Süper Lig
· Regular Season - 8
October 17, 2026 18:00
R. Lukaku
(ast. L. Mercan)
40'
K. Akturkoglu
71'
V. Muriqi
(ast. K. Akturkoglu)
87'
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Fenerbahçe a 52% win probability (draw 24%, Alanyaspor 22%). The final result was Fenerbahçe 3–0 Alanyaspor. In 2 previous meetings, Fenerbahçe have won 1 times, with 1 draws and 0 wins for Alanyaspor.
Match statistics
16
Total shots
10
7
Shots on target
5
3.75
Actual xG
0.99
4
Saves
5
60%
Possession
40%
4
Corners
3
8
Tackles
12
1
🟨 Yellow cards
0
Match Events
⚽M. Greenwood
(missed pen.)
17'
18'
⚽R. Lukaku
· ast. L. Mercan
40'
48'
60'
I. Hagi
/
I. Kaya
60'
M. Elia
/
Hwang Ui-Jo
M. Greenwood
/ K. Akturkoglu
67'
⚽K. Akturkoglu
71'
O. Aydin
73'
74'
O. Ben Ali
/
A. Usluoglu
74'
E. Keskin
/
Ruan
I. Kahveci
/ M. Yandas
77'
L. Mercan
/ A. Brown
77'
O. Aydin
/ D. Nene
81'
R. Lukaku
/ V. Muriqi
81'
⚽V. Muriqi
· ast. K. Akturkoglu
87'
90'+1
Maestro
/
B. Gezek
Pre-match prediction
52.48%
Fenerbahçe ←
24.53%
X
22.99%
Alanyaspor
we assigned to the actual result (Fenerbahçe)
52.48%
(medium confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
2.56
3.75
+1.19
0.99
0.99
+0.0
Fenerbahçe dominated by xG (3.75 vs 0.99).
The final result reflects the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
31
Ederson
G
Ederson
G
22
Levent Mercan
1 👟
77'
D
Levent Mercan
1 👟
77'
D
15
N. Aké
D
N. Aké
D
37
Milan Škriniar
D
Milan Škriniar
D
27
Nélson Semedo
D
Nélson Semedo
D
6
Mattéo Guendouzi
M
Mattéo Guendouzi
M
91
N'Golo Kanté
M
N'Golo Kanté
M
70
O. Aydın
81'
M
O. Aydın
81'
M
11
M. Greenwood
67'
M
M. Greenwood
67'
M
17
İ. Kahveci
77'
M
İ. Kahveci
77'
M
9
Romelu Lukaku
1 ⚽
81'
F
Romelu Lukaku
1 ⚽
81'
F
Bench
3
Archie Brown
14'
D
Archie Brown
14'
D
28
Bartuğ Elmaz
M
Bartuğ Elmaz
M
5
İsmail Yüksek
M
İsmail Yüksek
M
7
K. Aktürkoğlu
1 ⚽
1 👟
24'
F
K. Aktürkoğlu
1 ⚽
1 👟
24'
F
21
Kojo Peprah Oppong
D
Kojo Peprah Oppong
D
34
Mert Günok
G
Mert Günok
G
8
Mert Hakan Yandaş
14'
M
Mert Hakan Yandaş
14'
M
45
N. Dorgeles
10'
F
N. Dorgeles
10'
F
19
V. Muriqi
1 ⚽
10'
F
V. Muriqi
1 ⚽
10'
F
14
Yiğit Efe Demir
D
Yiğit Efe Demir
D
48
Paulo Victor
G
Paulo Victor
G
20
Fatih Aksoy
D
Fatih Aksoy
D
5
Fidan Aliti
D
Fidan Aliti
D
3
Nuno Lima
D
Nuno Lima
D
11
Ruan Pereira Duarte
74'
M
Ruan Pereira Duarte
74'
M
55
Baran Ali Gezek
M
Baran Ali Gezek
M
42
Gaius Makouta
M
Gaius Makouta
M
94
Florent Hadergjonaj
M
Florent Hadergjonaj
M
7
Ibrahim Kaya
60'
F
Ibrahim Kaya
60'
F
17
Arda Usluoğlu
74'
F
Arda Usluoğlu
74'
F
16
Hwang Ui-Jo
60'
F
Hwang Ui-Jo
60'
F
Bench
4
Bedirhan Özyurt
D
Bedirhan Özyurt
D
14
Emre Demir
M
Emre Demir
M
8
Enes Keskin
17'
M
Enes Keskin
17'
M
10
Ianis Hagi
31'
M
Ianis Hagi
31'
M
26
İzzet Çelik
M
İzzet Çelik
M
58
Maestro
M
Maestro
M
23
Mert Furkan Bayram
G
Mert Furkan Bayram
G
12
Meschak Elia
31'
F
Meschak Elia
31'
F
9
Omar Ben Ali
17'
F
Omar Ben Ali
17'
F
88
Yusuf Özdemir
M
Yusuf Özdemir
M
Best on the pitch
Ederson
G · Fenerbahçe
8.30
· 24 pass
Nélson Semedo
D · Fenerbahçe
8.30
· 54 pass
Mattéo Guendouzi
M · Fenerbahçe
8.30
1 shots
· 62 pass
Levent Mercan
