Fenerbahçe 2–2 Rizespor — pre-match prediction — Süper Lig — April 17, 2026

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Süper Lig · Regular Season - 30 April 17, 2026 19:00 Chobani Stadium Fenerbahce Sukru Saracoglu, Istanbul

Fenerbahçe

#2 · 74 pts

2 – 2

Final score

Rizespor

#8 · 41 pts

Talisca 80' (pen.)

K. Akturkoglu (ast. A. Musaba) 86'

47' (ast. V. Mihaila) A. Sowe

90'+8 (ast. Y. Fofana) M. Sagnan

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The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Fenerbahçe a 53% win probability (draw 24%, Rizespor 22%). The final result was Fenerbahçe 2–2 Rizespor. In 1 previous meetings, Fenerbahçe have won 1 times, with 0 draws and 0 wins for Rizespor.

Match statistics

Total shots

Shots on target

2.44

Actual xG

0.71

Saves

60%

Possession

40%

Corners

Tackles

🟨 Yellow cards

🟥 Red cards

Match Events

36'

T. Antalyali

38'

L. Augusto

40'

C. Hojer

47'

ast. V. Mihaila · A. Sowe⚽

↕ D. Nene / A. Musaba

55'

↕ A. Brown / L. Mercan

55'

61'

S. Akaydin

Talisca

64'

68'

V. Mihaila

↕ S. Cherif / I. Yuksek

70'

72'

S. Akaydin

72'

S. Akaydin

79'

Y. Fofana

⚽Talisca (pen.)

80'

81'

E. Ortakaya / V. Mihaila ↕

81'

M. Sagnan / L. Augusto ↕

82'

G. Papanikolaou / T. Antalyali ↕

⚽K. Akturkoglu · ast. A. Musaba

86'

87'

T. Sahin / C. Hojer ↕

90'+1

A. Mebude / I. Olawoyin ↕

↕ N. Semedo / M. Muldur

90'+6

↕ Talisca / O. Aydin

90'+7

90'+8

ast. Y. Fofana · M. Sagnan⚽

Pre-match prediction

53.47%

Fenerbahçe

24.11%

X ←

22.42%

Rizespor

we assigned to the actual result (Draw) 24.11% (low confidence)

Expected vs actual xG

Exp.

Actual

Fenerbahçe

2.10

2.44

+0.34

Rizespor

1.64

0.71

-0.93

Fenerbahçe dominated by xG (2.44 vs 0.71). The final result does not reflect the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.

League Table

#	Team	G	Pts
1	Galatasaray	34	77
2	Fenerbahçe	34	74
3	Trabzonspor	34	69
4	Beşiktaş	34	60
5	Başakşehir	34	57
6	Göztepe	34	55
7	Samsunspor	34	51
8	Rizespor	34	41
9	Konyaspor	34	40
10	Kocaelispor	34	37
11	Alanyaspor	34	37
12	Gaziantep FK	34	37
13	Kasımpaşa	34	35
14	Gençlerbirliği S.K.	34	34
15	Eyüpspor	34	33
16	Antalyaspor	34	32
17	Kayserispor	34	30
18	Fatih Karagümrük	34	30

