P. Kasami
(ast. F. Rohner)
25'
A. Hunziker
90'+6
(pen.)
23'
(ast. P. P. Keny)
J. Perea
(pen.)
69'
P. P. Keny
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave FC Winterthur a 48% win probability (draw 25%, FC Zurich 25%). The final result was FC Winterthur 2–2 FC Zurich. In 3 previous meetings, FC Winterthur have won 0 times, with 1 draws and 2 wins for FC Zurich.
Match statistics
11
Total shots
9
5
Shots on target
5
0.99
Actual xG
2.33
3
Saves
4
49%
Possession
51%
6
Corners
3
19
Tackles
4
3
🟨 Yellow cards
3
Match Events
P. Kasami
1'
23'
ast. P. P. Keny ·
J. Perea⚽
⚽P. Kasami
· ast. F. Rohner
25'
30'
N. Palacio
S. Cueni
32'
37'
S. Walker
39'
J. Perea
R. Smith
/ S. Diaby
46'
61'
I. Sauter
/
S. Walker
61'
B. Krasniqi
/
N. Di Giusto
69'
(pen.)
P. P. Keny⚽
F. Rohner
/ D. Ulrich
70'
S. Cueni
/ R. Buess
70'
N. Burkart
/ R. Schneider
70'
70'
U. Emmanuel
/
J. Perea
70'
L. Comenencia
/
S. Hodza
P. Kasami
/ L. Maksutaj
78'
86'
D. Vujevic
/
I. Cavaleiro
90'+6
S. Huber
⚽A. Hunziker
(pen.)
90'+6
A. Hunziker
90'
Pre-match prediction
48.91%
FC
25.46%
X ←
25.63%
FC
we assigned to the actual result (Draw)
25.46%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.73
0.99
-0.74
0.96
2.33
+1.37
FC Zurich dominated by xG (2.33 vs 0.99).
The final result does not reflect the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
1
Stefanos Kapino
G
3
Rhodri Smith
45'
D
Rhodri Smith
45'
D
21
L. Lüthi
D
L. Lüthi
D
16
R. Arnold
D
R. Arnold
D
27
Fabian Rohner
1 👟
70'
D
Fabian Rohner
1 👟
70'
D
45
Alexandre Jankewitz
M
Alexandre Jankewitz
M
44
S. Cueni
70'
M
S. Cueni
70'
M
23
Pajtim Kasami
1 ⚽
78'
M
Pajtim Kasami
1 ⚽
78'
M
99
Nishan Burkart
70'
F
Nishan Burkart
70'
F
17
A. Hunziker
1 ⚽
F
A. Hunziker
1 ⚽
F
8
T. Golliard
F
T. Golliard
F
Bench
9
Roman Buess
23'
F
Roman Buess
23'
F
18
Souleymane Diaby
48'
D
Souleymane Diaby
48'
D
1
Silas Huber
G
Silas Huber
G
44
S. Walker
61'
D
S. Walker
61'
D
42
A. Hack
D
A. Hack
D
2
D
32
S. Hodža
70'
D
S. Hodža
70'
D
6
C. Tsawa
M
C. Tsawa
M
15
Nelson Palacio
M
Nelson Palacio
M
8
Ivan Cavaleiro
86'
M
Ivan Cavaleiro
86'
M
14
N. Di Giusto
61'
M
N. Di Giusto
61'
M
9
J. Perea
1 ⚽
70'
M
J. Perea
1 ⚽
70'
M
19
P. Keny
1 ⚽
1 👟
F
P. Keny
1 ⚽
1 👟
F
Bench
7
B. Krasniqi
32'
M
B. Krasniqi
32'
M
29
D. Reverson
F
D. Reverson
F
27
Ilan Sauter
32'
D
Ilan Sauter
32'
D
3
L. Comenencia
23'
D
L. Comenencia
23'
D
38
M. Reichmuth
M
M. Reichmuth
M
23
V. Berisha
M
V. Berisha
M
Best on the pitch
A. Hack
D · FC
7.90
· 41 pass
Pajtim Kasami
M · FC
7.90
1 ⚽
3 shots
· 29 pass
Silas Huber
G · FC
7.60
· 22 pass
D · FC
7.50
· 30 pass
Ivan Cavaleiro
M · FC
7.20
1 shots
· 30 pass
R. Arnold
D · FC
7.20
· 48 pass
FC Winterthur — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Stefanos Kapino | G | 93 | 5.90 | — | — | — | 20 | 9% | — | — | — |
| Rhodri Smith | D | 45 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 12 | 10% | 1 | — | — |
| L. Lüthi | D | 93 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 37 | 34% | 2 | — | — |
| R. Arnold | D | 93 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 48 | 44% | — | — | — |
| Fabian Rohner | D | 70 | 6.70 | — | 1 | — | 14 | 9% | 1 | — | — |
| Alexandre Jankewitz | M | 93 | 7.00 | — | — | 1 | 26 | 19% | 2 | — | — |
| S. Cueni | M | 70 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 22 | 15% | 2 | 1 | — |
| Pajtim Kasami | M | 78 | 7.90 | 1 | — | 3 | 29 | 19% | — | 1 | — |
| Nishan Burkart | F | 70 | 7.20 | — | — | 3 | 16 | 8% | 2 | — | — |
| A. Hunziker | F | 93 | 5.90 | 1 | — | 3 | 6 | 3% | 1 | 1 | — |
| T. Golliard | F | 93 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 19 | 14% | 3 | — | — |
| Roman Buess | F | 23 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 5 | 2% | — | — | — |
| Souleymane Diaby | D | 48 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 28 | 17% | 5 | — | — |
FC Zurich — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Silas Huber | G | 93 | 7.60 | — | — | — | 22 | 12% | — | — | — |
| S. Walker | D | 61 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 17 | 14% | — | 1 | — |
| A. Hack | D | 93 | 7.90 | — | — | — | 41 | 36% | — | — | — |
| D | 93 | 7.50 | — | — | — | 30 | 19% | 1 | — | — | |
| S. Hodža | D | 70 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 18 | 12% | — | — | — |
| C. Tsawa | M | 93 | 6.30 | — | — | 3 | 36 | 32% | 1 | — | — |
| Nelson Palacio | M | 93 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 42 | 40% | 1 | 1 | — |
| Ivan Cavaleiro | M | 86 | 7.20 | — | — | 1 | 30 | 24% | 1 | — | — |
| N. Di Giusto | M | 61 | 6.20 | — | — | 1 | 12 | 9% | — | — | — |
| J. Perea | M | 70 | 6.50 | 1 | — | 1 | 16 | 11% | — | 1 | — |
| P. Keny | F | 93 | 6.30 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 19 | 16% | — | — | — |
| B. Krasniqi | M | 32 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 13 | 12% | — | — | — |
| Ilan Sauter | D | 32 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 12 | 8% | — | — | — |
| L. Comenencia | D | 23 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 7 | 6% | — | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of FC Winterthur vs FC Zurich?
The final score was FC Winterthur 2–2 FC Zurich.
What did the model predict before FC Winterthur vs FC Zurich?
The model assigned 48% probability to a FC Winterthur win, 25% to a draw, and 25% to an FC Zurich win.