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Serie A · Regular Season - 7 October 18, 2026 15:00 Stadio Artemio Franchi, Florence
Fiorentina
#18 · 4 pts
1 – 3
Final score
Como
#4 · 20 pts
Marin Pongračić 42'
32' (ast. Maxence Caqueret) Mattia Liberali
36' (ast. Álex Valle) Nico Paz
56' (ast. Nico Paz) Anastasios Douvikas
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The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Como a 41% win probability (draw 30%, Fiorentina 28%). The final result was Fiorentina 1–3 Como. In 3 previous meetings, Fiorentina have won 1 times, with 0 draws and 2 wins for Como.

Match statistics
19
Total shots
16
7
Shots on target
8
2.33
Actual xG
1.83
5
Saves
5
46%
Possession
54%
11
Corners
5
12
Tackles
23
2
🟨 Yellow cards
3
Match Events
14'
Jacobo Ramón / Trevoh Chalobah ↕
28'
Álex Valle
32'
ast. Maxence Caqueret · Mattia Liberali⚽
36'
ast. Álex Valle · Nico Paz⚽
39'
Nico Paz
⚽Marin Pongračić
42'
45'+3
Jacobo Ramón
45'+4
45'
Kaiki Bruno / Álex Valle ↕
56'
ast. Nico Paz · Anastasios Douvikas⚽
61'
Maximo Perrone / Nico Paz ↕
↕ Pedro Goncalves / Wilfried Gnonto
63'
↕ Viery / Víctor Valdepeñas Talavera
64'
Cher Ndour
68'
↕ Franco Mastantuono / Marco Brescianini
69'
↕ Álex Jiménez / Domilson Dodo
69'
Franco Mastantuono
73'
↕ Cher Ndour / Beto
79'
83'
Willy Kambwala / Mattia Liberali ↕
83'
Samuele Ricci / Lucas Da Cunha ↕
Pre-match prediction
28.92%
Fiorentina
30.05%
X
41.03%
Como ←
we assigned to the actual result (Como) 41.03% (low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
Fiorentina
0.76
2.33
+1.57
Como
1.34
1.83
+0.49
Fiorentina dominated by xG (2.33 vs 1.83). The final result does not reflect the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
League Table
#Team GPts
1 Lazio Lazio 9 25
2 Inter Inter 8 22
3 AS Roma AS Roma 9 21
4 Como Como 9 20
5 AC Milan AC Milan 8 18
6 Frosinone Frosinone 8 14
7 Juventus Juventus 8 14
8 Torino Torino 9 13
9 Cagliari Cagliari 9 13
10 Napoli Napoli 8 11
11 Atalanta Atalanta 8 10
12 Lecce Lecce 8 9
13 Bologna Bologna 8 8
14 Sassuolo Sassuolo 9 8
15 Monza Monza 8 7
16 Genoa Genoa 8 7
17 Udinese Udinese 8 4
18 Fiorentina Fiorentina 8 4
19 Parma Parma 8 4
20 Venezia Venezia 8 3
Lineups
Fiorentina Fiorentina 4-2-3-1
43 David de Gea David de Gea G 6.69
33 Viery Viery 64' D 5.64
5 M. Pongračić M. Pongračić 1 ⚽ D 7.19
3 R. Drăgușin R. Drăgușin D 6.30
20 Álex Jiménez Álex Jiménez 69' D 5.95
44 N. Fagioli N. Fagioli M 6.74
27 C. Ndour C. Ndour 79' M 6.07
25 A. Njie A. Njie M 5.17
28 Pote Pote 63' M 6.53
30 Franco Mastantuono Franco Mastantuono 69' M 6.37
32 Mateo Pellegrino Mateo Pellegrino F 6.40
Bench
23 Beto Beto 11' F 6.26
72 B. Mazzeo B. Mazzeo F 0.00
42 C. Inao Oulaï C. Inao Oulaï M 0.00
2 Dodô Dodô 21' D 6.05
17 João Mário João Mário D 0.00
19 L. Lezzerini L. Lezzerini G 0.00
4 M. Brescianini M. Brescianini 21' M 6.24
53 O. Christensen O. Christensen G 0.00
21 Valde Valde 26' D 5.92
29 W. Gnonto W. Gnonto 27' F 6.57
