Serie A
· Regular Season - 38
May 22, 2026 20:45
R. Piccoli
(ast. M. Brescianini)
39'
(og)
82'
P. Comuzzo
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Atalanta a 41% win probability (draw 30%, Fiorentina 27%). The final result was Fiorentina 1–1 Atalanta. In 1 previous meetings, Fiorentina have won 0 times, with 0 draws and 1 wins for Atalanta.
Match statistics
8
Total shots
18
4
Shots on target
6
0.79
Actual xG
1.58
6
Saves
3
40%
Possession
60%
3
Corners
3
8
Tackles
7
0
🟨 Yellow cards
2
Match Events
⚽R. Piccoli
· ast. M. Brescianini
39'
46'
D. Zappacosta
/
R. Bellanova
47'
K. Sulemana
60'
H. Ahanor
62'
C. De Ketelaere
/
L. Samardzic
67'
B. Djimsiti
/
G. Scalvini
M. Brescianini
/ C. Ndour
67'
D. Rugani
/ M. Pongracic
67'
R. Gosens
/ L. Balbo
76'
A. Gudmundsson
/ M. Solomon
76'
81'
G. Scamacca
/
M. De Roon
81'
D. Vavassori
/
K. Sulemana
82'
(og)
P. Comuzzo⚽
O. Christensen
/ L. Lezzerini
87'
Pre-match prediction
27.81%
Fiorentina
30.49%
X ←
41.7%
Atalanta
we assigned to the actual result (Draw)
30.49%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
0.72
0.79
+0.07
1.07
1.58
+0.51
Atalanta dominated by xG (1.58 vs 0.79).
The final result does not reflect the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
53
Oliver Christensen
87'
G
Oliver Christensen
87'
G
21
Robin Gosens
76'
D
Robin Gosens
76'
D
3
Daniele Rugani
67'
D
Daniele Rugani
67'
D
15
Pietro Comuzzo
1 ⚽
D
Pietro Comuzzo
1 ⚽
D
2
Dodô
D
Dodô
D
4
Marco Brescianini
1 👟
67'
M
Marco Brescianini
1 👟
67'
M
8
Rolando Mandragora
M
Rolando Mandragora
M
80
Giovanni Fabbian
M
Giovanni Fabbian
M
10
A. Guðmundsson
76'
F
A. Guðmundsson
76'
F
91
Roberto Piccoli
1 ⚽
F
Roberto Piccoli
1 ⚽
F
17
Jack Harrison
F
Jack Harrison
F
Bench
27
C. Ndour
24'
M
C. Ndour
24'
M
43
David De Gea
G
David De Gea
G
69
Giorgio Puzzoli
F
Giorgio Puzzoli
F
1
Luca Lezzerini
4'
G
Luca Lezzerini
4'
G
62
Luís Balbo
15'
D
5
Marin Pongračić
24'
D
Marin Pongračić
24'
D
19
M. Solomon
15'
F
M. Solomon
15'
F
29
Niccolò Fortini
D
Niccolò Fortini
D
44
Nicolò Fagioli
M
Nicolò Fagioli
M
61
Riccardo Braschi
F
Riccardo Braschi
F
57
Marco Sportiello
G
Marco Sportiello
G
69
Honest Ahanor
D
Honest Ahanor
D
4
I. Hien
D
I. Hien
D
42
Giorgio Scalvini
67'
D
Giorgio Scalvini
67'
D
6
Yunus Musah
M
Yunus Musah
M
8
Mario Pašalić
M
Mario Pašalić
M
15
M. de Roon
81'
M
M. de Roon
81'
M
16
Raoul Bellanova
45'
M
Raoul Bellanova
45'
M
7
Kamaldeen Sulemana
81'
F
Kamaldeen Sulemana
81'
F
10
Lazar Samardžić
62'
F
Lazar Samardžić
62'
F
18
Giacomo Raspadori
F
Giacomo Raspadori
F
Bench
19
Berat Djimsiti
24'
D
17
Charles De Ketelaere
29'
F
Charles De Ketelaere
29'
F
77
Davide Zappacosta
46'
D
Davide Zappacosta
46'
D
45
Dominic Vavassori
10'
F
Dominic Vavassori
10'
F
13
Éderson
M
Éderson
M
31
Francesco Rossi
G
Francesco Rossi
G
9
G. Scamacca
10'
F
G. Scamacca
10'
F
29
Marco Carnesecchi
G
Marco Carnesecchi
G
5
Mitchel Bakker
D
Mitchel Bakker
D
59
Nicola Zalewski
M
90
N. Krstović
F
N. Krstović
F
40
Relja Obrić
D
Relja Obrić
D
23
Sead Kolašinac
D
Sead Kolašinac
D
Best on the pitch
Oliver Christensen
G · Fiorentina
8.70
· 42 pass
Roberto Piccoli
F · Fiorentina
7.70
1 ⚽
2 shots
· 8 pass
Jack Harrison
F · Fiorentina
7.70
1 shots
· 37 pass
Lazar Samardžić
