Fenerbahçe - Villarreal
Champions League
January 20, 2027 18:45
⚡ Pre-match analysis
39.5%
Win
Fenerbahçe
33.27%
Draw
27.23%
Win
Villarreal
1.01
0.56
Expected xG
Market probabilities
Most likely result
1–0
(15.33%)
1X2 Result
1
40%
X
33%
2
27%
Double Chance
1X
73%
X2
61%
12
67%
Over / Under
Over 1.5
76%
Over 2.5
54%
The ForzaPitch prediction gives Fenerbahçe a 39% win probability, against 33% for a draw and 27% for Villarreal. Expected goals are 1.0 for Fenerbahçe and 0.6 for Villarreal (total 1.6), with a 75% probability of Over 1.5 goals. The most likely scoreline is 1–0 at 15.33% probability.
Season Stats
5W
5D
3L
1W
1D
9L
Averages per game
1.3
Goals
1.2
1.3
Conceded
2.4
5.0
Shots OT
4.1
4.8
Corners
3.6
53%
Poss.
44%
Percentages
69%
O 1.5
82%
38%
O 2.5
73%
54%
BTTS
55%
31%
Clean Sht
0%
ℹ
Based on the last 13 matches in Champions League. Bars use fixed scales (goals max 3.5, percentages 0–100%).
Venue Form
Goals signal (venue avg)
40%
O 3.5
45%
BTTS
3W
4D
0L
· at home
0W
0D
6L
· away
1.7
gls/g
0.8
0.9
Conceded
2.7
43%
Win %
0%
100%
Win or Draw
0%
71%
O 1.5
67%
29%
O 2.5
67%
29%
O 3.5
50%
57%
BTTS
33%
43%
Clean Sht
0%
14%
Failed to Score
67%
last 7
ℹ
Home team's record in home matches only · Away team's record in away matches only.
Score Matrix
↕ Fenerbahçe
Villarreal →
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 20.8% | 11.7% | 3.3% | 0.6% | 0.1% | — |
| 1 | 20.9% | 11.8% | 3.3% | 0.6% | 0.1% | — |
| 2 | 10.6% | 5.9% | 1.7% | 0.3% | — | — |
| 3 | 3.5% | 2.0% | 0.6% | 0.1% | — | — |
| 4 | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.1% | — | — | — |
| 5 | 0.2% | 0.1% | — | — | — | — |
Recent form
Playing profile
Fenerbahçe
Attack
50
Defence
60
Form
44
Villarreal
Attack
57
Defence
71
Form
59
Indices on a 0–100 scale calculated by the model
League Table
| # | Team | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Paris Saint Germain
|
3 | 9 |
| 2 |
Aston Villa
|
3 | 9 |
| 3 |
Liverpool
|
3 | 9 |
| 4 |
Real Madrid
|
3 | 9 |
| 5 |
Real Betis
|
3 | 9 |
| 6 |
VfB Stuttgart
|
3 | 7 |
| 7 |
Arsenal
|
3 | 7 |
| 8 |
Barcelona
|
3 | 6 |
| 9 |
Como
|
3 | 6 |
| 10 |
Manchester City
|
3 | 6 |
| 11 |
Club Brugge KV
|
3 | 6 |
| 12 |
Sporting CP
|
3 | 6 |
| 13 |
Borussia Dortmund
|
3 | 6 |
| 14 |
Bayern München
|
3 | 5 |
| 15 |
AS Roma
|
3 | 4 |
| 16 |
Atletico Madrid
|
3 | 4 |
| 17 |
Shakhtar Donetsk
|
3 | 4 |
| 18 |
PSV Eindhoven
|
3 | 4 |
| 19 |
Villarreal
|
3 | 3 |
| 20 |
Inter
|
3 | 3 |
| 21 |
Manchester United
|
3 | 3 |
| 22 |
Napoli
|
3 | 3 |
| 23 |
Galatasaray
|
3 | 3 |
| 24 |
Lask Linz
|
3 | 3 |
| 25 |
Sabah FA
|
3 | 3 |
| 26 |
Feyenoord
|
3 | 3 |
| 27 |
Lens
|
3 | 3 |
| 28 |
Bodo/Glimt
|
3 | 3 |
| 29 |
AEK Athens FC
|
3 | 3 |
| 30 |
RB Leipzig
|
3 | 3 |
| 31 |
Fenerbahçe
|
3 | 2 |
| 32 |
Slavia Praha
|
3 | 1 |
| 33 |
Viking
|
3 | 1 |
| 34 |
FC Porto
|
3 | 0 |
| 35 |
Lille
|
3 | 0 |
| 36 |
Slovan Bratislava
|
3 | 0 |
Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win Fenerbahçe vs Villarreal?
The model gives Fenerbahçe a 39% win probability, 33% for a draw, and 27% for an Villarreal win.
How many goals are expected in Fenerbahçe vs Villarreal?
Expected goals: Fenerbahçe 1.0, Villarreal 0.6 (total 1.6). Probability of over 1.5 goals: 75%.
What is the most likely score in Fenerbahçe vs Villarreal?
1–0 is the most probable final score, with an estimated probability of 15.33%.