Champions League
· 3rd Qualifying Round
August 05, 2026 20:00
Talisca
(ast. K. Akturkoglu)
9'
M. Greenwood
(ast. M. Asensio)
45'
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Fenerbahçe a 42% win probability (draw 26%, Sturm Graz 31%). The final result was Fenerbahçe 2–0 Sturm Graz.
Match statistics
12
Total shots
2
10
Shots on target
1
1
Saves
8
72%
Possession
28%
4
Corners
2
26
Tackles
16
0
🟨 Yellow cards
3
Match Events
⚽Talisca
· ast. K. Akturkoglu
9'
21'
J. Gorenc Stankovic
J. Oosterwolde
/ A. Brown
30'
⚽M. Greenwood
· ast. M. Asensio
45'
46'
A. Kayombo
/
S. Wlodarczyk
58'
J. Heil
64'
G. Mamageishvili
/
S. Seidl
64'
R. Fosso
/
L. Weinhandl
64'
N. Weiper
/
S. Jatta
65'
A. Kayombo
M. Greenwood
/ Fred
69'
M. Asensio
/ I. Kahveci
69'
K. Akturkoglu
/ O. Aydin
85'
N. Semedo
/ M. Muldur
85'
87'
B. Beganovic
/
J. Hodl
Pre-match prediction
42.5%
Fenerbahçe ←
26.47%
X
31.03%
Sturm
we assigned to the actual result (Fenerbahçe)
42.5%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
2.14
—
—
1.73
—
—
Lineups
34
Mert Günok
G
Mert Günok
G
24
Jayden Oosterwolde
30'
D
Jayden Oosterwolde
30'
D
15
Nathan Aké
D
Nathan Aké
D
37
Milan Škriniar
D
Milan Škriniar
D
27
Nélson Semedo
85'
D
Nélson Semedo
85'
D
91
N'Golo Kanté
M
N'Golo Kanté
M
6
Mattéo Guendouzi
M
Mattéo Guendouzi
M
9
Kerem Aktürkoğlu
1 👟
85'
M
Kerem Aktürkoğlu
1 👟
85'
M
10
Marco Asensio
1 👟
69'
M
Marco Asensio
1 👟
69'
M
11
Mason Greenwood
1 ⚽
69'
M
Mason Greenwood
1 ⚽
69'
M
94
Talisca
1 ⚽
F
Talisca
1 ⚽
F
Bench
20
Anthony Musaba
F
Anthony Musaba
F
3
Archie Brown
61'
D
Archie Brown
61'
D
4
Çağlar Söyüncü
D
Çağlar Söyüncü
D
31
Ederson
G
Ederson
G
7
Fred
22'
M
Fred
22'
M
17
İrfan Can Kahveci
22'
M
İrfan Can Kahveci
22'
M
5
İsmail Yüksek
M
İsmail Yüksek
M
18
Mert Müldür
6'
D
Mert Müldür
6'
D
70
Oğuz Aydın
6'
F
Oğuz Aydın
6'
F
26
Sidiki Cherif
F
Sidiki Cherif
F
19
Vedat Muriqi
F
Vedat Muriqi
F
14
Yiğit Efe Demir
D
Yiğit Efe Demir
D
53
Daniil Khudyakov
G
Daniil Khudyakov
G
18
Emran Soglo
D
Emran Soglo
D
2
Jeyland Mitchell
D
Jeyland Mitchell
D
5
Albert Vallci
D
Albert Vallci
D
28
Jurgen Heil
D
Jurgen Heil
D
19
Simon Seidl
64'
M
Simon Seidl
64'
M
4
Jon Gorenc Stanković
M
Jon Gorenc Stanković
M
39
Luca Weinhandl
64'
M
Luca Weinhandl
64'
M
43
Jacob Hödl
87'
M
Jacob Hödl
87'
M
20
Seedy Jatta
64'
F
Seedy Jatta
64'
F
17
Szymon Włodarczyk
45'
F
Szymon Włodarczyk
45'
F
Bench
22
Ammar Helac
G
Ammar Helac
G
23
Arjan Malić
D
Arjan Malić
D
11
Axel Kayombo
46'
F
Axel Kayombo
46'
F
26
Belmin Beganović
4'
F
Belmin Beganović
4'
F
32
Christoph Wiener-Pucher
G
Christoph Wiener-Pucher
G
15
Gizo Mamageishvili
27'
M
Gizo Mamageishvili
27'
M
40
Julian Halwachs
M
Julian Halwachs
M
27
Luís Balbo
D
Luís Balbo
D
44
Nelson Weiper
27'
F
Nelson Weiper
27'
F
30
Paul Koller
D
Paul Koller
D
21
Petar Petrović
D
Petar Petrović
D
80
Ryan Fosso
27'
M
Ryan Fosso
27'
M
Best on the pitch
Milan Škriniar
D · Fenerbahçe
8.90
· 78 pass
Daniil Khudyakov
G · Sturm
7.90
· 18 pass
Marco Asensio
M · Fenerbahçe
7.70
1 👟
· 39 pass
Gizo Mamageishvili
M · Sturm
7.30
· 8 pass
Nathan Aké
D · Fenerbahçe
7.30
1 shots
· 81 pass
N'Golo Kanté
M · Fenerbahçe
7.30
· 62 pass
