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SuperLiga · Regular Season - 12 October 18, 2026 16:00 Stadion Rajko Mitić, Beograd
FK Crvena Zvezda
#1 · 37 pts
5 – 1
Final score
Mladost Lucani
#7 · 18 pts
✓Model correct — prediction FK Crvena Zvezda
Aleksandar Katai (ast. Mahmudu Bajo) 43'
Marko Arnautović 47'
Mohammad Abu Fani 56'
Osman Bukari 73'
Timi Elsnik (ast. Mirko Ivanić) 79'
77' Vukasin Markovic
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The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave FK Crvena Zvezda a 75% win probability (draw 14%, Mladost Lucani 10%). The final result was FK Crvena Zvezda 5–1 Mladost Lucani. In 2 previous meetings, FK Crvena Zvezda have won 2 times, with 0 draws and 0 wins for Mladost Lucani.

Match statistics
33
Total shots
4
12
Shots on target
1
5.71
Actual xG
0.52
0
Saves
7
84%
Possession
16%
10
Corners
1
12
Tackles
11
2
🟨 Yellow cards
0
Match Events
Mohammad Abu Fani
36'
⚽Aleksandar Katai · ast. Mahmudu Bajo
43'
⚽Marko Arnautović
47'
Matej Strika
51'
⚽Mohammad Abu Fani
56'
↕ Mohammad Abu Fani / Kim Ye-geon
62'
↕ Kristiyan Balov / Mirko Ivanić
62'
62'
David Djokic / Vasil Tašovski ↕
62'
Vukasin Markovic / Jovan ciric ↕
↕ Muhammed Cham Saracevic / Rade Krunić
72'
↕ Mahmudu Bajo / Timi Elsnik
72'
⚽Osman Bukari
73'
75'
ognjen bondzulic / mihailo todosijevic ↕
76'
Taras Bondarenko / Vukašin Jovanović ↕
77'
Vukasin Markovic⚽
⚽Timi Elsnik · ast. Mirko Ivanić
79'
↕ Marko Arnautović / Andrej Sibinovic
79'
86'
Nenad Radić / Nemanja Petrović ↕
Pre-match prediction
75.01%
FK ←
14.03%
X
10.96%
Mladost
✓ Correct prediction — we assigned to the actual result (FK Crvena Zvezda) 75.01% (high confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
FK
4.08
5.71
+1.63
Mladost
0.76
0.52
-0.24
FK Crvena Zvezda dominated by xG (5.71 vs 0.52). The final result reflects the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
League Table
#Team GPts
1 FK Crvena Zvezda FK Crvena Zvezda 13 37
2 Vojvodina Vojvodina 13 29
3 Železničar Pančevo Železničar Pančevo 12 23
4 IMT Novi Beograd IMT Novi Beograd 13 21
5 Radnicki 1923 Radnicki 1923 12 20
6 Cukaricki Cukaricki 13 18
7 Mladost Lucani Mladost Lucani 13 18
8 Radnik Surdulica Radnik Surdulica 13 17
9 Novi Pazar Novi Pazar 13 16
10 FK Partizan FK Partizan 12 11
11 OFK Beograd OFK Beograd 13 11
12 Macva Macva 13 10
13 Radnicki NIS Radnicki NIS 12 8
14 Zemun Zemun 13 6
Lineups
FK Crvena Zvezda FK Crvena Zvezda 3-1-4-2
50 S. Radanović S. Radanović G 6.30
27 M. Strika M. Strika D 6.52
13 M. Veljković M. Veljković D 6.60
30 F. Tebo Uchenna F. Tebo Uchenna D 7.00
6 M. Bajo M. Bajo 1 👟 72' M 7.70
8 K. Balov K. Balov 62' M 6.48
15 Mohammad Abu Fani Mohammad Abu Fani 1 ⚽ 62' M 8.02
70 M. Cham M. Cham 72' M 7.20
14 O. Bukari O. Bukari 1 ⚽ M 8.20
10 A. Katai A. Katai 1 ⚽ F 7.90
7 M. Arnautović M. Arnautović 1 ⚽ 79' F 8.20
Bench
9 B. Dieng B. Dieng F 0.00
55 D. Saric D. Saric M 0.00
77 I. Guteša I. Guteša G 0.00
4 M. Ivanić M. Ivanić 1 👟 28' M 6.64
33 R. Krunić R. Krunić 18' M 6.84
45 S. Gudelj S. Gudelj D 0.00