Como Como 4-2-3-1
1 J. Butez J. Butez G 7.45
3 Álex Valle Álex Valle 1 👟 45' D 6.21
2 M. Kempf M. Kempf D 6.68
99 T. Chalobah T. Chalobah 14' D 5.97
28 I. Smolčić I. Smolčić D 7.09
7 L. da Cunha L. da Cunha 83' M 6.55
6 Luis Milla Luis Milla M 7.20
8 M. Caqueret M. Caqueret 1 👟 M 7.70
10 N. Paz N. Paz 1 ⚽ 1 👟 61' M 8.77
30 M. Liberali M. Liberali 1 ⚽ 83' M 7.60
9 T. Douvikas T. Douvikas 1 ⚽ F 7.75
Bench
13 A. Dossena A. Dossena D 0.00
15 A. Lahdo A. Lahdo M 0.00
18 E. Goldaniga E. Goldaniga D 0.00
4 Jacobo Ramón Naveros Jacobo Ramón Naveros 76' D 6.50
42 J. Addai J. Addai F 0.00
17 Jesús Rodríguez Jesús Rodríguez F 0.00
16 Kaiki Kaiki 45' D 6.28
20 M. Baturina M. Baturina M 0.00
5 M. Perrone M. Perrone 29' M 6.85
22 M. Vigorito M. Vigorito G 0.00
97 Robert Sánchez Robert Sánchez G 0.00
21 S. Ricci S. Ricci 7' M 6.38
53 Willy Kambwala Ndengushi Willy Kambwala Ndengushi 7' D 6.26
27 Yan Couto Yan Couto D 0.00
Best on the pitch
N. Paz
N. Paz
M · Como
8.77
1 ⚽ 1 👟
4 shots · 30 pass
T. Douvikas
T. Douvikas
F · Como
7.75
1 ⚽
3 shots · 7 pass
M. Caqueret
M. Caqueret
M · Como
7.70
1 👟
2 shots · 34 pass
M. Liberali
M. Liberali
M · Como
7.60
1 ⚽
4 shots · 29 pass
J. Butez
J. Butez
G · Como
7.45
· 50 pass
Luis Milla
Luis Milla
M · Como
7.20
1 shots · 64 pass
Fiorentina Fiorentina — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
David de Gea G 90 6.69 — — 0 18 15% 0 — —
Viery D 64 5.64 — — 1 19 17% 0 — —
M. Pongračić D 90 7.19 1 — 2 54 50% 0 — —
R. Drăgușin D 90 6.30 — — 0 43 39% 0 — —
Álex Jiménez D 69 5.95 — — 1 41 32% 3 — —
N. Fagioli M 90 6.74 — — 3 71 63% 3 — —
C. Ndour M 79 6.07 — — 1 38 34% 1 1 —
A. Njie M 90 5.17 — — 4 18 14% 0 — —
Pote M 63 6.53 — — 2 25 21% 0 — —
Franco Mastantuono M 69 6.37 — — 2 23 22% 2 1 —
Mateo Pellegrino F 90 6.40 — — 2 13 10% 0 — —
Beto F 11 6.26 — — 0 1 0% 0 — —
Dodô D 21 6.05 — — 0 15 13% 1 — —
M. Brescianini M 21 6.24 — — 0 16 16% 0 — —
Valde D 26 5.92 — — 0 19 15% 0 — —
W. Gnonto F 27 6.57 — — 1 24 22% 2 — —
Como Como — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
J. Butez G 90 7.45 — — 0 50 35% 0 — —
Álex Valle D 45 6.21 — 1 0 24 18% 2 1 —
M. Kempf D 90 6.68 — — 0 81 74% 1 — —
T. Chalobah D 14 5.97 — — 0 14 14% 0 — —
I. Smolčić D 90 7.09 — — 0 47 40% 4 — —
L. da Cunha M 83 6.55 — — 1 50 44% 0 — —
Luis Milla M 90 7.20 — — 1 64 63% 1 — —
M. Caqueret M 90 7.70 — 1 2 34 27% 5 — —
N. Paz M 61 8.77 1 1 4 30 28% 3 1 —
M. Liberali M 83 7.60 1 — 4 29 24% 5 — —
T. Douvikas F 90 7.75 1 — 3 7 4% 0 — —
Jacobo Ramón Naveros D 76 6.50 — — 0 52 50% 0 1 —
Kaiki D 45 6.28 — — 1 13 11% 2 — —
M. Perrone M 29 6.85 — — 0 24 24% 0 — —
S. Ricci M 7 6.38 — — 0 1 1% 0 — —
Willy Kambwala Ndengushi D 7 6.26 — — 0 2 2% 0 — —
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Fiorentina vs Como?
The final score was Fiorentina 1–3 Como.
What did the model predict before Fiorentina vs Como?
The model assigned 28% probability to a Fiorentina win, 30% to a draw, and 41% to an Como win.