Serie A
· Regular Season - 38
May 22, 2026 20:45
R. Piccoli
(ast. M. Brescianini)
39'
(og)
82'
P. Comuzzo
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Atalanta a 41% win probability (draw 30%, Fiorentina 27%). The final result was Fiorentina 1–1 Atalanta. In 1 previous meetings, Fiorentina have won 0 times, with 0 draws and 1 wins for Atalanta.
Match statistics
8
Total shots
18
4
Shots on target
6
0.79
Actual xG
1.58
6
Saves
3
40%
Possession
60%
3
Corners
3
8
Tackles
7
0
🟨 Yellow cards
2
Match Events
⚽R. Piccoli
· ast. M. Brescianini
39'
46'
D. Zappacosta
/
R. Bellanova
47'
K. Sulemana
60'
H. Ahanor
62'
C. De Ketelaere
/
L. Samardzic
67'
B. Djimsiti
/
G. Scalvini
M. Brescianini
/ C. Ndour
67'
D. Rugani
/ M. Pongracic
67'
R. Gosens
/ L. Balbo
76'
A. Gudmundsson
/ M. Solomon
76'
81'
G. Scamacca
/
M. De Roon
81'
D. Vavassori
/
K. Sulemana
82'
(og)
P. Comuzzo⚽
O. Christensen
/ L. Lezzerini
87'
Pre-match prediction
27.81%
Fiorentina
30.49%
X ←
41.7%
Atalanta
we assigned to the actual result (Draw)
30.49%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
0.72
0.79
+0.07
1.07
1.58
+0.51
Atalanta dominated by xG (1.58 vs 0.79).
The final result does not reflect the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
53
Oliver Christensen
87'
G
Oliver Christensen
87'
G
21
R. Gosens
76'
D
R. Gosens
76'
D
3
Daniele Rugani
67'
D
Daniele Rugani
67'
D
15
Pietro Comuzzo
1 ⚽
D
Pietro Comuzzo
1 ⚽
D
2
Dodô
D
Dodô
D
4
Marco Brescianini
1 👟
67'
M
Marco Brescianini
1 👟
67'
M
8
R. Mandragora
M
R. Mandragora
M
80
Giovanni Fabbian
M
Giovanni Fabbian
M
10
A. Guðmundsson
76'
F
A. Guðmundsson
76'
F
91
Roberto Piccoli
1 ⚽
F
Roberto Piccoli
1 ⚽
F
17
J. Harrison
F
J. Harrison
F
Bench
27
Cher Ndour
24'
M
Cher Ndour
24'
M
43
David De Gea
G
David De Gea
G
69
Giorgio Puzzoli
F
Giorgio Puzzoli
F
1
Luca Lezzerini
4'
G
Luca Lezzerini
4'
G
62
Luís Balbo
15'
D
Luís Balbo
15'
D
5
M. Pongračić
24'
D
M. Pongračić
24'
D
19
M. Solomon
15'
F
M. Solomon
15'
F
44
N. Fagioli
M
N. Fagioli
M
29
Niccolò Fortini
D
Niccolò Fortini
D
61
Riccardo Braschi
F
Riccardo Braschi
F
57
Marco Sportiello
G
Marco Sportiello
G
69
H. Ahanor
D
H. Ahanor
D
4
I. Hien
D
I. Hien
D
42
G. Scalvini
67'
D
G. Scalvini
67'
D
6
Yunus Musah
M
Yunus Musah
M
8
Mario Pasalic
M
Mario Pasalic
M
15
Marten de Roon
81'
M
Marten de Roon
81'
M
16
Raoul Bellanova
45'
M
Raoul Bellanova
45'
M
7
K. Sulemana
81'
F
K. Sulemana
81'
F
10
L. Samardžić
62'
F
L. Samardžić
62'
F
18
G. Raspadori
F
G. Raspadori
F
Bench
19
B. Djimsiti
24'
D
B. Djimsiti
24'
D
17
C. De Ketelaere
29'
F
C. De Ketelaere
29'
F
77
Davide Zappacosta
46'
D
Davide Zappacosta
46'
D
45
D. Vavassori
10'
F
D. Vavassori
10'
F
13
Éderson
M
Éderson
M
31
Francesco Rossi
G
Francesco Rossi
G
9
G. Scamacca
10'
F
G. Scamacca
10'
F
29
M. Carnesecchi
G
M. Carnesecchi
G
5
Mitchel Bakker
D
Mitchel Bakker
D
90
N. Krstović
F
N. Krstović
F
59
N. Zalewski
M
N. Zalewski
M
40
Relja Obrić
D
Relja Obrić
D
23
S. Kolašinac
D
S. Kolašinac
D
Best on the pitch
Oliver Christensen
G · Fiorentina
8.70
· 42 pass
Roberto Piccoli
F · Fiorentina
7.70
1 ⚽
2 shots
· 8 pass
J. Harrison
F · Fiorentina
7.70
1 shots
· 37 pass
L. Samardžić
F · Atalanta
