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FC Winterthur - FC WIL 1900

Challenge League August 07, 2026 19:30
#8 · 1 pts
vs
#5 · 3 pts
⚡ Pre-match analysis
37.99%
Win
FC Winterthur
30.74%
Draw
31.27%
Win
FC WIL 1900
2.62
Expected xG
1.46

Market probabilities

Most likely result 2–1 (9.07%)
1X2 Result
1 38%
X 31%
2 31%
Double Chance
1X 69%
X2 62%
12 69%
Over / Under
Over 1.5 77%
✓ 96.0% hit rate (25 picks)
Over 2.5 55%
✓ 80.0% hit rate (15 picks)
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The ForzaPitch prediction gives FC Winterthur a 37% win probability, against 30% for a draw and 31% for FC WIL 1900. Expected goals are 2.6 for FC Winterthur and 1.5 for FC WIL 1900 (total 4.1), with a 76% probability of Over 1.5 goals. The most likely scoreline is 2–1 at 9.07% probability.

Season Stats

FC Winterthur
0W 1D 1L
FC WIL 1900
5W 4D 6L
Averages per game
1.0
Goals
1.7
2.0
Conceded
1.7
Percentages
100%
O 1.5
73%
50%
O 2.5
53%
50%
BTTS
53%
0%
Clean Sht
27%
Based on the last 15 matches in Challenge League. Bars use fixed scales (goals max 3.5, percentages 0–100%).

Venue Form

Goals signal (venue avg)
70%
O 3.5
70%
BTTS
FC Winterthur
0W 1D 0L · at home
FC WIL 1900
4W 3D 3L · away
2.0
gls/g
1.5
2.0
Conceded
1.5
0%
Win %
40%
100%
Win or Draw
70%
100%
O 1.5
70%
100%
O 2.5
40%
100%
O 3.5
40%
100%
BTTS
40%
0%
Clean Sht
40%
0%
Failed to Score
40%
last 10
Home team's record in home matches only · Away team's record in away matches only.

Score Matrix

↕ FC Winterthur FC WIL 1900 →
0 1 2 3 4 5
0 1.7% 2.5% 1.8% 0.9% 0.3% 0.1%
1 4.4% 6.5% 4.7% 2.3% 0.8% 0.2%
2 5.8% 8.5% 6.2% 3.0% 1.1% 0.3%
3 5.1% 7.4% 5.4% 2.6% 1.0% 0.3%
4 3.3% 4.8% 3.5% 1.7% 0.6% 0.2%
5 1.7% 2.5% 1.9% 0.9% 0.3% 0.1%

Recent form

L SC Kriens 2–0
D Yverdon Sport 2–2
Home clean sheet (120 days) 12%
L Neuchatel Xamax FC 1–2
W Rapperswil 4–5
L FC Vaduz 1–3
W Bellinzona 2–4
L Yverdon Sport 0–1
Away clean sheet (120 days) 22%

Playing profile

FC Winterthur FC Winterthur
Attack
24
Defence
50
Form
31
FC WIL 1900 FC WIL 1900
Attack
26
Defence
36
Form
30
Indices on a 0–100 scale calculated by the model

League Table

Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win FC Winterthur vs FC WIL 1900?
The model gives FC Winterthur a 37% win probability, 30% for a draw, and 31% for an FC WIL 1900 win.
How many goals are expected in FC Winterthur vs FC WIL 1900?
Expected goals: FC Winterthur 2.6, FC WIL 1900 1.5 (total 4.1). Probability of over 1.5 goals: 76%.
What is the most likely score in FC Winterthur vs FC WIL 1900?
2–1 is the most probable final score, with an estimated probability of 9.07%.