Fenerbahçe - Liverpool
Champions League
November 04, 2026 18:45
⚡ Pre-match analysis
42.59%
Win
Fenerbahçe
30.38%
Draw
27.02%
Win
Liverpool
1.63
0.38
Expected xG
Market probabilities
Most likely result
1–0
(12.84%)
1X2 Result
1
43%
X
30%
2
27%
Double Chance
1X
73%
X2
57%
12
70%
Over / Under
Over 1.5
77%
Over 2.5
55%
The ForzaPitch prediction gives Fenerbahçe a 42% win probability, against 30% for a draw and 27% for Liverpool. Expected goals are 1.6 for Fenerbahçe and 0.4 for Liverpool (total 2.0), with a 76% probability of Over 1.5 goals. The most likely scoreline is 1–0 at 12.84% probability.
Season Stats
5W
4D
2L
8W
0D
5L
Averages per game
1.4
Goals
2.0
0.8
Conceded
1.1
5.2
Shots OT
7.3
4.7
Corners
6.6
54%
Poss.
52%
Percentages
64%
O 1.5
69%
27%
O 2.5
54%
55%
BTTS
31%
36%
Clean Sht
38%
ℹ
Based on the last 13 matches in Champions League. Bars use fixed scales (goals max 3.5, percentages 0–100%).
Venue Form
Goals signal (venue avg)
17%
O 3.5
34%
BTTS
3W
3D
0L
· at home
3W
0D
3L
· away
1.7
gls/g
1.5
0.7
Conceded
0.8
50%
Win %
50%
100%
Win or Draw
50%
67%
O 1.5
50%
17%
O 2.5
33%
17%
O 3.5
17%
50%
BTTS
17%
50%
Clean Sht
33%
17%
Failed to Score
50%
last 6
ℹ
Home team's record in home matches only · Away team's record in away matches only.
Score Matrix
↕ Fenerbahçe
Liverpool →
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 13.4% | 5.1% | 1.0% | 0.1% | — | — |
| 1 | 21.9% | 8.3% | 1.6% | 0.2% | — | — |
| 2 | 17.8% | 6.8% | 1.3% | 0.2% | — | — |
| 3 | 9.7% | 3.7% | 0.7% | 0.1% | — | — |
| 4 | 3.9% | 1.5% | 0.3% | — | — | — |
| 5 | 1.3% | 0.5% | 0.1% | — | — | — |
Recent form
Playing profile
Fenerbahçe
Attack
53
Defence
68
Form
53
Liverpool
Attack
41
Defence
72
Form
59
Indices on a 0–100 scale calculated by the model
League Table
| # | Team | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Paris Saint Germain
|
1 | 3 |
| 2 |
Bayern München
|
1 | 3 |
| 3 |
Barcelona
|
1 | 3 |
| 4 |
Manchester United
|
1 | 3 |
| 5 |
Como
|
1 | 3 |
| 6 |
VfB Stuttgart
|
1 | 3 |
| 7 |
Sporting CP
|
1 | 3 |
| 8 |
Manchester City
|
1 | 3 |
| 9 |
Aston Villa
|
1 | 3 |
| 10 |
Lens
|
1 | 3 |
| 11 |
Real Betis
|
1 | 3 |
| 12 |
Borussia Dortmund
|
1 | 3 |
| 13 |
Liverpool
|
1 | 3 |
| 14 |
Real Madrid
|
1 | 3 |
| 15 |
Arsenal
|
1 | 3 |
| 16 |
AEK Athens FC
|
1 | 3 |
| 17 |
AS Roma
|
1 | 1 |
| 18 |
Shakhtar Donetsk
|
1 | 1 |
| 19 |
PSV Eindhoven
|
1 | 1 |
| 20 |
Fenerbahçe
|
1 | 1 |
| 21 |
Villarreal
|
1 | 0 |
| 22 |
Lille
|
1 | 0 |
| 23 |
Slavia Praha
|
1 | 0 |
| 24 |
Club Brugge KV
|
1 | 0 |
| 25 |
Inter
|
1 | 0 |
| 26 |
Atletico Madrid
|
1 | 0 |
| 27 |
Napoli
|
1 | 0 |
| 28 |
Lask Linz
|
1 | 0 |
| 29 |
Viking
|
1 | 0 |
| 30 |
Galatasaray
|
1 | 0 |
| 31 |
FC Porto
|
1 | 0 |
| 32 |
RB Leipzig
|
1 | 0 |
| 33 |
Feyenoord
|
1 | 0 |
| 34 |
Sabah FA
|
1 | 0 |
| 35 |
Slovan Bratislava
|
1 | 0 |
| 36 |
Bodo/Glimt
|
1 | 0 |
Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win Fenerbahçe vs Liverpool?
The model gives Fenerbahçe a 42% win probability, 30% for a draw, and 27% for an Liverpool win.
How many goals are expected in Fenerbahçe vs Liverpool?
Expected goals: Fenerbahçe 1.6, Liverpool 0.4 (total 2.0). Probability of over 1.5 goals: 76%.
What is the most likely score in Fenerbahçe vs Liverpool?
1–0 is the most probable final score, with an estimated probability of 12.84%.