D · Fenerbahçe
8.00
1 👟
· 52 pass
K. Aktürkoğlu
F · Fenerbahçe
7.90
1 ⚽ 1 👟
1 shots
· 6 pass
Baran Ali Gezek
M · Alanyaspor
7.70
· 30 pass
Fenerbahçe — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ederson | G | 91 | 8.30 | — | — | — | 24 | 15% | 1 | — | — |
| Levent Mercan | D | 77 | 8.00 | — | 1 | — | 52 | 42% | — | — | — |
| N. Aké | D | 91 | 7.20 | — | — | 1 | 76 | 72% | 1 | — | — |
| Milan Škriniar | D | 91 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 72 | 69% | — | — | — |
| Nélson Semedo | D | 91 | 8.30 | — | — | — | 54 | 53% | 2 | — | — |
| Mattéo Guendouzi | M | 91 | 8.30 | — | — | 1 | 62 | 59% | 1 | — | — |
| N'Golo Kanté | M | 91 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 35 | 32% | 1 | — | — |
| O. Aydın | M | 81 | 6.50 | — | — | 2 | 33 | 29% | 1 | 1 | — |
| M. Greenwood | M | 67 | 7.60 | — | — | 3 | 35 | 33% | — | — | — |
| İ. Kahveci | M | 77 | 7.20 | — | — | 2 | 33 | 26% | — | — | — |
| Romelu Lukaku | F | 81 | 6.60 | 1 | — | 3 | 14 | 8% | 1 | — | — |
| Archie Brown | D | 14 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 6 | 6% | — | — | — |
| K. Aktürkoğlu | F | 24 | 7.90 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 4% | — | — | — |
| Mert Hakan Yandaş | M | 14 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 17 | 16% | — | — | — |
| N. Dorgeles | F | 10 | 6.30 | — | — | 2 | 4 | 4% | — | — | — |
| V. Muriqi | F | 10 | 7.20 | 1 | — | 1 | 1 | 1% | — | — | — |
Alanyaspor — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Paulo Victor | G | 91 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 26 | 19% | — | — | — |
| Fatih Aksoy | D | 91 | 5.70 | — | — | — | 56 | 49% | — | — | — |
| Fidan Aliti | D | 91 | 6.70 | — | — | 1 | 40 | 37% | 2 | — | — |
| Nuno Lima | D | 91 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 37 | 32% | 4 | — | — |
| Ruan Pereira Duarte | M | 74 | 6.20 | — | — | 3 | 28 | 22% | 1 | — | — |
| Baran Ali Gezek | M | 91 | 7.70 | — | — | — | 30 | 30% | 1 | — | — |
| Gaius Makouta | M | 91 | 7.30 | — | — | 1 | 36 | 27% | 1 | — | — |
| Florent Hadergjonaj | M | 91 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 26 | 21% | 1 | — | — |
| Ibrahim Kaya | F | 60 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 21 | 21% | — | — | — |
| Arda Usluoğlu | F | 74 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 8 | 6% | 1 | — | — |
| Hwang Ui-Jo | F | 60 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 8 | 4% | — | — | — |
| Enes Keskin | M | 17 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 7 | 7% | — | — | — |
| Ianis Hagi | M | 31 | 6.70 | — | — | 2 | 11 | 11% | 1 | — | — |
| Meschak Elia | F | 31 | 6.60 | — | — | 2 | 9 | 8% | — | — | — |
| Omar Ben Ali | F | 17 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 4 | 3% | — | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Fenerbahçe vs Alanyaspor?
The final score was Fenerbahçe 3–0 Alanyaspor.
What did the model predict before Fenerbahçe vs Alanyaspor?
The model assigned 52% probability to a Fenerbahçe win, 24% to a draw, and 22% to an Alanyaspor win.