Süper Lig · Regular Season - 27 March 17, 2026 18:00 Chobani Stadium Fenerbahce Sukru Saracoglu, Istanbul

Fenerbahçe

#5 · 16 pts

4 – 1

Final score

Gaziantep FK

#15 · 8 pts

The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Fenerbahçe a 54% win probability (draw 27%, Gaziantep FK 17%). The final result was Fenerbahçe 4–1 Gaziantep FK. In 3 previous meetings, Fenerbahçe have won 2 times, with 1 draws and 0 wins for Gaziantep FK.

Match statistics

8

Shots on target

4

2.64

Actual xG

1.50

64%

Possession

36%

11

Corners

7

Pre-match prediction

54.39%

Fenerbahçe ←

27.64%

X

17.96%

Gaziantep

we assigned to the actual result (Fenerbahçe) 54.39% (medium confidence)

Expected vs actual xG

Exp.

Actual

Δ

Fenerbahçe

1.76

2.64

+0.88

Gaziantep

1.22

1.50

+0.28

Fenerbahçe dominated by xG (2.64 vs 1.50). The final result reflects the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.

League Table

#	Team	G	Pts
1	Galatasaray	9	22
2	Amed	9	20
3	Trabzonspor	9	19
4	Beşiktaş	9	18
5	Fenerbahçe	9	16
6	Kasımpaşa	9	16
7	Kocaelispor	9	15
8	Erzurumspor FK	9	14
9	Çorum FK	9	13
10	Göztepe	9	12
11	Alanyaspor	9	12
12	Başakşehir	9	11
13	Rizespor	9	10
14	Konyaspor	9	8
15	Gaziantep FK	9	8
16	Gençlerbirliği S.K.	9	8
17	Samsunspor	9	4
18	Eyüpspor	9	3