Conference League
· League Stage - 3
November 05, 2026 18:45
✓Model correct — prediction FK Crvena Zvezda
V. Lucic
(ast. R. Krunic)
80'
J. Diaz
(ast. Y. Nakayama)
90'+2
(og)
62'
(ast. M. Pochettino)
B. Arellano
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave FK Crvena Zvezda a 81% win probability (draw 11%, Inter Club d'Escaldes 7%). The final result was FK Crvena Zvezda 2–1 Inter Club d'Escaldes.
Match statistics
19
Total shots
6
8
Shots on target
3
2.85
Actual xG
1.44
2
Saves
7
55%
Possession
45%
6
Corners
3
14
Tackles
16
1
🟨 Yellow cards
3
1
🟥 Red cards
1
Match Events
32'
A. Katai
35'
43'
D. Berlanga
45'+3
A. Sanchez
T. Handel
/ D. Luckassen
46'
L. Loizou
/ O. Bukari
46'
Kim Ye-geon
/ B. Dieng
46'
51'
D. Berlanga
51'
D. Berlanga
58'
B. Arellano
/
Soule
62'
ast. M. Pochettino ·
B. Arellano⚽
V. Kostov
/ M. Ivanic
68'
72'
L. Diaby
/
V. Alonso
M. Veljkovic
72'
B. Dieng
/ V. Lucic
79'
⚽V. Lucic
· ast. R. Krunic
80'
81'
J. Camara
/
F. Chouaib
81'
R. Lafarge
/
David Lopez
89'
J. Torres
90'+1
J. Camara
⚽J. Diaz
(og)
· ast. Y. Nakayama
90'+2
M. Gashtarov
90'
Pre-match prediction
81.17%
FK ←
11.53%
X
7.3%
Inter
✓ Correct prediction —
we assigned to the actual result (FK Crvena Zvezda)
81.17%
(high confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.77
2.85
+1.08
0.43
1.44
+1.01
FK Crvena Zvezda dominated by xG (2.85 vs 1.44).
The final result reflects the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
1
Matheus
89'
G
Matheus
89'
G
60
Matej Gaštarov
89'
D
Matej Gaštarov
89'
D
13
Miloš Veljković
89'
D
Miloš Veljković
89'
D
3
Yuta Nakayama
1 👟
89'
D
Yuta Nakayama
1 👟
89'
D
33
Rade Krunić
1 👟
89'
M
Rade Krunić
1 👟
89'
M
21
Timi Max Elšnik
89'
M
Timi Max Elšnik
89'
M
19
Ye-geon Kim
45'
F
Ye-geon Kim
45'
F
22
Vasilije Kostov
68'
M
Vasilije Kostov
68'
M
20
Tomás Händel
45'
M
Tomás Händel
45'
M
75
Loizos Loizou
45'
F
Loizos Loizou
45'
F
10
Aleksandar Katai
35'
F
Aleksandar Katai
35'
F
Bench
9
Ahmadou Bamba Dieng
34'
F
Ahmadou Bamba Dieng
34'
F
32
Derrick Luckassen
44'
D
Derrick Luckassen
44'
D
30
Franklin Tebo
D
Franklin Tebo
D
77
Ivan Guteša
G
Ivan Guteša
G
8
Kristiyan Balov
F
Kristiyan Balov
F
6
Mahmudu Bajo
M
Mahmudu Bajo
M
7
Marko Arnautović
F
Marko Arnautović
F
4
Mirko Ivanić
21'
M
Mirko Ivanić
21'
M
15
Mohammad Abu Fani
M
Mohammad Abu Fani
M
70
Muhammed-Cham Saračević
M
Muhammed-Cham Saračević
M
14
Osman Bukari
44'
M
Osman Bukari
44'
M
37
Vladimir Lučić
1 ⚽
10'
M
Vladimir Lučić
1 ⚽
10'
M
13
Javier Díaz
1 ⚽
89'
G
Javier Díaz
1 ⚽
89'
G
3
Jilmar Torres
89'
D
Jilmar Torres
89'
D
2
Anwar Hernandez
89'
D
Anwar Hernandez
89'
D
4
Álex Sánchez
89'
D
Álex Sánchez
89'
D
24
Maurizio Pochettino
1 👟
89'
D
Maurizio Pochettino
1 👟
89'
D
8
David López
81'
M
David López
81'
M
6
Víctor Alonso
72'
M
Víctor Alonso
72'
M
19
Pablo Molina
89'
M
Pablo Molina
89'
M
31
Soule Sidibe
58'
F
Soule Sidibe
58'
F
9
Faysal Chouaib
81'
F
Faysal Chouaib
81'
F
11
Domi Berlanga
51'
F
Domi Berlanga
51'
F
Bench
44
Alex Leitao
F
Alex Leitao
F
70
Borja Arellano
1 ⚽
31'
F
Borja Arellano
1 ⚽
31'
F
7
Juan Camara
8'
M
Juan Camara
8'
M
23
Lamine Diaby
17'
D
Lamine Diaby
17'
D
21
Marc Rodríguez
D
Marc Rodríguez
D
1
Pol Freixanet
G
Pol Freixanet
G
99
Rafinha
F
Rafinha
F
18
Robin Lafarge
8'
D
Robin Lafarge
8'
D
