos
/
O. Kabwit
73'
L. Villiger
/
A. Vasovic
79'
L. Winkler
/
T. Abe
F. Rohner
/ D. Ulrich
82'
84'
S. Knezevic
S. Cueni
89'
Pre-match prediction
23.59%
FC
19.45%
X
56.96%
FC ←
✓ Correct prediction —
we assigned to the actual result (FC Luzern)
56.96%
(medium confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.32
0.54
-0.78
2.33
2.75
+0.42
FC Luzern dominated by xG (2.75 vs 0.54).
The final result reflects the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
75
Antonio Spagnoli
G
Antonio Spagnoli
G
3
Rhodri Smith
D
Rhodri Smith
D
21
L. Lüthi
D
L. Lüthi
D
16
R. Arnold
D
R. Arnold
D
33
Tibault Citherlet
46'
D
Tibault Citherlet
46'
D
44
S. Cueni
M
S. Cueni
M
7
Luca Zuffi
74'
M
Luca Zuffi
74'
M
6
Emmanuel Essiam
58'
M
Emmanuel Essiam
58'
M
35
Leandro Maksutaj
45'
F
Leandro Maksutaj
45'
F
9
Roman Buess
58'
F
Roman Buess
58'
F
27
Fabian Rohner
83'
F
Fabian Rohner
83'
F
Bench
22
Adrian Durrer
M
Adrian Durrer
M
17
A. Hunziker
45'
F
A. Hunziker
45'
F
19
Dario Ulrich
8'
M
Dario Ulrich
8'
M
37
Elias Maluvunu
32'
M
Elias Maluvunu
32'
M
99
Nishan Burkart
32'
F
Nishan Burkart
32'
F
30
Noah Brogli
G
Noah Brogli
G
23
Pajtim Kasami
16'
M
Pajtim Kasami
16'
M
18
Souleymane Diaby
D
8
T. Golliard
M
T. Golliard
M
1
P. Loretz
G
P. Loretz
G
22
R. Fernandes
1 👟
D
R. Fernandes
1 👟
D
4
Adrian Bajrami
D
Adrian Bajrami
D
5
S. Knežević
D
S. Knežević
D
20
P. Dorn
1 ⚽
D
P. Dorn
1 ⚽
D
11
M. Di Giusto
63'
M
M. Di Giusto
63'
M
6
T. Abe
80'
M
T. Abe
80'
M
24
T. Owusu
M
T. Owusu
M
73
Lucas Ferreira
63'
M
Lucas Ferreira
63'
M
19
A. Vasovic
1 👟
74'
F
A. Vasovic
1 👟
74'
F
16
Oscar Kabwit
2 ⚽
74'
F
Oscar Kabwit
2 ⚽
74'
F
Bench
14
A. Cigaņiks
D
A. Cigaņiks
D
9
A. Grbić
F
A. Grbić
F
41
Julian Bock
G
Julian Bock
G
81
J. von Moos
16'
F
J. von Moos
16'
F
7
K. Spadanuda
27'
M
K. Spadanuda
27'
M
29
Levin Winkler
10'
M
Levin Winkler
10'
M
27
L. Villiger
16'
F
L. Villiger
16'
F
2
Severin Ottiger
D
Severin Ottiger
D
10
Sinan Karweina
27'
F
Sinan Karweina
27'
F
Best on the pitch
Oscar Kabwit
F · FC
9.30
2 ⚽
4 shots
· 7 pass
Antonio Spagnoli
G · FC
8.70
· 37 pass
P. Dorn
D · FC
8.30
1 ⚽
2 shots
· 40 pass
S. Knežević
D · FC
8.20
· 71 pass
R. Fernandes
D · FC
7.90
1 👟
1 shots
· 75 pass
Adrian Bajrami
D · FC
7.70
· 69 pass
FC Winterthur — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Antonio Spagnoli | G | 90 | 8.70 | — | — | — | 37 | 25% | — | — | — |
| Rhodri Smith | D | 90 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 36 | 33% | 1 | — | — |
| L. Lüthi | D | 90 | 6.00 | — | — | — | 38 | 32% | 2 | — | — |
| R. Arnold | D | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 45 | 34% | — | — | — |
| Tibault Citherlet | D | 46 | 5.20 | — | — | — | 16 | 14% | — | — | 1 |
| S. Cueni | M | 90 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 22 | 19% | 1 | 1 | — |
| Luca Zuffi | M | 74 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 48 | 44% | 1 | — | — |
| Emmanuel Essiam | M | 58 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 22 | 19% | 1 | — | — |
| Leandro Maksutaj | F | 45 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 10 | 8% | — | — | — |
| Roman Buess | F | 58 | 6.90 | — | — | 2 | 14 | 13% | — | — | — |
| Fabian Rohner | F | 83 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 28 | 22% | 1 | — | — |
| A. Hunziker | F | 45 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 11 | 8% | 1 | — | — |
| Dario Ulrich | M | 8 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 3 | 2% | — | — | — |
| Elias Maluvunu | M | 32 | 6.70 | — | — | 2 | 6 | 3% | 2 | — | — |
| Nishan Burkart | F | 32 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 20 | 14% | — | — | — |
| Pajtim Kasami | M | 16 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 9 | 8% | 1 | — | — |
FC Luzern — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| P. Loretz | G | 90 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 37 | 36% | — | — | — |
| R. Fernandes | D | 90 | 7.90 | — | 1 | 1 | 75 | 63% | 5 | — | — |
| Adrian Bajrami | D | 90 | 7.70 | — | — | — | 69 | 60% | 1 | 1 | — |
| S. Knežević | D | 90 | 8.20 | — | — | — | 71 | 68% | 3 | 1 | — |
| P. Dorn | D | 90 | 8.30 | 1 | — | 2 | 40 | 33% | 2 | — | — |
| M. Di Giusto | M | 63 | 6.20 | — | — | 2 | 27 | 23% | — | — | — |
| T. Abe | M | 80 | 7.00 | — | — | 2 | 59 | 49% | 2 | — | — |
| T. Owusu | M | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 43 | 38% | 2 | — | — |
| Lucas Ferreira | M | 63 | 7.00 | — | — | 1 | 26 | 18% | 2 | — | — |
| A. Vasovic | F | 74 | 6.70 | — | 1 | 3 | 11 | 6% | 1 | — | — |
| Oscar Kabwit | F | 74 | 9.30 | 2 | — | 4 | 7 | 5% | — | — | — |
| J. von Moos | F | 16 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 5 | 4% | — | — | — |
| K. Spadanuda | M | 27 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 9 | 9% | — | — | — |
| Levin Winkler | M | 10 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 5 | 5% | — | — | — |
| L. Villiger | F | 16 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 4 | 3% | — | — | — |
| Sinan Karweina | F | 27 | 7.20 | — | — | 3 | 10 | 9% | 3 | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of FC Winterthur vs FC Luzern?
The final score was FC Winterthur 0–3 FC Luzern.
What did the model predict before FC Winterthur vs FC Luzern?
The model assigned 23% probability to a FC Winterthur win, 19% to a draw, and 56% to an FC Luzern win.