Nacho Ferri
13'
Javi López
(ast. Charles Vanhoutte)
59'
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Feyenoord a 39% win probability (draw 27%, AZ Alkmaar 32%). The final result was Feyenoord 2–0 AZ Alkmaar. In 2 previous meetings, Feyenoord have won 0 times, with 2 draws and 0 wins for AZ Alkmaar.
Match statistics
15
Total shots
12
4
Shots on target
2
2.23
Actual xG
1.04
2
Saves
2
43%
Possession
57%
7
Corners
6
22
Tackles
24
1
🟨 Yellow cards
3
Match Events
11'
Lewis Schouten
⚽Nacho Ferri
13'
23'
Ro Zangelo Daal
43'
Oussama Targhalline
45'+2
⚽Javi López
· ast. Charles Vanhoutte
59'
67'
Wouter Goes
68'
Weslley Pinto Batista
/
Ro Zangelo Daal
68'
Denso Kasius
/
Elijah Dijkstra
Gjivai Zechiel
/ Tobias van den Elshout
77'
80'
Bendegúz Kovács
/
Jordy Clasie
Nacho Ferri
/ Gaoussou Kyassou Diarra
89'
Pre-match prediction
39.93%
Feyenoord ←
27.86%
X
32.2%
AZ
we assigned to the actual result (Feyenoord)
39.93%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.70
2.23
+0.53
1.62
1.04
-0.58
Feyenoord dominated by xG (2.23 vs 1.04).
The final result reflects the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
1
T. Ernst
G
T. Ernst
G
16
Javi López
1 ⚽
D
Javi López
1 ⚽
D
35
Mika Màrmol
D
Mika Màrmol
D
6
J. St. Juste
D
J. St. Juste
D
26
G. Read
D
G. Read
D
28
O. Targhalline
M
O. Targhalline
M
34
C. Vanhoutte
1 👟
M
C. Vanhoutte
1 👟
M
8
G. Zechiël
77'
M
G. Zechiël
77'
M
10
L. Valente
F
L. Valente
F
19
Nacho Ferri
1 ⚽
89'
F
Nacho Ferri
1 ⚽
89'
F
23
A. Hadj-Moussa
F
A. Hadj-Moussa
F
Bench
33
F. Kastenmeier
G
F. Kastenmeier
G
27
G. Diarra
1'
F
G. Diarra
1'
F
57
J. Schaken
F
J. Schaken
F
36
J. Zinhagel
F
J. Zinhagel
F
39
L. Bossin
G
L. Bossin
G
20
M. Deijl
D
M. Deijl
D
14
S. Steijn
M
S. Steijn
M
24
T. Kraaijeveld
M
T. Kraaijeveld
M
22
T. van den Elshout
13'
M
T. van den Elshout
13'
M
32
T. Wessels
D
T. Wessels
D
28
J. De Busser
G
J. De Busser
G
5
M. Chávez
D
M. Chávez
D
4
L. Schouten
D
L. Schouten
D
3
W. Goes
D
W. Goes
D
22
E. Dijkstra
68'
D
E. Dijkstra
68'
D
6
P. Koopmeiners
M
P. Koopmeiners
M
14
C. Stengs
M
C. Stengs
M
8
J. Clasie
80'
M
J. Clasie
80'
M
11
R. Daal
68'
F
R. Daal
68'
F
9
M. Meerdink
F
M. Meerdink
F
24
A. Oufkir
F
A. Oufkir
F
Bench
18
B. Kovacs
10'
F
B. Kovacs
10'
F
30
D. Kasius
22'
D
D. Kasius
22'
D
21
D. Kwakman
M
D. Kwakman
M
45
Jerolldino Armantrading
F
Jerolldino Armantrading
F
34
M. de Wit
D
M. de Wit
D
31
R. Ichihara
D
R. Ichihara
D
1
R. Owusu-Oduro
G
R. Owusu-Oduro
G
2
S. Maikuma
D
S. Maikuma
D
17
V. Byskov
M
V. Byskov
M
7
Weslley Patati
22'
F
Weslley Patati