F · Atalanta
7.30
2 shots
· 41 pass
Kamaldeen Sulemana
F · Atalanta
7.30
3 shots
· 40 pass
I. Hien
D · Atalanta
7.20
1 shots
· 37 pass
Fiorentina — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oliver Christensen | G | 87 | 8.70 | — | — | — | 42 | 31% | — | — | — |
| Robin Gosens | D | 76 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 36 | 28% | 1 | — | — |
| Daniele Rugani | D | 67 | 6.60 | — | — | 1 | 32 | 29% | 1 | — | — |
| Pietro Comuzzo | D | 91 | 6.30 | 1 | — | — | 45 | 41% | 1 | — | — |
| Dodô | D | 91 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 43 | 39% | — | — | — |
| Marco Brescianini | M | 67 | 6.70 | — | 1 | — | 22 | 17% | — | — | — |
| Rolando Mandragora | M | 91 | 6.60 | — | — | 1 | 33 | 28% | — | — | — |
| Giovanni Fabbian | M | 91 | 6.90 | — | — | 3 | 26 | 23% | 2 | — | — |
| A. Guðmundsson | F | 76 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 35 | 31% | — | — | — |
| Roberto Piccoli | F | 91 | 7.70 | 1 | — | 2 | 8 | 5% | 1 | — | — |
| Jack Harrison | F | 91 | 7.70 | — | — | 1 | 37 | 32% | 2 | — | — |
| C. Ndour | M | 24 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 15 | 15% | — | — | — |
| Luca Lezzerini | G | 4 | — | — | — | — | 3 | 1% | — | — | — |
| Luís Balbo | D | 15 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 3 | 2% | — | — | — |
| Marin Pongračić | D | 24 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 14 | 13% | — | — | — |
| M. Solomon | F | 15 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 6 | 5% | — | — | — |
Atalanta — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marco Sportiello | G | 91 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 18 | 15% | 1 | — | — |
| Honest Ahanor | D | 91 | 5.90 | — | — | 1 | 56 | 53% | 2 | 1 | — |
| I. Hien | D | 91 | 7.20 | — | — | 1 | 37 | 34% | — | — | — |
| Giorgio Scalvini | D | 67 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 55 | 50% | 2 | — | — |
| Yunus Musah | M | 91 | 6.70 | — | — | 1 | 54 | 48% | — | — | — |
| Mario Pašalić | M | 91 | 6.30 | — | — | 5 | 73 | 67% | — | — | — |
| M. de Roon | M | 81 | 6.90 | — | — | 2 | 85 | 78% | 1 | — | — |
| Raoul Bellanova | M | 45 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 28 | 28% | — | — | — |
| Kamaldeen Sulemana | F | 81 | 7.30 | — | — | 3 | 40 | 37% | — | 1 | — |
| Lazar Samardžić | F | 62 | 7.30 | — | — | 2 | 41 | 38% | — | — | — |
| Giacomo Raspadori | F | 91 | 6.50 | — | — | 2 | 38 | 29% | 1 | — | — |
| Berat Djimsiti | D | 24 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 21 | 20% | — | — | — |
| Charles De Ketelaere | F | 29 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 17 | 12% | — | — | — |
| Davide Zappacosta | D | 46 | 6.50 | — | — | 1 | 34 | 30% | — | — | — |
| Dominic Vavassori | F | 10 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 1 | 1% | — | — | — |
| G. Scamacca | F | 10 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 1 | 1% | — | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Fiorentina vs Atalanta?
The final score was Fiorentina 1–1 Atalanta.
What did the model predict before Fiorentina vs Atalanta?
The model assigned 27% probability to a Fiorentina win, 30% to a draw, and 41% to an Atalanta win.