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Fenerbahçe - Lyon

Champions League August 18, 2026 21:00
Fenerbahçe
vs
Lyon
⚡ Pre-match analysis
50.36%
Win
Fenerbahçe
25.74%
Draw
23.9%
Win
Lyon
2.07
Expected xG
0.85

Market probabilities

Most likely result 1–0 (11.17%)
1X2 Result
1 50%
X 26%
2 24%
Double Chance
1X 76%
X2 50%
12 74%
Over / Under
Over 1.5 77%
Over 2.5 54%
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The ForzaPitch prediction gives Fenerbahçe a 50% win probability, against 25% for a draw and 23% for Lyon. Expected goals are 2.1 for Fenerbahçe and 0.9 for Lyon (total 2.9), with a 76% probability of Over 1.5 goals. The most likely scoreline is 1–0 at 11.17% probability.

Season Stats

Fenerbahçe
4W 2D 2L
Lyon
1W 0D 1L
Averages per game
1.4
Goals
2.0
0.8
Conceded
1.0
5.0
Shots OT
7.5
5.1
Corners
8.0
57%
Poss.
52%
Percentages
50%
O 1.5
100%
25%
O 2.5
100%
38%
BTTS
50%
50%
Clean Sht
50%
ℹ Based on the last 8 matches in Champions League. Bars use fixed scales (goals max 3.5, percentages 0–100%).

Venue Form

Goals signal (venue avg)
13%
O 3.5
63%
BTTS
Fenerbahçe
3W 1D 0L · at home
Lyon
0W 0D 1L · away
2.0
gls/g
1.0
0.5
Conceded
2.0
75%
Win %
0%
100%
Win or Draw
0%
50%
O 1.5
100%
25%
O 2.5
100%
25%
O 3.5
0%
25%
BTTS
100%
75%
Clean Sht
0%
25%
Failed to Score
0%
last 4
ℹ Home team's record in home matches only · Away team's record in away matches only.

Score Matrix

↕ Fenerbahçe Lyon →
0 1 2 3 4 5
0 5.4% 4.6% 2.0% 0.6% 0.1% —
1 11.2% 9.5% 4.1% 1.2% 0.2% —
2 11.5% 9.8% 4.2% 1.2% 0.3% —
3 7.9% 6.8% 2.9% 0.8% 0.2% —
4 4.1% 3.5% 1.5% 0.4% 0.1% —
5 1.7% 1.4% 0.6% 0.2% — —

Recent form

Fenerbahçe Fenerbahçe
W Sturm Graz 0–1
W Sturm Graz 2–0
D Gornik Zabrze 1–1
W Gornik Zabrze 1–0
L Benfica 1–0
Home clean sheet (120 days) 42%
Lyon Lyon
W Sparta Praha 3–0
L Sparta Praha 2–1
Away clean sheet (120 days) 24%

Playing profile

Fenerbahçe Fenerbahçe
Attack
61
Defence
85
Form
78
Lyon Lyon
Attack
52
Defence
58
Form
65
Indices on a 0–100 scale calculated by the model
Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win Fenerbahçe vs Lyon?
The model gives Fenerbahçe a 50% win probability, 25% for a draw, and 23% for an Lyon win.
How many goals are expected in Fenerbahçe vs Lyon?
Expected goals: Fenerbahçe 2.1, Lyon 0.9 (total 2.9). Probability of over 1.5 goals: 76%.
What is the most likely score in Fenerbahçe vs Lyon?
1–0 is the most probable final score, with an estimated probability of 11.17%.