Serie A · Regular Season - 30 March 22, 2026 20:45

Fiorentina

#5 · 0 pts

1 – 1

Final score

Inter

#8 · 0 pts

✗Model wrong — prediction Inter, result Draw

The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Inter a 56% win probability (draw 19%, Fiorentina 23%). The final result was Fiorentina 1–1 Inter. In 1 previous meetings, Fiorentina have won 0 times, with 0 draws and 1 wins for Inter.

Match statistics

6

Shots on target

4

2.28

Actual xG

1.22

40%

Possession

60%

3

Corners

5

Pre-match prediction

23.81%

Fiorentina

19.8%

X ←

56.4%

Inter

✗ Wrong prediction — we assigned to the actual result (Draw) 19.8% (low confidence)

Expected vs actual xG

Exp.

Actual

Δ

Fiorentina

1.06

2.28

+1.22

Inter

2.18

1.22

-0.96

Fiorentina dominated by xG (2.28 vs 1.22). The final result does not reflect the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.

League Table

#	Team	G	Pts
1	Atalanta	0	0
2	Bologna	0	0
3	Cagliari	0	0
4	Como	0	0
5	Fiorentina	0	0
6	Frosinone	0	0
7	Genoa	0	0
8	Inter	0	0
9	Juventus	0	0
10	Lazio	0	0
11	Lecce	0	0
12	AC Milan	0	0
13	Monza	0	0
14	Napoli	0	0
15	Parma	0	0
16	AS Roma	0	0
17	Sassuolo	0	0
18	Torino	0	0
19	Udinese	0	0
20	Venezia	0	0