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FK Crvena Zvezda - Larne

Champions League July 29, 2026 20:00
FK Crvena Zvezda
vs
Larne
⚡ Pre-match analysis
55.83%
Win
FK Crvena Zvezda
22.67%
Draw
21.51%
Win
Larne
2.54
Expected xG
1.1
Most likely outcome
FK Crvena Zvezda
55.83%
Probability
60.0%
1X2 accuracy · 5 predictions (3 months)

Market probabilities

Most likely result 2–1 (9.8%)
1X2 Result
1 56%
X 23%
2 22%
Double Chance
1X 79%
X2 44%
12 77%
Over / Under
Over 1.5 84%
Over 2.5 63%
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The ForzaPitch prediction gives FK Crvena Zvezda a 55% win probability, against 22% for a draw and 21% for Larne. Expected goals are 2.5 for FK Crvena Zvezda and 1.1 for Larne (total 3.6), with a 83% probability of Over 1.5 goals. The most likely scoreline is 2–1 at 9.8% probability. In 1 previous meetings, FK Crvena Zvezda have won 1 times, with 0 draws and 0 wins for Larne.

Season Stats

FK Crvena Zvezda
4W 2D 1L
Larne
2W 0D 1L
Averages per game
2.3
Goals
1.0
0.9
Conceded
1.7
5.0
Shots OT
4.0
6.7
Corners
5.0
49%
Poss.
68%
Percentages
86%
O 1.5
67%
57%
O 2.5
67%
71%
BTTS
33%
29%
Clean Sht
33%
ℹ Based on the last 7 matches in Champions League. Bars use fixed scales (goals max 3.5, percentages 0–100%).

Venue Form

Goals signal (venue avg)
17%
O 3.5
50%
BTTS
FK Crvena Zvezda
1W 1D 1L · at home
Larne
1W 0D 0L · away
2.3
gls/g
1.0
1.3
Conceded
0.0
33%
Win %
100%
67%
Win or Draw
100%
100%
O 1.5
0%
67%
O 2.5
0%
33%
O 3.5
0%
100%
BTTS
0%
0%
Clean Sht
100%
0%
Failed to Score
0%
last 3
ℹ Home team's record in home matches only · Away team's record in away matches only.

Score Matrix

↕ FK Crvena Zvezda Larne →
0 1 2 3 4 5
0 2.6% 2.9% 1.6% 0.6% 0.2% —
1 6.6% 7.3% 4.0% 1.5% 0.4% 0.1%
2 8.4% 9.3% 5.1% 1.9% 0.5% 0.1%
3 7.2% 7.9% 4.4% 1.6% 0.4% 0.1%
4 4.5% 5.0% 2.8% 1.0% 0.3% 0.1%
5 2.3% 2.6% 1.4% 0.5% 0.1% —

Recent form

FK Crvena Zvezda FK Crvena Zvezda
W Larne 0–4
D Pafos 1–1
L Pafos 1–2
D Lech Poznan 1–1
W Lech Poznan 1–3
Home clean sheet (120 days) 24%
Larne Larne
L FK Crvena Zvezda 0–4
W Tre Fiori 2–1
W Tre Fiori 0–1
Away clean sheet (120 days) 51%

Playing profile

FK Crvena Zvezda FK Crvena Zvezda
Attack
62
Defence
70
Form
66
Larne Larne
Attack
29
Defence
77
Form
62
Indices on a 0–100 scale calculated by the model

Head-to-Head

1
FK Crvena Zvezda
0
Draw
0
Larne
21 Jul 2026 Champions League 4–0
Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win FK Crvena Zvezda vs Larne?
The model gives FK Crvena Zvezda a 55% win probability, 22% for a draw, and 21% for an Larne win.
How many goals are expected in FK Crvena Zvezda vs Larne?
Expected goals: FK Crvena Zvezda 2.5, Larne 1.1 (total 3.6). Probability of over 1.5 goals: 83%.
What is the most likely score in FK Crvena Zvezda vs Larne?
2–1 is the most probable final score, with an estimated probability of 9.8%.