Serie A
· Regular Season - 5
September 20, 2026 12:30
A. Jimenez
(ast. C. Ndour)
51'
23'
(ast. M. Politano)
B. Gilmour
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Napoli a 39% win probability (draw 29%, Fiorentina 31%). The final result was Fiorentina 1–1 Napoli. In 2 previous meetings, Fiorentina have won 0 times, with 0 draws and 2 wins for Napoli.
Match statistics
14
Total shots
12
4
Shots on target
5
0.94
Actual xG
1.45
4
Saves
3
42%
Possession
58%
4
Corners
5
8
Tackles
20
3
🟨 Yellow cards
0
Match Events
23'
ast. M. Politano ·
B. Gilmour⚽
F. Mastantuono
42'
Viery
/ V. Valdepenas
46'
⚽A. Jimenez
· ast. C. Ndour
51'
58'
L. Lucca
/
R. Hojlund
58'
David Neres
/
N. Lang
L. Ranieri
62'
A. Atta
/ Pote
66'
M. Pellegrino
/ Beto
66'
73'
C. Favasuli
/
M. Politano
A. Njie
/ W. Gnonto
80'
D. de Gea
83'
L. Ranieri
/ M. Pongracic
85'
90'
F. Anguissa
/
S. Lobotka
Pre-match prediction
31.27%
Fiorentina
29.32%
X ←
39.41%
Napoli
we assigned to the actual result (Draw)
29.32%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.36
0.94
-0.42
2.27
1.45
-0.82
Napoli dominated by xG (1.45 vs 0.94).
The final result does not reflect the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
43
David De Gea
G
David De Gea
G
33
Viery
45'
D
Viery
45'
D
6
Luca Ranieri
85'
D
Luca Ranieri
85'
D
3
Radu Drăguşin
D
Radu Drăguşin
D
20
Álex Jiménez
1 ⚽
D
Álex Jiménez
1 ⚽
D
14
Arthur Atta
66'
M
Arthur Atta
66'
M
44
Nicolò Fagioli
M
Nicolò Fagioli
M
27
Cher Ndour
1 👟
M
Cher Ndour
1 👟
M
25
Alieu Njie
80'
F
Alieu Njie
80'
F
32
Mateo Pellegrino
66'
F
Mateo Pellegrino
66'
F
30
Franco Mastantuono
F
Franco Mastantuono
F
Bench
23
Beto
29'
F
Beto
29'
F
72
Brando Mazzeo
M
Brando Mazzeo
M
42
C. Inao Oulaï
M
2
Dodô
D
Dodô
D
17
João Mário
D
João Mário
D
19
Luca Lezzerini
G
Luca Lezzerini
G
4
Marco Brescianini
M
Marco Brescianini
M
5
Marin Pongračić
10'
D
Marin Pongračić
10'
D
53
Oliver Christensen
G
Oliver Christensen
G
28
Pedro Gonçalves
29'
M
Pedro Gonçalves
29'
M
21
Víctor Valdepeñas
50'
D
Víctor Valdepeñas
50'
D
29
Wilfried Gnonto
15'
F
Wilfried Gnonto
15'
F
32
V. Milinković-Savić
G
V. Milinković-Savić
G
17
Mathías Olivera
D
Mathías Olivera
D
16
Rafa Marín
D
Rafa Marín
D
13
Amir Rrahmani
D
Amir Rrahmani
D
22
Giovanni Di Lorenzo
D
Giovanni Di Lorenzo
D
68
Stanislav Lobotka
M
Stanislav Lobotka
M
6
Billy Gilmour
1 ⚽
M
Billy Gilmour
1 ⚽
M
70
N. Lang
58'
M
N. Lang
58'
M
11
K. De Bruyne
M
K. De Bruyne
M
21
Matteo Politano
1 👟
73'
M
Matteo Politano
1 👟
73'
M
19
R. Højlund
58'
F
R. Højlund
58'
F
Bench
26
Antonio Vergara
M
Antonio Vergara
M
5
Benoît Badiashile
D
Benoît Badiashile
D
12
Claudio Pugliese
G
Claudio Pugliese
G
2
Costantino Favasuli
22'
D
Costantino Favasuli
22'
D
7
David Neres
37'
F
David Neres
37'
F
99
Frank Anguissa
5'
M
Frank Anguissa
5'
M
20
Lorenzo Lucca
37'
F
Lorenzo Lucca
37'
F
14
Nikita Contini
G
Nikita Contini
G
31
Sam Beukema
D
Sam Beukema
D
Best on the pitch
David De Gea
G · Fiorentina
8.30
· 17 pass
Álex Jiménez
D · Fiorentina
8.30
1 ⚽
1 shots
· 46 pass
Billy Gilmour
M · Napoli
7.90
1 ⚽
1 shots
· 78 pass
Víctor Valdepeñas