21 Timi Max Elšnik Timi Max Elšnik 1 ⚽ 18' M 7.14
37 V. Lučić V. Lučić M 0.00
19 Ye-geon Kim Ye-geon Kim 28' M 6.36
3 Y. Nakayama Y. Nakayama D 0.00
Mladost Lucani Mladost Lucani 5-4-1
99 Ž. Samčović Ž. Samčović G 6.48
3 N. Petrović N. Petrović 86' D 4.97
12 M. Joksimović M. Joksimović D 5.84
30 N. Ćirković N. Ćirković D 5.08
33 V. Jovanović V. Jovanović 76' D 5.61
44 M. Cvetković M. Cvetković D 5.92
25 J. Ćirić J. Ćirić 62' M 4.78
5 V. Kijevčanin V. Kijevčanin M 5.27
32 B. Jovičić B. Jovičić M 5.90
88 Vasil Tasovski Vasil Tasovski 62' M 6.04
22 João João 75' F 6.36
Bench
36 D. Djokic D. Djokic 28' M 6.09
39 J. Uzuegbunam J. Uzuegbunam F 0.00
77 M. Kerkez M. Kerkez M 0.00
27 Nenad Radić Nenad Radić 4' M 5.78
11 O. Bondžulić O. Bondžulić 15' F 6.28
10 O. Krsmanovic O. Krsmanovic M 0.00
9 Petar Bojić Petar Bojić M 0.00
1 S. Stamenković S. Stamenković G 0.00
14 T. Bondarenko T. Bondarenko 14' D 5.55
24 V. Marković V. Marković 1 ⚽ 28' M 6.64
Best on the pitch
M. Arnautović
M. Arnautović
F · FK
8.20
1 ⚽
3 shots · 19 pass
O. Bukari
O. Bukari
M · FK
8.20
1 ⚽
3 shots · 49 pass
Mohammad Abu Fani
Mohammad Abu Fani
M · FK
8.02
1 ⚽
4 shots · 61 pass
A. Katai
A. Katai
F · FK
7.90
1 ⚽
6 shots · 44 pass
M. Bajo
M. Bajo
M · FK
7.70
1 👟
1 shots · 72 pass
M. Cham
M. Cham
M · FK
7.20
5 shots · 71 pass
FK Crvena Zvezda FK Crvena Zvezda — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
S. Radanović G 90 6.30 — — 0 27 26% 0 — —
M. Strika D 90 6.52 — — 1 78 72% 1 1 —
M. Veljković D 90 6.60 — — 2 81 78% 2 — —
F. Tebo Uchenna D 90 7.00 — — 1 72 66% 2 — —
M. Bajo M 72 7.70 — 1 1 72 67% 1 — —
K. Balov M 62 6.48 — — 2 25 18% 2 — —
Mohammad Abu Fani M 62 8.02 1 — 4 61 55% 0 1 —
M. Cham M 72 7.20 — — 5 71 69% 1 — —
O. Bukari M 90 8.20 1 — 3 49 45% 2 — —
A. Katai F 90 7.90 1 — 6 44 33% 0 — —
M. Arnautović F 79 8.20 1 — 3 19 14% 0 — —
M. Ivanić M 28 6.64 — 1 1 21 16% 0 — —
R. Krunić M 18 6.84 — — 0 25 24% 0 — —
Timi Max Elšnik M 18 7.14 1 — 2 12 11% 0 — —
Ye-geon Kim M 28 6.36 — — 2 13 10% 1 — —
Mladost Lucani Mladost Lucani — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
Ž. Samčović G 90 6.48 — — 0 28 14% 0 — —
N. Petrović D 86 4.97 — — 0 24 16% 0 — —
M. Joksimović D 90 5.84 — — 0 31 31% 0 — —
N. Ćirković D 90 5.08 — — 0 26 17% 0 — —
V. Jovanović D 76 5.61 — — 0 16 14% 2 — —
M. Cvetković D 90 5.92 — — 0 27 24% 2 — —
J. Ćirić M 62 4.78 — — 1 20 12% 0 — —
V. Kijevčanin M 90 5.27 — — 0 31 20% 3 — —
B. Jovičić M 90 5.90 — — 1 28 21% 2 — —
Vasil Tasovski M 62 6.04 — — 0 17 12% 1 — —
João F 75 6.36 — — 1 16 11% 0 — —
D. Djokic M 28 6.09 — — 0 4 3% 1 — —
Nenad Radić M 4 5.78 — — 0 1 0% 0 — —
O. Bondžulić F 15 6.28 — — 0 1 1% 0 — —
T. Bondarenko D 14 5.55 — — 0 9 7% 0 — —
V. Marković M 28 6.64 1 — 1 6 5% 0 — —
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of FK Crvena Zvezda vs Mladost Lucani?
The final score was FK Crvena Zvezda 5–1 Mladost Lucani.
What did the model predict before FK Crvena Zvezda vs Mladost Lucani?
The model assigned 75% probability to a FK Crvena Zvezda win, 14% to a draw, and 10% to an Mladost Lucani win.