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Super League · Regular Season - 11 October 24, 2026 18:00 Letzigrund, Zurich
FC Zurich
#4 · 17 pts
2 – 1
Final score
FC Luzern
#8 · 12 pts
Philippe Paulin Keny 26' (pen.)
Bung Meng Freimann 52' (og)
71' (ast. Matteo Di Giusto) Oscar Kabwit Tshikomb
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The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave FC Zurich a 39% win probability (draw 25%, FC Luzern 35%). The final result was FC Zurich 2–1 FC Luzern. In 4 previous meetings, FC Zurich have won 1 times, with 1 draws and 2 wins for FC Luzern.

Match statistics
13
Total shots
28
6
Shots on target
6
1.79
Actual xG
2.85
0
Saves
5
43%
Possession
57%
2
Corners
9
20
Tackles
25
2
🟨 Yellow cards
2
Match Events
25'
Bung Meng Freimann
⚽Philippe Paulin Keny (pen.)
26'
Miguel Reichmuth
49'
⚽Bung Meng Freimann (og)
52'
56'
Levin Winkler / Lucas Manuel Silva Ferreira ↕
57'
Nando Toggenburger / Tyron Owusu ↕
↕ Livano Comenencia / Mohamed Bangoura
64'
↕ Kevin Spadanuda / Nevio Emanuele Di Giusto
64'
71'
ast. Matteo Di Giusto · Oscar Kabwit Tshikomb⚽
72'
Aurelio Oehlers / Oscar Kabwit Tshikomb ↕
72'
Rúben Dantas Fernandes / Mio Zimmermann ↕
Philippe Paulin Keny
79'
↕ Leandro Schödler / Valon Berisha
89'
Pre-match prediction
39.45%
FC ←
25.02%
X
35.53%
FC
we assigned to the actual result (FC Zurich) 39.45% (low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
FC
1.94
1.79
-0.15
FC
1.76
2.85
+1.09
FC Luzern dominated by xG (2.85 vs 1.79). The final result does not reflect the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
League Table
#Team GPts
1 FC Lugano FC Lugano 11 31
2 BSC Young Boys BSC Young Boys 11 25
3 FC Sion FC Sion 11 22
4 FC Zurich FC Zurich 11 17
5 Servette FC Servette FC 11 16
6 FC ST. Gallen FC ST. Gallen 11 16
7 FC Basel 1893 FC Basel 1893 11 14
8 FC Luzern FC Luzern 11 12
9 FC Thun FC Thun 11 10
10 FC Vaduz FC Vaduz 11 9
11 Grasshoppers Grasshoppers 11 9
12 Lausanne Lausanne 11 6
Lineups
FC Zurich FC Zurich 4-1-4-1
1
G 6.41
44 S. Walker S. Walker D 6.27
42 A. Hack A. Hack D 7.74
2 L. Kamberi L. Kamberi D 7.13
47
D 6.41
21 L. Schodler L. Schodler 89' M 6.55
11 U. Emmanuel U. Emmanuel M 6.21
8 L. Comenencia L. Comenencia 64' M 6.13
38 M. Reichmuth M. Reichmuth M 6.74
17 K. Spadanuda K. Spadanuda 64' M 6.57
19 P. Keny P. Keny 1 ⚽ F 7.37
Bench
48 D. Ihendu D. Ihendu D 0.00
49 D. Ramić D. Ramić F 0.00
13 H. Lindner H. Lindner G 0.00
4 J. Segura J. Segura D 0.00
46 J. Stiel J. Stiel M 0.00
18 M. Bangoura M. Bangoura 26' M 6.52
14 N. Di Giusto N. Di Giusto 26' M 6.38
43 N. Volken N. Volken D 0.00
23 V. Berisha V. Berisha 1' M 6.34
