Czech Liga
· Regular Season - 29
April 11, 2026 15:00
✓Model correct — prediction FK Jablonec
D. Holly
(ast. L. Jawo)
8'
N. Okeke
(ast. V. Chanturishvili)
41'
E. Singhateh
(ast. D. Puskac)
85'
S. Nebyla
(ast. J. Chramosta)
90'+2
24'
(ast. D. Planka)
O. Kricfalusi
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave FK Jablonec a 86% win probability (draw 4%, Baník Ostrava 8%). The final result was FK Jablonec 4–1 Baník Ostrava. In 1 previous meetings, FK Jablonec have won 1 times, with 0 draws and 0 wins for Baník Ostrava.
Match statistics
8
Total shots
10
5
Shots on target
4
3.09
Actual xG
1.06
3
Saves
1
44%
Possession
56%
4
Corners
4
17
Tackles
13
1
🟨 Yellow cards
3
Match Events
⚽D. Holly
· ast. L. Jawo
8'
24'
ast. D. Planka ·
O. Kricfalusi⚽
D. Holly
/ N. Okeke
40'
⚽N. Okeke
· ast. V. Chanturishvili
41'
45'
M. Chalus
54'
V. Jurecka
N. Okeke
56'
58'
D. Planka
59'
A. Gning
/
J. Pira
72'
M. Rusnak
/
A. Bewene
72'
J. Boula
/
M. Kohut
V. Chanturishvili
/ D. Soucek
79'
F. Zorvan
/ R. Sedlacek
79'
L. Jawo
/ D. Puskac
79'
82'
A. Musak
/
M. Chalus
82'
M. Havran
/
V. Sinyavskiy
⚽E. Singhateh
· ast. D. Puskac
85'
E. Singhateh
/ J. Chramosta
88'
⚽S. Nebyla
· ast. J. Chramosta
90'+2
Pre-match prediction
86.95%
FK ←
4.46%
X
8.59%
Baník
✓ Correct prediction —
we assigned to the actual result (FK Jablonec)
86.95%
(high confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
4.50
3.09
-1.41
0.61
1.06
+0.45
FK Jablonec dominated by xG (3.09 vs 1.06).
The final result reflects the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
1
G
18
D
4
Nemanja Tekijaški
D
Nemanja Tekijaški
D
84
Renato Pantalon
D
Renato Pantalon
D
23
Eduard Sobol
M
Eduard Sobol
M
8
Filip Zorvan
80'
M
Filip Zorvan
80'
M
25
S. Nebyla
1 ⚽
M
S. Nebyla
1 ⚽
M
7
Vakhtang Chanturishvili
1 👟
80'
M
Vakhtang Chanturishvili
1 👟
80'
M
27
Ebrima Singhateh
1 ⚽
88'
F
Ebrima Singhateh
1 ⚽
88'
F
44
L. Jawo
1 👟
80'
F
L. Jawo
1 👟
80'
F
9
D. Hollý
1 ⚽
39'
F
D. Hollý
1 ⚽
39'
F
Bench
14
Daniel Souček
10'
D
Daniel Souček
10'
D
57
F. Novak
D
19
J. Chramosta
1 👟
2'
F
J. Chramosta
1 👟
2'
F
42
Matej Malenšek
F
Matej Malenšek
F
6
N. Okeke
1 ⚽
51'
M
N. Okeke
1 ⚽
51'
M
23
G
6
D
17
Michal Frydrych
D
37
M. Chaluš
82'
D
M. Chaluš
82'
D
99
Vlasiy Sinyavskiy
82'
M
80
Ondrej Kricfalusi
1 ⚽
M
21
M. Kohut
72'
M
34
Abdullahi Bewene
72'
M
Abdullahi Bewene
72'
M
18
David Planka
1 👟
F
15
Václav Jurečka
F
29
Jakub Pira
59'
F
Bench
12
Abdallah Gning
31'
F
55
Artúr Musák
8'
M
19
Filip Šancl
M
5
Jiří Boula
18'
M
66
Matúš Rusnák
18'
M
20
Pablo Ortíz
D
Pablo Ortíz
D
10
Srđan Plavšić
M
Best on the pitch
S. Nebyla
M · FK
8.90
1 ⚽
2 shots
· 17 pass
L. Jawo
F · FK
8.20
1 👟
· 11 pass
N. Okeke
M · FK
7.70
1 ⚽
1 shots
· 16 pass
Ebrima Singhateh
F · FK
7.50
1 ⚽
2 shots
· 9 pass
Ondrej Kricfalusi
M · Baník
7.30
1 ⚽
2 shots