7.30
2 shots
· 41 pass
K. Sulemana
F · Atalanta
7.30
3 shots
· 40 pass
I. Hien
D · Atalanta
7.20
1 shots
· 37 pass
Fiorentina — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oliver Christensen | G | 87 | 8.70 | — | — | — | 42 | 31% | — | — | — |
| R. Gosens | D | 76 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 36 | 28% | 1 | — | — |
| Daniele Rugani | D | 67 | 6.60 | — | — | 1 | 32 | 29% | 1 | — | — |
| Pietro Comuzzo | D | 91 | 6.30 | 1 | — | — | 45 | 41% | 1 | — | — |
| Dodô | D | 91 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 43 | 39% | — | — | — |
| Marco Brescianini | M | 67 | 6.70 | — | 1 | — | 22 | 17% | — | — | — |
| R. Mandragora | M | 91 | 6.60 | — | — | 1 | 33 | 28% | — | — | — |
| Giovanni Fabbian | M | 91 | 6.90 | — | — | 3 | 26 | 23% | 2 | — | — |
| A. Guðmundsson | F | 76 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 35 | 31% | — | — | — |
| Roberto Piccoli | F | 91 | 7.70 | 1 | — | 2 | 8 | 5% | 1 | — | — |
| J. Harrison | F | 91 | 7.70 | — | — | 1 | 37 | 32% | 2 | — | — |
| Cher Ndour | M | 24 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 15 | 15% | — | — | — |
| Luca Lezzerini | G | 4 | — | — | — | — | 3 | 1% | — | — | — |
| Luís Balbo | D | 15 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 3 | 2% | — | — | — |
| M. Pongračić | D | 24 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 14 | 13% | — | — | — |
| M. Solomon | F | 15 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 6 | 5% | — | — | — |
Atalanta — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marco Sportiello | G | 91 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 18 | 15% | 1 | — | — |
| H. Ahanor | D | 91 | 5.90 | — | — | 1 | 56 | 53% | 2 | 1 | — |
| I. Hien | D | 91 | 7.20 | — | — | 1 | 37 | 34% | — | — | — |
| G. Scalvini | D | 67 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 55 | 50% | 2 | — | — |
| Yunus Musah | M | 91 | 6.70 | — | — | 1 | 54 | 48% | — | — | — |
| Mario Pasalic | M | 91 | 6.30 | — | — | 5 | 73 | 67% | — | — | — |
| Marten de Roon | M | 81 | 6.90 | — | — | 2 | 85 | 78% | 1 | — | — |
| Raoul Bellanova | M | 45 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 28 | 28% | — | — | — |
| K. Sulemana | F | 81 | 7.30 | — | — | 3 | 40 | 37% | — | 1 | — |
| L. Samardžić | F | 62 | 7.30 | — | — | 2 | 41 | 38% | — | — | — |
| G. Raspadori | F | 91 | 6.50 | — | — | 2 | 38 | 29% | 1 | — | — |
| B. Djimsiti | D | 24 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 21 | 20% | — | — | — |
| C. De Ketelaere | F | 29 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 17 | 12% | — | — | — |
| Davide Zappacosta | D | 46 | 6.50 | — | — | 1 | 34 | 30% | — | — | — |
| D. Vavassori | F | 10 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 1 | 1% | — | — | — |
| G. Scamacca | F | 10 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 1 | 1% | — | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Fiorentina vs Atalanta?
The final score was Fiorentina 1–1 Atalanta.
What did the model predict before Fiorentina vs Atalanta?
The model assigned 27% probability to a Fiorentina win, 30% to a draw, and 41% to an Atalanta win.