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Liga 1 · Regular Season - 11 October 10, 2026 20:30 Arena Naţională, Bucureşti
FCSB
#6 · 21 pts
1 – 0
Final score
Oţelul
#14 · 11 pts
Alexandru Stoian (ast. Valentin Crețu) 65'
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The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave FCSB a 54% win probability (draw 24%, Oţelul 21%). The final result was FCSB 1–0 Oţelul. In 3 previous meetings, FCSB have won 3 times, with 0 draws and 0 wins for Oţelul.

Match statistics
21
Total shots
10
4
Shots on target
1
1.39
Actual xG
0.64
1
Saves
3
66%
Possession
34%
6
Corners
3
11
Tackles
9
2
🟨 Yellow cards
3
0
🟥 Red cards
1
Match Events
3'
Habib Sylla
Ofri Arad
14'
Valentin Crețu
45'
47'
Denis Bordun
53'
54'
Habib Sylla
54'
Dominick Zator / Ze Turbo ↕
54'
Alexandru Viorel Bălănică / Denis Bordun ↕
↕ Ofri Arad / Joao Paulo Fernandes
56'
↕ Paul Arnold Garita / Alexandru Stoian
57'
59'
Giannis Christopoulos
⚽Alexandru Stoian · ast. Valentin Crețu
65'
↕ Meriton Korenica / Dennis Politic
78'
↕ Juri Cisotti / Eddy Gnahoré
78'
80'
João Paulino / Andrei Ciobanu ↕
90'+1
Dan Cristian Neicu / Pedro Nuno ↕
90'+1
Dragos Andrei Aftene / Rafael Brito ↕
Pre-match prediction
54.24%
FCSB ←
24.73%
X
21.04%
Oţelul
we assigned to the actual result (FCSB) 54.24% (medium confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
FCSB
1.79
1.39
-0.4
Oţelul
0.74
0.64
-0.1
FCSB dominated by xG (1.39 vs 0.64). The final result reflects the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates were accurate.
League Table
#Team GPts
1 Dinamo Bucuresti Dinamo Bucuresti 13 30
2 Universitatea Craiova Universitatea Craiova 13 29
3 Rapid Rapid 13 27
4 Petrolul Ploiesti Petrolul Ploiesti 13 23
5 Universitatea Cluj Universitatea Cluj 13 22
6 FCSB FCSB 13 21
7 Farul Constanta Farul Constanta 13 20
8 Uta Arad Uta Arad 13 18
9 CFR 1907 Cluj CFR 1907 Cluj 13 17
10 Corvinul Hunedoara Corvinul Hunedoara 13 16
11 FC Botosani FC Botosani 13 14
12 Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe 13 14
13 Arges Pitesti Arges Pitesti 13 12
14 Oţelul Oţelul 13 11
15 FC Voluntari FC Voluntari 13 8
16 Csikszereda Csikszereda 13 5
Lineups
FCSB FCSB 4-2-3-1
32 Ș. Târnovanu Ș. Târnovanu G 6.53
4 Ricardo Padurariu Ricardo Padurariu D 8.00
3 André Duarte André Duarte D 7.39
5 J. Dawa J. Dawa D 7.15
2 V. Crețu V. Crețu 1 👟 D 7.93
15 O. Arad O. Arad 56' M 6.69
73 K. Muhar K. Muhar M 7.20
7 M. Korenica M. Korenica 78' M 7.06
31 J. Cisotti J. Cisotti 78' M 6.73
11 D. Miculescu D. Miculescu M 6.25
14 A. Garita A. Garita 57' F 6.59
Bench
90 A. Stoian A. Stoian 1 ⚽ 33' F 7.95
19 D. Avram D. Avram F 0.00
21 D. Batubinsika D. Batubinsika D 0.00
20 D. Politic D. Politic 12' F 6.82
8 E. Gnahoré E. Gnahoré 12' M 6.53
18 João Paulo João Paulo 34' M 6.63