Best on the pitch
Javier Díaz
G · Inter
9.90
1 ⚽
· 51 pass
Rade Krunić
M · FK
8.20
1 👟
4 shots
· 60 pass
Vladimir Lučić
M · FK
8.00
1 ⚽
2 shots
· 7 pass
Anwar Hernandez
D · Inter
7.60
· 70 pass
Miloš Veljković
D · FK
7.50
· 65 pass
Derrick Luckassen
D · FK
7.50
· 15 pass
FK Crvena Zvezda — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matheus | G | 89 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 19 | 16% | — | — | — |
| Matej Gaštarov | D | 89 | 7.20 | — | — | 2 | 53 | 47% | — | — | — |
| Miloš Veljković | D | 89 | 7.50 | — | — | — | 65 | 58% | 1 | 1 | — |
| Yuta Nakayama | D | 89 | 6.90 | — | 1 | — | 52 | 50% | 2 | — | — |
| Rade Krunić | M | 89 | 8.20 | — | 1 | 4 | 60 | 53% | 5 | — | — |
| Timi Max Elšnik | M | 89 | 6.60 | — | — | 2 | 48 | 43% | 1 | — | — |
| Ye-geon Kim | F | 45 | 7.00 | — | — | 1 | 8 | 7% | 1 | — | — |
| Vasilije Kostov | M | 68 | 6.90 | — | — | 2 | 34 | 30% | — | — | — |
| Tomás Händel | M | 45 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 24 | 20% | — | — | — |
| Loizos Loizou | F | 45 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 16 | 13% | 1 | — | — |
| Aleksandar Katai | F | 35 | 5.30 | — | — | 1 | 4 | 2% | 0 | — | 1 |
| Ahmadou Bamba Dieng | F | 34 | 6.30 | — | — | 4 | 3 | 3% | — | — | — |
| Derrick Luckassen | D | 44 | 7.50 | — | — | — | 15 | 14% | 3 | — | — |
| Mirko Ivanić | M | 21 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 9 | 7% | — | — | — |
| Osman Bukari | M | 44 | 7.30 | — | — | 1 | 13 | 13% | — | — | — |
| Vladimir Lučić | M | 10 | 8.00 | 1 | — | 2 | 7 | 7% | — | — | — |
Inter Club d'Escaldes — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Javier Díaz | G | 89 | 9.90 | 1 | — | — | 51 | 41% | — | — | — |
| Jilmar Torres | D | 89 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 51 | 37% | 4 | — | — |
| Anwar Hernandez | D | 89 | 7.60 | — | — | — | 70 | 67% | 2 | — | — |
| Álex Sánchez | D | 89 | 7.50 | — | — | — | 53 | 48% | 1 | 1 | — |
| Maurizio Pochettino | D | 89 | 7.50 | — | 1 | 1 | 30 | 21% | 3 | — | — |
| David López | M | 81 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 29 | 25% | 2 | — | — |
| Víctor Alonso | M | 72 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 22 | 19% | 2 | — | — |
| Pablo Molina | M | 89 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 19 | 17% | 1 | — | — |
| Soule Sidibe | F | 58 | 6.20 | — | — | 2 | 9 | 7% | — | — | — |
| Faysal Chouaib | F | 81 | 6.20 | — | — | 1 | 7 | 3% | — | — | — |
| Domi Berlanga | F | 51 | 5.70 | — | — | 1 | 8 | 8% | 0 | 2 | 1 |
| Borja Arellano | F | 31 | 7.00 | 1 | — | 1 | 2 | — | — | — | — |
| Juan Camara | M | 8 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 4 | 2% | 1 | — | — |
| Lamine Diaby | D | 17 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 2 | 1% | — | — | — |
| Robin Lafarge | D | 8 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 1 | — | — | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of FK Crvena Zvezda vs Inter Club d'Escaldes?
The final score was FK Crvena Zvezda 2–1 Inter Club d'Escaldes.
What did the model predict before FK Crvena Zvezda vs Inter Club d'Escaldes?
The model assigned 81% probability to a FK Crvena Zvezda win, 11% to a draw, and 7% to an Inter Club d'Escaldes win.