· 48 pass
Filip Zorvan
M · FK
7.20
1 shots
· 35 pass
FK Jablonec — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | 90 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 30 | 20% | — | — | — | |
| D | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 37 | 27% | 1 | — | — | |
| Nemanja Tekijaški | D | 90 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 38 | 29% | 2 | — | — |
| Renato Pantalon | D | 90 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 35 | 24% | 4 | — | — |
| Eduard Sobol | M | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 23 | 16% | 2 | — | — |
| Filip Zorvan | M | 80 | 7.20 | — | — | 1 | 35 | 24% | 1 | — | — |
| S. Nebyla | M | 90 | 8.90 | 1 | — | 2 | 17 | 11% | 2 | — | — |
| Vakhtang Chanturishvili | M | 80 | 7.00 | — | 1 | — | 17 | 9% | 2 | — | — |
| Ebrima Singhateh | F | 88 | 7.50 | 1 | — | 2 | 9 | 8% | 1 | — | — |
| L. Jawo | F | 80 | 8.20 | — | 1 | — | 11 | 4% | 1 | — | — |
| D. Hollý | F | 39 | 7.00 | 1 | — | 1 | 5 | 2% | — | — | — |
| Daniel Souček | D | 10 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 3 | 2% | — | — | — |
| J. Chramosta | F | 2 | — | — | 1 | — | 1 | — | — | — | — |
| N. Okeke | M | 51 | 7.70 | 1 | — | 1 | 16 | 13% | 1 | 1 | — |
Baník Ostrava — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | 90 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 27 | 17% | — | — | — | |
| D | 90 | 6.00 | — | — | 1 | 57 | 49% | 2 | — | — | |
| Michal Frydrych | D | 90 | 5.90 | — | — | 1 | 52 | 43% | — | — | — |
| M. Chaluš | D | 82 | 6.00 | — | — | 1 | 20 | 13% | — | 1 | — |
| Vlasiy Sinyavskiy | M | 82 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 19 | 11% | — | — | — |
| Ondrej Kricfalusi | M | 90 | 7.30 | 1 | — | 2 | 48 | 38% | 1 | — | — |
| M. Kohut | M | 72 | 6.70 | — | — | 1 | 32 | 25% | — | — | — |
| Abdullahi Bewene | M | 72 | 7.20 | — | — | 1 | 20 | 17% | 2 | — | — |
| David Planka | F | 90 | 6.90 | — | 1 | — | 36 | 30% | — | 1 | — |
| Václav Jurečka | F | 90 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 22 | 18% | 1 | 1 | — |
| Jakub Pira | F | 59 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 12 | 10% | 2 | — | — |
| Abdallah Gning | F | 31 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 6 | 5% | — | — | — |
| Artúr Musák | M | 8 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 3 | 3% | — | — | — |
| Jiří Boula | M | 18 | 7.00 | — | — | 1 | 8 | 6% | 3 | — | — |
| Matúš Rusnák | M | 18 | 6.90 | — | — | 2 | 3 | 2% | 2 | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of FK Jablonec vs Baník Ostrava?
The final score was FK Jablonec 4–1 Baník Ostrava.
What did the model predict before FK Jablonec vs Baník Ostrava?
The model assigned 86% probability to a FK Jablonec win, 4% to a draw, and 8% to an Baník Ostrava win.