Champions League
· 3rd Qualifying Round
August 05, 2026 20:00
Talisca
(ast. K. Akturkoglu)
9'
M. Greenwood
(ast. M. Asensio)
45'
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Fenerbahçe a 42% win probability (draw 26%, Sturm Graz 31%). The final result was Fenerbahçe 2–0 Sturm Graz. In 1 previous meetings, Fenerbahçe have won 1 times, with 0 draws and 0 wins for Sturm Graz.
Match statistics
12
Total shots
2
10
Shots on target
1
1
Saves
8
72%
Possession
28%
4
Corners
2
26
Tackles
16
0
🟨 Yellow cards
3
Match Events
⚽Talisca
· ast. K. Akturkoglu
9'
21'
J. Gorenc Stankovic
J. Oosterwolde
/ A. Brown
30'
⚽M. Greenwood
· ast. M. Asensio
45'
46'
A. Kayombo
/
S. Wlodarczyk
58'
J. Heil
64'
G. Mamageishvili
/
S. Seidl
64'
R. Fosso
/
L. Weinhandl
64'
N. Weiper
/
S. Jatta
65'
A. Kayombo
M. Greenwood
/ Fred
69'
M. Asensio
/ I. Kahveci
69'
K. Akturkoglu
/ O. Aydin
85'
N. Semedo
/ M. Muldur
85'
87'
B. Beganovic
/
J. Hodl
Pre-match prediction
42.5%
Fenerbahçe ←
26.47%
X
31.03%
Sturm
we assigned to the actual result (Fenerbahçe)
42.5%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
2.14
—
—
1.73
—
—
Lineups
34
Mert Günok
G
Mert Günok
G
24
Jayden Oosterwolde
30'
D
Jayden Oosterwolde
30'
D
15
N. Aké
D
N. Aké
D
37
M. Škriniar
D
M. Škriniar
D
27
Nélson Semedo
85'
D
Nélson Semedo
85'
D
91
N'Golo Kanté
M
N'Golo Kanté
M
6
Mattéo Guendouzi
M
Mattéo Guendouzi
M
9
K. Aktürkoğlu
1 👟
85'
M
K. Aktürkoğlu
1 👟
85'
M
10
Marco Asensio
1 👟
69'
M
Marco Asensio
1 👟
69'
M
11
M. Greenwood
1 ⚽
69'
M
M. Greenwood
1 ⚽
69'
M
94
Talisca
1 ⚽
F
Talisca
1 ⚽
F
Bench
3
A. Brown
61'
D
A. Brown
61'
D
20
A. Musaba
F
A. Musaba
F
4
Çağlar Söyüncü
D
Çağlar Söyüncü
D
31
Ederson
G
Ederson
G
7
Fred
22'
M
Fred
22'
M
17
İ. Kahveci
22'
M
İ. Kahveci
22'
M
5
İ. Yüksek
M
İ. Yüksek
M
18
M. Müldür
6'
D
M. Müldür
6'
D
70
O. Aydın
6'
F
O. Aydın
6'
F
26
S. Cherif
F
S. Cherif
F
19
V. Muriqi
F
V. Muriqi
F
14
Yiğit Efe Demir
D
Yiğit Efe Demir
D
53
D. Khudyakov
G
D. Khudyakov
G
18
Emran Soglo
D
Emran Soglo
D
2
J. Mitchell
D
J. Mitchell
D
5
A. Vallci
D
A. Vallci
D
28
J. Heil
D
J. Heil
D
19
S. Seidl
64'
M
S. Seidl
64'
M
4
J. Gorenc Stankovič
M
J. Gorenc Stankovič
M
39
Luca Weinhandl
64'
M
Luca Weinhandl
64'
M
43
Jacob Peter Hödl
87'
M
Jacob Peter Hödl
87'
M
20
S. Jatta
64'
F
S. Jatta
64'
F
17
S. Włodarczyk
45'
F
S. Włodarczyk
45'
F
Bench
22
A. Helac
G
A. Helac
G
11
A. Kayombo
46'
F
A. Kayombo
46'
F
23
A. Malic
D
A. Malic
D
26
B. Beganović
4'
F
B. Beganović
4'
F
32
Christoph Wiener-Pucher
G
Christoph Wiener-Pucher
G
15
G. Mamageishvili
27'
M
G. Mamageishvili
27'
M
40
Julian Halwachs
M
Julian Halwachs
M
27
Luís Balbo
D
Luís Balbo
D
44
N. Weiper
27'
F
N. Weiper
27'
F
30
P. Koller
D
P. Koller
D
21
P. Petrović
D
P. Petrović
D
80
R. Fosso
27'
M
Best on the pitch
M. Škriniar
D · Fenerbahçe
8.90
· 78 pass
D. Khudyakov
G · Sturm
7.90
· 18 pass
Marco Asensio
M · Fenerbahçe
7.70
1 👟
· 39 pass
G. Mamageishvili
M · Sturm
7.30
· 8 pass
N. Aké
D · Fenerbahçe
7.30
1 shots
· 81 pass
N'Golo Kanté
M · Fenerbahçe
7.30
· 62 pass
