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Felgueiras 1932 - Fafe

Taça de Portugal October 17, 2026 16:00
⚡ Pre-match analysis
28.51%
Win
Felgueiras 1932
24.96%
Draw
46.53%
Win
Fafe
1.16
Expected xG
1.82

Market probabilities

Most likely result 1–1 (11.0%)
1X2 Result
1 29%
X 25%
2 47%
Double Chance
1X 54%
X2 72%
12 75%
Over / Under
Over 1.5 81%
Over 2.5 63%
✓ 63.6% hit rate (44 picks)
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The ForzaPitch prediction gives Fafe a 46% win probability, against 24% for a draw and 28% for Felgueiras 1932. Expected goals are 1.2 for Felgueiras 1932 and 1.8 for Fafe (total 3.0), with a 81% probability of Over 1.5 goals. The most likely scoreline is 1–1 at 11.0% probability.

Season Stats

Felgueiras 1932
2W 0D 1L
Fafe
7W 1D 1L
Averages per game
2.0
Goals
1.4
0.7
Conceded
0.6
Percentages
100%
O 1.5
56%
33%
O 2.5
33%
0%
BTTS
33%
67%
Clean Sht
56%
ℹ Based on the last 9 matches in Taça de Portugal. Bars use fixed scales (goals max 3.5, percentages 0–100%).

Score Matrix

↕ Felgueiras 1932 Fafe →
0 1 2 3 4 5
0 5.1% 9.2% 8.4% 5.1% 2.3% 0.8%
1 5.9% 10.7% 9.8% 5.9% 2.7% 1.0%
2 3.4% 6.2% 5.7% 3.4% 1.6% 0.6%
3 1.3% 2.4% 2.2% 1.3% 0.6% 0.2%
4 0.4% 0.7% 0.6% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1%
5 0.1% 0.2% 0.1% 0.1% — —

Recent form

W Naval 1893 0–2
L Atlético CP 2–0
W Sanjoanense 0–4
Home clean sheet (120 days) 16%
W Lajense 4–0
W Pacos Ferreira 0–1
L Torreense 2–0
D Torreense 1–1
W SC Braga 2–1
Away clean sheet (120 days) 43%

Playing profile

Felgueiras 1932 Felgueiras 1932
Attack
31
Defence
79
Form
56
Fafe Fafe
Attack
48
Defence
87
Form
70
Indices on a 0–100 scale calculated by the model
Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win Felgueiras 1932 vs Fafe?
The model gives Felgueiras 1932 a 28% win probability, 24% for a draw, and 46% for an Fafe win.
How many goals are expected in Felgueiras 1932 vs Fafe?
Expected goals: Felgueiras 1932 1.2, Fafe 1.8 (total 3.0). Probability of over 1.5 goals: 81%.
What is the most likely score in Felgueiras 1932 vs Fafe?
1–1 is the most probable final score, with an estimated probability of 11.0%.