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FK Crvena Zvezda - Hapoel Beer Sheva

Champions League August 11, 2026 20:00
FK Crvena Zvezda
vs
Hapoel Beer Sheva
⚡ Pre-match analysis
54.23%
Win
FK Crvena Zvezda
22.89%
Draw
22.89%
Win
Hapoel Beer Sheva
2.39
Expected xG
1.15

Market probabilities

Most likely result 2–1 (9.78%)
1X2 Result
1 54%
X 23%
2 23%
Double Chance
1X 77%
X2 46%
12 77%
Over / Under
Over 1.5 83%
Over 2.5 65%
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The ForzaPitch prediction gives FK Crvena Zvezda a 54% win probability, against 22% for a draw and 22% for Hapoel Beer Sheva. Expected goals are 2.4 for FK Crvena Zvezda and 1.2 for Hapoel Beer Sheva (total 3.5), with a 83% probability of Over 1.5 goals. The most likely scoreline is 2–1 at 9.78% probability. In 1 previous meetings, FK Crvena Zvezda have won 0 times, with 0 draws and 1 wins for Hapoel Beer Sheva.

Season Stats

FK Crvena Zvezda
5W 2D 2L
Hapoel Beer Sheva
2W 0D 1L
Averages per game
2.3
Goals
1.3
0.8
Conceded
0.7
5.0
Shots OT
—
6.7
Corners
—
49%
Poss.
—
Percentages
78%
O 1.5
67%
56%
O 2.5
33%
56%
BTTS
33%
33%
Clean Sht
67%
ℹ Based on the last 9 matches in Champions League. Bars use fixed scales (goals max 3.5, percentages 0–100%).

Venue Form

Goals signal (venue avg)
25%
O 3.5
88%
BTTS
FK Crvena Zvezda
2W 1D 1L · at home
Hapoel Beer Sheva
0W 0D 1L · away
3.0
gls/g
1.0
1.0
Conceded
2.0
50%
Win %
0%
75%
Win or Draw
0%
100%
O 1.5
100%
75%
O 2.5
100%
50%
O 3.5
0%
75%
BTTS
100%
25%
Clean Sht
0%
0%
Failed to Score
0%
last 4
ℹ Home team's record in home matches only · Away team's record in away matches only.

Score Matrix

↕ FK Crvena Zvezda Hapoel Beer Sheva →
0 1 2 3 4 5
0 2.9% 3.4% 1.9% 0.7% 0.2% —
1 6.9% 8.0% 4.6% 1.8% 0.5% 0.1%
2 8.3% 9.5% 5.5% 2.1% 0.6% 0.1%
3 6.6% 7.6% 4.4% 1.7% 0.5% 0.1%
4 3.9% 4.5% 2.6% 1.0% 0.3% 0.1%
5 1.9% 2.2% 1.2% 0.5% 0.1% —

Recent form

FK Crvena Zvezda FK Crvena Zvezda
L Hapoel Beer Sheva 1–0
W Larne 5–0
W Larne 0–4
D Pafos 1–1
L Pafos 1–2
Home clean sheet (120 days) 35%
Hapoel Beer Sheva Hapoel Beer Sheva
W FK Crvena Zvezda 1–0
W Vikingur Reykjavik 2–0
L Vikingur Reykjavik 2–1
Away clean sheet (120 days) 24%

Playing profile

FK Crvena Zvezda FK Crvena Zvezda
Attack
61
Defence
75
Form
69
Hapoel Beer Sheva Hapoel Beer Sheva
Attack
49
Defence
60
Form
56
Indices on a 0–100 scale calculated by the model

Head-to-Head

0
FK Crvena Zvezda
0
Draw
1
Hapoel Beer Sheva
4 Aug 2026 Champions League 0–1
Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win FK Crvena Zvezda vs Hapoel Beer Sheva?
The model gives FK Crvena Zvezda a 54% win probability, 22% for a draw, and 22% for an Hapoel Beer Sheva win.
How many goals are expected in FK Crvena Zvezda vs Hapoel Beer Sheva?
Expected goals: FK Crvena Zvezda 2.4, Hapoel Beer Sheva 1.2 (total 3.5). Probability of over 1.5 goals: 83%.
What is the most likely score in FK Crvena Zvezda vs Hapoel Beer Sheva?
2–1 is the most probable final score, with an estimated probability of 9.78%.