Fenerbahçe — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mert Günok | G | 91 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 38 | 29% | — | — | — |
| Jayden Oosterwolde | D | 30 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 17 | 15% | 2 | — | — |
| Nathan Aké | D | 91 | 7.30 | — | — | 1 | 81 | 77% | 2 | — | — |
| Milan Škriniar | D | 91 | 8.90 | — | — | — | 78 | 74% | 9 | — | — |
| Nélson Semedo | D | 85 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 50 | 46% | 2 | — | — |
| N'Golo Kanté | M | 91 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 62 | 53% | 5 | — | — |
| Mattéo Guendouzi | M | 91 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 68 | 61% | — | — | — |
| Kerem Aktürkoğlu | M | 85 | 7.20 | — | 1 | 2 | 25 | 20% | 3 | — | — |
| Marco Asensio | M | 69 | 7.70 | — | 1 | — | 39 | 34% | 1 | — | — |
| Mason Greenwood | M | 69 | 7.30 | 1 | — | 2 | 43 | 41% | — | — | — |
| Talisca | F | 91 | 7.20 | 1 | — | 6 | 13 | 10% | — | — | — |
| Archie Brown | D | 61 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 35 | 33% | — | — | — |
| Fred | M | 22 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 10 | 10% | 1 | — | — |
| İrfan Can Kahveci | M | 22 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 7 | 7% | 1 | — | — |
| Mert Müldür | D | 6 | — | — | — | — | 3 | 3% | — | — | — |
| Oğuz Aydın | F | 6 | — | — | — | 1 | 2 | 2% | — | — | — |
Sturm Graz — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Daniil Khudyakov | G | 91 | 7.90 | — | — | — | 18 | 12% | — | — | — |
| Emran Soglo | D | 91 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 26 | 22% | 2 | — | — |
| Jeyland Mitchell | D | 91 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 22 | 19% | — | — | — |
| Albert Vallci | D | 91 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 24 | 12% | 2 | — | — |
| Jurgen Heil | D | 91 | 6.20 | — | — | 1 | 19 | 16% | 2 | 1 | — |
| Simon Seidl | M | 64 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 11 | 6% | 1 | — | — |
| Jon Gorenc Stanković | M | 91 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 37 | 29% | 3 | 1 | — |
| Luca Weinhandl | M | 64 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 7 | 5% | — | — | — |
| Jacob Hödl | M | 87 | 5.90 | — | — | — | 15 | 10% | 3 | — | — |
| Seedy Jatta | F | 64 | 5.90 | — | — | — | 10 | 9% | — | — | — |
| Szymon Włodarczyk | F | 45 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 2 | 1% | — | — | — |
| Axel Kayombo | F | 46 | 5.60 | — | — | — | 4 | 2% | — | 1 | — |
| Belmin Beganović | F | 4 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Gizo Mamageishvili | M | 27 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 8 | 8% | 2 | — | — |
| Nelson Weiper | F | 27 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 3 | 3% | — | — | — |
| Ryan Fosso | M | 27 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 8 | 6% | 1 | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Fenerbahçe vs Sturm Graz?
The final score was Fenerbahçe 2–0 Sturm Graz.
What did the model predict before Fenerbahçe vs Sturm Graz?
The model assigned 42% probability to a Fenerbahçe win, 26% to a draw, and 31% to an Sturm Graz win.