77 L. Stancu L. Stancu M 0.00
13 M. Popa M. Popa G 0.00
22 M. Toma M. Toma M 0.00
33 R. Radunović R. Radunović D 0.00
Oţelul Oţelul 4-3-3
1 C. Dur-Bozoancă C. Dur-Bozoancă G 6.34
28 Miguel Silva Miguel Silva D 6.03
6 P. Iacob P. Iacob D 6.36
3 G. Christopoulos G. Christopoulos D 6.74
5 H. Sylla H. Sylla 54' D 5.00
27 Pedro Nuno Pedro Nuno 89' M 6.10
8 Rafael Brito Rafael Brito 89' M 6.48
17 A. Ciobanu A. Ciobanu 80' M 6.63
9 Patrick Patrick F 6.83
11 Zé Turbo Zé Turbo 54' F 6.21
24 D. Bordun D. Bordun 54' F 6.00
Bench
77 A. Balanica A. Balanica 36' F 6.30
18 D. Aftene D. Aftene 1' M 0.00
16 D. Neicu D. Neicu D 0.00
44 D. Zator D. Zator 36' D 6.39
13 M. Contra M. Contra G 0.00
15 Mehmet Titiz Mehmet Titiz 1' F 0.00
30 M. Frunză M. Frunză M 0.00
7 Paulino Joao Paulino Joao 10' F 6.61
20 R. Olteanu R. Olteanu M 0.00
Best on the pitch
Ricardo Padurariu
Ricardo Padurariu
D · FCSB
8.00
1 shots · 73 pass
A. Stoian
A. Stoian
F · FCSB
7.95
1 ⚽
3 shots · 3 pass
V. Crețu
V. Crețu
D · FCSB
7.93
1 👟
2 shots · 31 pass
André Duarte
André Duarte
D · FCSB
7.39
1 shots · 97 pass
K. Muhar
K. Muhar
M · FCSB
7.20
1 shots · 87 pass
J. Dawa
J. Dawa
D · FCSB
7.15
1 shots · 61 pass
FCSB FCSB — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
Ș. Târnovanu G 90 6.53 — — 0 24 16% 0 — —
Ricardo Padurariu D 90 8.00 — — 1 73 67% 0 — —
André Duarte D 90 7.39 — — 1 97 94% 1 — —
J. Dawa D 90 7.15 — — 1 61 54% 1 — —
V. Crețu D 90 7.93 — 1 2 31 27% 0 1 —
O. Arad M 56 6.69 — — 1 35 31% 1 1 —
K. Muhar M 90 7.20 — — 1 87 79% 1 — —
M. Korenica M 78 7.06 — — 5 41 35% 2 — —
J. Cisotti M 78 6.73 — — 2 26 22% 2 — —
D. Miculescu M 90 6.25 — — 2 15 10% 1 — —
A. Garita F 57 6.59 — — 0 7 6% 1 — —
A. Stoian F 33 7.95 1 — 3 3 3% 0 — —
D. Politic F 12 6.82 — — 1 8 6% 0 — —
E. Gnahoré M 12 6.53 — — 0 13 10% 1 — —
João Paulo M 34 6.63 — — 1 13 11% 0 — —
Oţelul Oţelul — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
C. Dur-Bozoancă G 90 6.34 — — 0 33 16% 0 — —
Miguel Silva D 90 6.03 — — 1 27 18% 1 — —
P. Iacob D 90 6.36 — — 1 39 33% 0 — —
G. Christopoulos D 90 6.74 — — 2 29 26% 1 1 —
H. Sylla D 54 5.00 — — 0 16 12% 0 1 1
Pedro Nuno M 89 6.10 — — 2 25 16% 0 — —
Rafael Brito M 89 6.48 — — 0 24 20% 1 — —
A. Ciobanu M 80 6.63 — — 2 30 28% 1 — —
Patrick F 90 6.83 — — 0 17 9% 2 — —
Zé Turbo F 54 6.21 — — 0 4 3% 0 — —
D. Bordun F 54 6.00 — — 0 9 4% 0 1 —
A. Balanica F 36 6.30 — — 0 6 5% 0 — —
D. Aftene M 1 0.00 — — 0 2 1% 1 — —
D. Zator D 36 6.39 — — 0 13 8% 2 — —
Mehmet Titiz F 1 0.00 — — 0 1 0% 0 — —
Paulino Joao F 10 6.61 — — 2 2 2% 0 — —
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of FCSB vs Oţelul?
The final score was FCSB 1–0 Oţelul.
What did the model predict before FCSB vs Oţelul?
The model assigned 54% probability to a FCSB win, 24% to a draw, and 21% to an Oţelul win.