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Fenerbahçe - AS Roma

Champions League September 10, 2026 18:45
Fenerbahçe
#13 · 0 pts
vs
AS Roma
#23 · 0 pts
⚡ Pre-match analysis
39.0%
Win
Fenerbahçe
31.25%
Draw
29.75%
Win
AS Roma
1.14
Expected xG
0.81

Market probabilities

Most likely result 1–0 (13.96%)
1X2 Result
1 39%
X 31%
2 30%
Double Chance
1X 70%
X2 61%
12 69%
Over / Under
Over 1.5 78%
Over 2.5 57%
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The ForzaPitch prediction gives Fenerbahçe a 39% win probability, against 31% for a draw and 29% for AS Roma. Expected goals are 1.1 for Fenerbahçe and 0.8 for AS Roma (total 2.0), with a 77% probability of Over 1.5 goals. The most likely scoreline is 1–0 at 13.96% probability.

Score Matrix

↕ Fenerbahçe AS Roma →
0 1 2 3 4 5
0 14.2% 11.6% 4.7% 1.3% 0.3% —
1 16.2% 13.2% 5.3% 1.4% 0.3% —
2 9.2% 7.5% 3.0% 0.8% 0.2% —
3 3.5% 2.8% 1.2% 0.3% 0.1% —
4 1.0% 0.8% 0.3% 0.1% — —
5 0.2% 0.2% 0.1% — — —

Recent form

Fenerbahçe Fenerbahçe
W Lyon 1–2
D Lyon 1–1
W Sturm Graz 0–1
W Sturm Graz 2–0
D Gornik Zabrze 1–1
Home clean sheet (120 days) 36%
AS Roma AS Roma
No data available
Away clean sheet (120 days) 28%

Playing profile

Fenerbahçe Fenerbahçe
Attack
56
Defence
68
Form
59
AS Roma AS Roma
Attack
64
Defence
54
Form
47
Indices on a 0–100 scale calculated by the model

League Table

# Team G Pts
1 Manchester City Manchester City 1 3
2 Aston Villa Aston Villa 1 3
3 Real Betis Real Betis 1 3
4 Borussia Dortmund Borussia Dortmund 1 3
5 Real Madrid Real Madrid 1 3
6 AEK Athens FC AEK Athens FC 1 3
7 Arsenal Arsenal 0 0
8 Atletico Madrid Atletico Madrid 0 0
9 Barcelona Barcelona 0 0
10 Bayern München Bayern München 0 0
11 Bodo/Glimt Bodo/Glimt 0 0
12 Como Como 0 0
13 Fenerbahçe Fenerbahçe 0 0
14 Feyenoord Feyenoord 0 0
15 Galatasaray Galatasaray 0 0
16 RB Leipzig RB Leipzig 0 0
17 Lens Lens 0 0
18 Liverpool Liverpool 0 0
19 Manchester United Manchester United 0 0
20 Napoli Napoli 0 0
21 Paris Saint Germain Paris Saint Germain 0 0
22 PSV Eindhoven PSV Eindhoven 0 0
23 AS Roma AS Roma 0 0
24 Slovan Bratislava Slovan Bratislava 0 0
25 Sabah FA Sabah FA 0 0
26 Shakhtar Donetsk Shakhtar Donetsk 0 0
27 Slavia Praha Slavia Praha 0 0
28 Sporting CP Sporting CP 0 0
29 VfB Stuttgart VfB Stuttgart 0 0
30 Viking Viking 0 0
31 Villarreal Villarreal 1 0
32 Club Brugge KV Club Brugge KV 1 0
33 Lille Lille 1 0
34 Inter Inter 1 0
35 Lask Linz Lask Linz 1 0
36 FC Porto FC Porto 1 0
Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win Fenerbahçe vs AS Roma?
The model gives Fenerbahçe a 39% win probability, 31% for a draw, and 29% for an AS Roma win.
How many goals are expected in Fenerbahçe vs AS Roma?
Expected goals: Fenerbahçe 1.1, AS Roma 0.8 (total 2.0). Probability of over 1.5 goals: 77%.
What is the most likely score in Fenerbahçe vs AS Roma?
1–0 is the most probable final score, with an estimated probability of 13.96%.