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Veikkausliiga · Relegation Group - 27 October 17, 2026 13:00
FF Jaro
#2 · 16 pts
1 – 1
Final score
Mariehamn
#1 · 16 pts
Ville Vuorinen (ast. Fabian Ostigard Ness) 64'
(og) 79' Gergő Kocsis
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The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Mariehamn a 39% win probability (draw 39%, FF Jaro 20%). The final result was FF Jaro 1–1 Mariehamn. In 5 previous meetings, FF Jaro have won 2 times, with 1 draws and 2 wins for Mariehamn.

Match statistics
17
Total shots
19
4
Shots on target
2
1.30
Actual xG
1.05
2
Saves
3
48%
Possession
52%
6
Corners
6
11
Tackles
18
0
🟨 Yellow cards
1
Match Events
1'
Tuomas Koivisto
⚽Ville Vuorinen · ast. Fabian Ostigard Ness
64'
69'
Sebastian Dahlström / Viktor Widlund ↕
69'
Jelle van der Heyden / Adam Larsson ↕
↕ Kaius Hardén / Adam Vidjeskog
75'
79'
(og) Gergő Kocsis⚽
↕ Ville Vuorinen / Joni Remesaho
84'
↕ Jonathan Lawson / Linus Zetterstrom
84'
↕ Jim Myrevik / Valde Löfs
84'
Pre-match prediction
20.87%
FF
39.94%
X ←
39.18%
Mariehamn
we assigned to the actual result (Draw) 39.94% (low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
FF
0.37
1.30
+0.93
Mariehamn
0.76
1.05
+0.29
xG dominance was balanced (1.30 – 1.05). The final result reflects the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
League Table
#Team GPts
1 Mariehamn Mariehamn 10 16
2 FF Jaro FF Jaro 11 16
3 Ilves Ilves 5 13
4 AC Oulu AC Oulu 5 9
5 SJK SJK 5 8
6 Lahti Lahti 5 7
7 Kooteepee Kooteepee 7 7
8 Turku PS Turku PS 7 7
9 VPS VPS 5 6
10 PK-35 PK-35 1 1
11 Haka Haka 5 1
Lineups
FF Jaro FF Jaro 4-4-2
1 S. Vits S. Vits G 6.21
19 F. Østigård Ness F. Østigård Ness 1 👟 D 7.93
4 M. Ogungbaro M. Ogungbaro D 6.92
6 J. Brunell J. Brunell D 7.40
5 A. Bjonbäck A. Bjonbäck D 6.58
22 K. Hardén K. Hardén 75' M 6.07
7 J. Skau J. Skau M 6.43
25 G. Kocsis G. Kocsis 1 ⚽ M 6.00
21 J. Myrevik J. Myrevik 84' M 7.00
91 V. Vuorinen V. Vuorinen 1 ⚽ 84' F 8.03
23
84' F 6.45
Bench
77 A. Sabriye A. Sabriye F 0.00
16 A. Vidjeskog A. Vidjeskog 15' M 6.45
12 Joas Snellman Joas Snellman G 0.00
42 J. Remesaho J. Remesaho 6' F 6.34
27 J. Vikstrom J. Vikstrom F 0.00
9 L. Zetterström L. Zetterström 6' F 6.58
8 Oliver Kass Kawo Oliver Kass Kawo M 0.00
20 T. Soderstrom T. Soderstrom D 0.00
24 V. Lofs V. Lofs 6' M 6.41
Mariehamn Mariehamn 4-2-3-1
1 K. Lund K. Lund G 7.26
31 Samson Ngulube Samson Ngulube D 6.96
5 T. Koivisto T. Koivisto D 6.63
2 N. Nurmi N. Nurmi D 7.08
27 L. Richtnér L. Richtnér D 7.18
20 E. Patut E. Patut M 7.10
11 J. Svedberg J. Svedberg M 7.20
19 T. Jakobsen T. Jakobsen M 6.24
14 Arvid Bergvik Arvid Bergvik M 6.67
23 V. Widlund V. Widlund 69' M 6.22
7 A. Larsson A. Larsson 69' F 6.37
Bench
16 A. Huttunen A. Huttunen M 0.00
3 A. Soiniemi A. Soiniemi D 0.00
8 J. van der Heyden J. van der Heyden 21' M 6.96
43 L. Andersson L. Andersson F 0.00
64 M. Hyvönen M. Hyvönen M 0.00
12 O. Heino O. Heino G 0.00
10 S. Dahlström S. Dahlström 21' M 6.40
9 W. Nuñez W. Nuñez F 0.00
Best on the pitch
V. Vuorinen
V. Vuorinen
F · FF
8.03
1 ⚽
2 shots · 9 pass
F. Østigård Ness
F. Østigård Ness
D · FF
7.93
1 👟
1 shots · 29 pass
J. Brunell
J. Brunell
D · FF
7.40
· 23 pass
K. Lund
K. Lund
G · Mariehamn
7.26
· 22 pass
J. Svedberg
J. Svedberg
M · Mariehamn
7.20
6 shots · 85 pass
L. Richtnér
L. Richtnér
D · Mariehamn
7.18
2 shots · 54 pass
FF Jaro FF Jaro — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
S. Vits G 90 6.21 — — 0 22 12% 0 — —
F. Østigård Ness D 90 7.93 — 1 1 29 24% 0 — —
M. Ogungbaro D 90 6.92 — — 0 21 17% 0 — —
J. Brunell D 90 7.40 — — 0 23 20% 1 — —
A. Bjonbäck D 90 6.58 — — 2 18 14% 0 — —
K. Hardén M 75 6.07 — — 2 14 12% 0 — —
J. Skau M 90 6.43 — — 2 30 24% 1 — —
G. Kocsis M 90 6.00 1 — 1 43 31% 2 — —
J. Myrevik M 84 7.00 — — 3 12 8% 4 — —
V. Vuorinen F 84 8.03 1 — 2 9 7% 0 — —
F 84 6.45 — — 3 13 10% 0 — —
A. Vidjeskog M 15 6.45 — — 0 3 2% 0 — —
J. Remesaho F 6 6.34 — — 0 0 0% 2 — —
L. Zetterström F 6 6.58 — — 1 6 3% 1 — —
V. Lofs M 6 6.41 — — 0 2 1% 0 — —
Mariehamn Mariehamn — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
K. Lund G 90 7.26 — — 0 22 16% 0 — —
Samson Ngulube D 90 6.96 — — 0 51 45% 6 — —
T. Koivisto D 90 6.63 — — 0 81 79% 1 1 —
N. Nurmi D 90 7.08 — — 1 96 89% 0 — —
L. Richtnér D 90 7.18 — — 2 54 49% 3 — —
E. Patut M 90 7.10 — — 1 85 82% 2 — —
J. Svedberg M 90 7.20 — — 6 85 77% 2 — —
T. Jakobsen M 90 6.24 — — 4 18 13% 0 — —
Arvid Bergvik M 90 6.67 — — 1 37 30% 3 — —
V. Widlund M 69 6.22 — — 3 25 21% 1 — —
A. Larsson F 69 6.37 — — 1 5 3% 0 — —
J. van der Heyden M 21 6.96 — — 0 30 28% 0 — —
S. Dahlström M 21 6.40 — — 0 17 17% 0 — —
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of FF Jaro vs Mariehamn?
The final score was FF Jaro 1–1 Mariehamn.
What did the model predict before FF Jaro vs Mariehamn?
The model assigned 20% probability to a FF Jaro win, 39% to a draw, and 39% to an Mariehamn win.