22'
F
29
W. Hoedt
D
W. Hoedt
D
Best on the pitch
C. Vanhoutte
M · Feyenoord
7.70
1 👟
· 40 pass
Javi López
D · Feyenoord
7.46
1 ⚽
1 shots
· 25 pass
Nacho Ferri
F · Feyenoord
7.32
1 ⚽
2 shots
· 19 pass
J. St. Juste
D · Feyenoord
6.96
1 shots
· 44 pass
P. Koopmeiners
M · AZ
6.96
3 shots
· 71 pass
T. Ernst
G · Feyenoord
6.94
· 33 pass
Feyenoord — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| T. Ernst | G | 90 | 6.94 | — | — | 0 | 33 | 18% | 0 | — | — |
| Javi López | D | 90 | 7.46 | 1 | — | 1 | 25 | 20% | 2 | — | — |
| Mika Màrmol | D | 90 | 6.80 | — | — | 0 | 46 | 39% | 3 | — | — |
| J. St. Juste | D | 90 | 6.96 | — | — | 1 | 44 | 38% | 2 | — | — |
| G. Read | D | 90 | 6.91 | — | — | 0 | 23 | 20% | 2 | — | — |
| O. Targhalline | M | 90 | 6.60 | — | — | 2 | 33 | 29% | 1 | 1 | — |
| C. Vanhoutte | M | 90 | 7.70 | — | 1 | 0 | 40 | 37% | 6 | — | — |
| G. Zechiël | M | 77 | 6.33 | — | — | 1 | 29 | 22% | 0 | — | — |
| L. Valente | F | 90 | 6.63 | — | — | 2 | 40 | 34% | 2 | — | — |
| Nacho Ferri | F | 89 | 7.32 | 1 | — | 2 | 19 | 7% | 2 | — | — |
| A. Hadj-Moussa | F | 90 | 6.34 | — | — | 3 | 34 | 29% | 2 | — | — |
| G. Diarra | F | 1 | 6.39 | — | — | 0 | 0 | 0% | 0 | — | — |
| T. van den Elshout | M | 13 | 6.19 | — | — | 3 | 6 | 5% | 0 | — | — |
AZ Alkmaar — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. De Busser | G | 90 | 6.42 | — | — | 0 | 38 | 30% | 0 | — | — |
| M. Chávez | D | 90 | 5.79 | — | — | 1 | 37 | 22% | 5 | — | — |
| L. Schouten | D | 90 | 6.58 | — | — | 0 | 72 | 63% | 5 | 1 | — |
| W. Goes | D | 90 | 6.75 | — | — | 1 | 75 | 67% | 2 | 1 | — |
| E. Dijkstra | D | 68 | 6.16 | — | — | 0 | 23 | 19% | 1 | — | — |
| P. Koopmeiners | M | 90 | 6.96 | — | — | 3 | 71 | 62% | 4 | — | — |
| C. Stengs | M | 90 | 6.41 | — | — | 1 | 40 | 36% | 0 | — | — |
| J. Clasie | M | 80 | 6.33 | — | — | 0 | 55 | 49% | 1 | — | — |
| R. Daal | F | 68 | 5.88 | — | — | 0 | 32 | 20% | 4 | 1 | — |
| M. Meerdink | F | 90 | 6.21 | — | — | 1 | 12 | 8% | 0 | — | — |
| A. Oufkir | F | 90 | 6.09 | — | — | 2 | 27 | 23% | 2 | — | — |
| B. Kovacs | F | 10 | 6.58 | — | — | 2 | 3 | 2% | 0 | — | — |
| D. Kasius | D | 22 | 5.98 | — | — | 0 | 10 | 9% | 0 | — | — |
| Weslley Patati | F | 22 | 6.54 | — | — | 1 | 10 | 9% | 0 | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Feyenoord vs AZ Alkmaar?
The final score was Feyenoord 2–0 AZ Alkmaar.
What did the model predict before Feyenoord vs AZ Alkmaar?
The model assigned 39% probability to a Feyenoord win, 27% to a draw, and 32% to an AZ Alkmaar win.