FC Luzern FC Luzern 4-2-2-2
30 K. Letica K. Letica G 7.55
14 A. Cigaņiks A. Cigaņiks D 5.73
46 B. Freimann B. Freimann 1 ⚽ D 4.85
13 B. Freimann B. Freimann 1 ⚽ D 4.85
20 P. Dorn P. Dorn D 5.93
24 T. Owusu T. Owusu 57' M 6.13
80 Mio Zimmermann Mio Zimmermann 72' M 6.15
11 M. Di Giusto M. Di Giusto 1 👟 M 7.70
10 Lucas Ferreira Lucas Ferreira 56' M 5.55
19 D. Mikołajewski D. Mikołajewski F 6.75
16 O. tshikomb O. tshikomb 1 ⚽ 72' F 8.20
Bench
9 A. Grbić A. Grbić F 0.00
7 A. Oehlers A. Oehlers 18' F 6.28
29 Levin Winkler Levin Winkler 34' M 6.35
21 L. Lüthi L. Lüthi D 0.00
27 L. Villiger L. Villiger F 0.00
15 N. Toggenburger N. Toggenburger 33' F 6.46
22 R. Fernandes R. Fernandes 18' D 6.54
5 S. Knežević S. Knežević D 0.00
1 S. Simoni S. Simoni G 0.00
Best on the pitch
O. tshikomb
O. tshikomb
F · FC
8.20
1 ⚽
2 shots · 16 pass
A. Hack
A. Hack
D · FC
7.74
· 47 pass
M. Di Giusto
M. Di Giusto
M · FC
7.70
1 👟
5 shots · 46 pass
K. Letica
K. Letica
G · FC
7.55
· 33 pass
P. Keny
P. Keny
F · FC
7.37
1 ⚽
2 shots · 33 pass
L. Kamberi
L. Kamberi
D · FC
7.13
· 45 pass
FC Zurich FC Zurich — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
G 90 6.41 — — 0 33 25% 2 — —
S. Walker D 90 6.27 — — 0 31 25% 2 — —
A. Hack D 90 7.74 — — 0 47 40% 3 — —
L. Kamberi D 90 7.13 — — 0 45 40% 2 — —
D 90 6.41 — — 0 33 25% 2 — —
L. Schodler M 89 6.55 — — 1 33 26% 2 — —
U. Emmanuel M 90 6.21 — — 3 21 16% 1 — —
L. Comenencia M 64 6.13 — — 0 21 15% 2 — —
M. Reichmuth M 90 6.74 — — 3 36 26% 2 1 —
K. Spadanuda M 64 6.57 — — 3 14 11% 1 — —
P. Keny F 90 7.37 1 — 2 33 19% 1 1 —
M. Bangoura M 26 6.52 — — 1 4 2% 0 — —
N. Di Giusto M 26 6.38 — — 0 4 4% 0 — —
V. Berisha M 1 6.34 — — 0 1 0% 0 — —
FC Luzern FC Luzern — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
K. Letica G 90 7.55 — — 0 33 28% 0 — —
A. Cigaņiks D 90 5.73 — — 1 60 42% 1 — —
B. Freimann D 90 4.85 1 — 1 66 55% 1 1 —
B. Freimann D 90 4.85 1 — 1 66 55% 1 1 —
P. Dorn D 90 5.93 — — 1 32 21% 7 — —
T. Owusu M 57 6.13 — — 0 17 14% 3 — —
Mio Zimmermann M 72 6.15 — — 1 34 32% 4 — —
M. Di Giusto M 90 7.70 — 1 5 46 34% 1 — —
Lucas Ferreira M 56 5.55 — — 0 25 16% 3 — —
D. Mikołajewski F 90 6.75 — — 7 24 20% 2 — —
O. tshikomb F 72 8.20 1 — 2 16 12% 1 — —
A. Oehlers F 18 6.28 — — 1 6 5% 0 — —
Levin Winkler M 34 6.35 — — 3 21 17% 0 — —
N. Toggenburger F 33 6.46 — — 4 17 11% 1 — —
R. Fernandes D 18 6.54 — — 1 12 10% 0 — —
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of FC Zurich vs FC Luzern?
The final score was FC Zurich 2–1 FC Luzern.
What did the model predict before FC Zurich vs FC Luzern?
The model assigned 39% probability to a FC Zurich win, 25% to a draw, and 35% to an FC Luzern win.