Lineups

Fenerbahçe 4-2-3-1

Ederson G 6.50

Archie Brown 55' D 6.30

Ç. Söyüncü D 6.90

Milan Škriniar D 6.90

Nélson Semedo D 7.00

Mattéo Guendouzi M 7.20

N'Golo Kanté M 7.20

K. Aktürkoğlu 1 ⚽ M 7.20

Talisca 1 ⚽ M 7.50

N. Dorgeles 55' M 7.00

S. Cherif 70' F 6.20

Bench

Anthony Musaba 1 👟 43' F 7.50

Fred M

İ. Yüksek 28' M 6.30

Levent Mercan 43' D 6.90

M. Müldür 2' D

Rizespor 4-1-4-1

Y. Fofana 1 👟 G 7.00

Casper Højer 87' D 5.90

S. Akaydin 72' D 6.60

Attila Mocsi D 6.90

Mithat Pala D 6.30

Taylan Antalyalı 82' M 6.00

Valentin Mihăilă 1 👟 81' M 6.60

Q. Laçi M 6.60

Ibrahim Olawoyin M 6.60

Loide Augusto 81' M 6.60

A. Sowe 1 ⚽ F 7.00

Bench

Adedire Emmanuel Awokoya-Mebude 7' F

G. Papanikolaou 16' M 6.20

H. Dervişoğlu F

Modibo Sagnan 1 ⚽ 17' D 6.20

Best on the pitch

Anthony Musaba

F · Fenerbahçe

7.50

1 👟

· 6 pass

Talisca

M · Fenerbahçe

7.50

1 ⚽

5 shots · 19 pass

Mattéo Guendouzi

M · Fenerbahçe

7.20

· 61 pass

N'Golo Kanté

M · Fenerbahçe

7.20

1 shots · 67 pass

K. Aktürkoğlu

M · Fenerbahçe

7.20

1 ⚽

5 shots · 26 pass

Y. Fofana

G · Rizespor

7.00

1 👟

· 33 pass

Fenerbahçe — Player statistics

Team	Pos	Min	Rating	⚽	👟	Shots	Pass	Acc%	Tck	YC	RC
Ederson	G	98	6.50	—	—	—	26	14%	—	—	—
Archie Brown	D	55	6.30	—	—	—	20	15%	2	—	—
Ç. Söyüncü	D	98	6.90	—	—	—	52	42%	2	—	—
Milan Škriniar	D	98	6.90	—	—	—	56	50%	2	—	—
Nélson Semedo	D	96	7.00	—	—	—	45	38%	4	—	—
Mattéo Guendouzi	M	98	7.20	—	—	—	61	53%	1	—	—
N'Golo Kanté	M	98	7.20	—	—	1	67	60%	—	—	—
K. Aktürkoğlu	M	98	7.20	1	—	5	26	19%	—	—	—
Talisca	M	97	7.50	1	—	5	19	13%	2	1	—
N. Dorgeles	M	55	7.00	—	—	—	16	14%	1	—	—
S. Cherif	F	70	6.20	—	—	—	16	12%	—	—	—
Anthony Musaba	F	43	7.50	—	1	—	6	4%	—	—	—
İ. Yüksek	M	28	6.30	—	—	—	13	9%	1	—	—
Levent Mercan	D	43	6.90	—	—	1	14	12%	3	—	—
M. Müldür	D	2	—	—	—	—	1	1%	—	—	—

Rizespor — Player statistics

Team	Pos	Min	Rating	⚽	👟	Shots	Pass	Acc%	Tck	YC	RC
Y. Fofana	G	98	7.00	—	1	—	33	14%	—	1	—
Casper Højer	D	87	5.90	—	—	—	28	21%	—	1	—
S. Akaydin	D	72	6.60	—	—	1	23	17%	4	2	1
Attila Mocsi	D	98	6.90	—	—	—	40	32%	2	—	—
Mithat Pala	D	98	6.30	—	—	—	20	17%	1	—	—
Taylan Antalyalı	M	82	6.00	—	—	—	18	14%	—	1	—
Valentin Mihăilă	M	81	6.60	—	1	—	19	16%	2	1	—
Q. Laçi	M	98	6.60	—	—	1	29	25%	—	—	—
Ibrahim Olawoyin	M	91	6.60	—	—	—	36	29%	3	—	—
Loide Augusto	M	81	6.60	—	—	—	24	19%	1	1	—
A. Sowe	F	98	7.00	1	—	3	18	17%	—	—	—
Adedire Emmanuel Awokoya-Mebude	F	7	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
G. Papanikolaou	M	16	6.20	—	—	—	3	2%	—	—	—
Modibo Sagnan	D	17	6.20	1	—	—	1	1%	1	—	—

Frequently Asked Questions

What was the final score of Fenerbahçe vs Rizespor?

The final score was Fenerbahçe 2–2 Rizespor.

What did the model predict before Fenerbahçe vs Rizespor?

The model assigned 53% probability to a Fenerbahçe win, 24% to a draw, and 22% to an Rizespor win.