D · Fiorentina
7.50
1 shots
· 20 pass
Stanislav Lobotka
M · Napoli
7.30
· 58 pass
Mathías Olivera
D · Napoli
7.30
4 shots
· 46 pass
Fiorentina — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| David De Gea | G | 95 | 8.30 | — | — | — | 17 | 10% | — | 1 | — |
| Viery | D | 45 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 23 | 20% | 1 | — | — |
| Luca Ranieri | D | 85 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 31 | 25% | 2 | 1 | — |
| Radu Drăguşin | D | 95 | 7.20 | — | — | 1 | 40 | 38% | — | — | — |
| Álex Jiménez | D | 95 | 8.30 | 1 | — | 1 | 46 | 37% | — | — | — |
| Arthur Atta | M | 66 | 6.20 | — | — | 2 | 26 | 26% | — | — | — |
| Nicolò Fagioli | M | 95 | 6.90 | — | — | 3 | 66 | 56% | 1 | — | — |
| Cher Ndour | M | 95 | 7.20 | — | 1 | — | 41 | 39% | 1 | — | — |
| Alieu Njie | F | 80 | 6.60 | — | — | 1 | 23 | 19% | 1 | — | — |
| Mateo Pellegrino | F | 66 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 7 | 6% | — | — | — |
| Franco Mastantuono | F | 95 | 6.90 | — | — | 3 | 39 | 30% | 1 | 1 | — |
| Beto | F | 29 | 6.20 | — | — | 1 | 6 | 4% | — | — | — |
| Marin Pongračić | D | 10 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 4 | 1% | — | — | — |
| Pedro Gonçalves | M | 29 | 6.70 | — | — | 1 | 7 | 4% | — | — | — |
| Víctor Valdepeñas | D | 50 | 7.50 | — | — | 1 | 20 | 15% | — | — | — |
| Wilfried Gnonto | F | 15 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 4 | 4% | 1 | — | — |
Napoli — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| V. Milinković-Savić | G | 95 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 43 | 36% | — | — | — |
| Mathías Olivera | D | 95 | 7.30 | — | — | 4 | 46 | 44% | 4 | — | — |
| Rafa Marín | D | 95 | 7.20 | — | — | 1 | 61 | 54% | 3 | — | — |
| Amir Rrahmani | D | 95 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 80 | 74% | 2 | — | — |
| Giovanni Di Lorenzo | D | 95 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 51 | 45% | 4 | — | — |
| Stanislav Lobotka | M | 90 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 58 | 53% | — | — | — |
| Billy Gilmour | M | 95 | 7.90 | 1 | — | 1 | 78 | 71% | 1 | — | — |
| N. Lang | M | 58 | 6.60 | — | — | 2 | 21 | 18% | 1 | — | — |
| K. De Bruyne | M | 95 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 39 | 34% | — | — | — |
| Matteo Politano | M | 73 | 7.00 | — | 1 | — | 36 | 31% | 1 | — | — |
| R. Højlund | F | 58 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 7 | 3% | — | — | — |
| Costantino Favasuli | D | 22 | 6.60 | — | — | 2 | 5 | 5% | 2 | — | — |
| David Neres | F | 37 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 13 | 10% | — | — | — |
| Frank Anguissa | M | 5 | — | — | — | — | 4 | 3% | — | — | — |
| Lorenzo Lucca | F | 37 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 6 | 4% | 2 | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Fiorentina vs Napoli?
The final score was Fiorentina 1–1 Napoli.
What did the model predict before Fiorentina vs Napoli?
The model assigned 31% probability to a Fiorentina win, 29% to a draw, and 39% to an Napoli win.