Fenerbahçe — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mert Günok | G | 91 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 38 | 29% | — | — | — |
| Jayden Oosterwolde | D | 30 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 17 | 15% | 2 | — | — |
| N. Aké | D | 91 | 7.30 | — | — | 1 | 81 | 77% | 2 | — | — |
| M. Škriniar | D | 91 | 8.90 | — | — | — | 78 | 74% | 9 | — | — |
| Nélson Semedo | D | 85 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 50 | 46% | 2 | — | — |
| N'Golo Kanté | M | 91 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 62 | 53% | 5 | — | — |
| Mattéo Guendouzi | M | 91 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 68 | 61% | — | — | — |
| K. Aktürkoğlu | M | 85 | 7.20 | — | 1 | 2 | 25 | 20% | 3 | — | — |
| Marco Asensio | M | 69 | 7.70 | — | 1 | — | 39 | 34% | 1 | — | — |
| M. Greenwood | M | 69 | 7.30 | 1 | — | 2 | 43 | 41% | — | — | — |
| Talisca | F | 91 | 7.20 | 1 | — | 6 | 13 | 10% | — | — | — |
| A. Brown | D | 61 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 35 | 33% | — | — | — |
| Fred | M | 22 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 10 | 10% | 1 | — | — |
| İ. Kahveci | M | 22 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 7 | 7% | 1 | — | — |
| M. Müldür | D | 6 | — | — | — | — | 3 | 3% | — | — | — |
| O. Aydın | F | 6 | — | — | — | 1 | 2 | 2% | — | — | — |
Sturm Graz — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D. Khudyakov | G | 91 | 7.90 | — | — | — | 18 | 12% | — | — | — |
| Emran Soglo | D | 91 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 26 | 22% | 2 | — | — |
| J. Mitchell | D | 91 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 22 | 19% | — | — | — |
| A. Vallci | D | 91 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 24 | 12% | 2 | — | — |
| J. Heil | D | 91 | 6.20 | — | — | 1 | 19 | 16% | 2 | 1 | — |
| S. Seidl | M | 64 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 11 | 6% | 1 | — | — |
| J. Gorenc Stankovič | M | 91 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 37 | 29% | 3 | 1 | — |
| Luca Weinhandl | M | 64 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 7 | 5% | — | — | — |
| Jacob Peter Hödl | M | 87 | 5.90 | — | — | — | 15 | 10% | 3 | — | — |
| S. Jatta | F | 64 | 5.90 | — | — | — | 10 | 9% | — | — | — |
| S. Włodarczyk | F | 45 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 2 | 1% | — | — | — |
| A. Kayombo | F | 46 | 5.60 | — | — | — | 4 | 2% | — | 1 | — |
| B. Beganović | F | 4 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| G. Mamageishvili | M | 27 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 8 | 8% | 2 | — | — |
| N. Weiper | F | 27 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 3 | 3% | — | — | — |
| R. Fosso | M | 27 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 8 | 6% | 1 | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Fenerbahçe vs Sturm Graz?
The final score was Fenerbahçe 2–0 Sturm Graz.
What did the model predict before Fenerbahçe vs Sturm Graz?
The model assigned 42% probability to a Fenerbahçe win, 26% to a draw, and 31% to an Sturm Graz win.