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Czech Liga · Regular Season - 29 April 11, 2026 15:00
FK Jablonec
#4 · 51 pts
4 – 1
Final score
Baník Ostrava
#6 · 23 pts
✓Model correct — prediction FK Jablonec
D. Holly (ast. L. Jawo) 8'
N. Okeke (ast. V. Chanturishvili) 41'
E. Singhateh (ast. D. Puskac) 85'
S. Nebyla (ast. J. Chramosta) 90'+2
24' (ast. D. Planka) O. Kricfalusi

The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave FK Jablonec a 86% win probability (draw 4%, Baník Ostrava 8%). The final result was FK Jablonec 4–1 Baník Ostrava. In 1 previous meetings, FK Jablonec have won 1 times, with 0 draws and 0 wins for Baník Ostrava.

Match statistics
8
Total shots
10
5
Shots on target
4
3.09
Actual xG
1.06
3
Saves
1
44%
Possession
56%
4
Corners
4
17
Tackles
13
1
🟨 Yellow cards
3
Match Events
⚽D. Holly · ast. L. Jawo
8'
24'
ast. D. Planka · O. Kricfalusi⚽
↕ D. Holly / N. Okeke
40'
⚽N. Okeke · ast. V. Chanturishvili
41'
45'
M. Chalus
54'
V. Jurecka
N. Okeke
56'
58'
D. Planka
59'
A. Gning / J. Pira ↕
72'
M. Rusnak / A. Bewene ↕
72'
J. Boula / M. Kohut ↕
↕ V. Chanturishvili / D. Soucek
79'
↕ F. Zorvan / R. Sedlacek
79'
↕ L. Jawo / D. Puskac
79'
82'
A. Musak / M. Chalus ↕
82'
M. Havran / V. Sinyavskiy ↕
⚽E. Singhateh · ast. D. Puskac
85'
↕ E. Singhateh / J. Chramosta
88'
⚽S. Nebyla · ast. J. Chramosta
90'+2
Pre-match prediction
86.95%
FK ←
4.46%
X
8.59%
Baník
✓ Correct prediction — we assigned to the actual result (FK Jablonec) 86.95% (high confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
FK
4.50
3.09
-1.41
Baník
0.61
1.06
+0.45
FK Jablonec dominated by xG (3.09 vs 1.06). The final result reflects the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
League Table
#Team GPts
1 Zlin Zlin 33 38
1 Slavia Praha Slavia Praha 33 77
1 Slavia Praha Slavia Praha 30 71
2 Sparta Praha Sparta Praha 33 70
2 Mlada Boleslav Mlada Boleslav 33 37
2 Sparta Praha Sparta Praha 30 63
3 Plzen Plzen 33 60
3 Teplice Teplice 33 36
3 Plzen Plzen 30 53
4 Slovácko Slovácko 33 30
4 Hradec Králové Hradec Králové 33 53
4 FK Jablonec FK Jablonec 30 51
5 FK Jablonec FK Jablonec 33 52
5 Dukla Praha Dukla Praha 33 26
5 Hradec Králové Hradec Králové 30 49
6 Slovan Liberec Slovan Liberec 30 46
6 Slovan Liberec Slovan Liberec 33 46
6 Baník Ostrava Baník Ostrava 33 23
7 Sigma Olomouc Sigma Olomouc 30 43
8 Pardubice Pardubice 30 41
9 Karviná Karviná 30 39
10 Bohemians 1905 Bohemians 1905 30 36
11 Mlada Boleslav Mlada Boleslav 30 35
12 Zlin Zlin 30 34
13 Teplice Teplice 30 29
14 Dukla Praha Dukla Praha 30 23
15 Slovácko Slovácko 30 23
16 Baník Ostrava Baník Ostrava 30 22
Lineups
FK Jablonec FK Jablonec 3-4-3
1
G 6.70
18
D 6.90
4 Nemanja Tekijaški Nemanja Tekijaški D 6.60
84 Renato Pantalon Renato Pantalon D 6.70
23 Eduard Sobol Eduard Sobol M 6.90
8 Filip Zorvan Filip Zorvan 80' M 7.20
25 Sebastian Nebyla Sebastian Nebyla 1 ⚽ M 8.90
7 Vakhtang Chanturishvili Vakhtang Chanturishvili 1 👟 80' M 7.00
27
E. Singhateh 1 ⚽ 88' F 7.50
44 Lamin Jawo Lamin Jawo 1 👟 80' F 8.20
9 D. Hollý D. Hollý 1 ⚽ 39' F 7.00
Bench
14 Daniel Souček Daniel Souček 10' D 6.30
57
F. Novak D
19 Jan Chramosta Jan Chramosta 1 👟 2' F
42 Matej Malenšek Matej Malenšek F
6 Nelson Okeke Nelson Okeke 1 ⚽ 51' M 7.70
Baník Ostrava Baník Ostrava 3-4-2-1
23
G 6.20
6
D 6.00
17 Michal Frydrych Michal Frydrych D 5.90
37 Matěj Chaluš Matěj Chaluš 82' D 6.00
99 Vlasiy Sinyavskiy Vlasiy Sinyavskiy 82' M 6.20
80
O. Kricfalusi 1 ⚽ M 7.30
21
M. Kohut 72' M 6.70
34 Abdullahi Bewene Abdullahi Bewene 72' M 7.20
18 David Planka David Planka 1 👟 F 6.90
15 Václav Jurečka Václav Jurečka F 6.30
29 Jakub Pira Jakub Pira 59' F 6.50
Bench
12 Abdallah Gning Abdallah Gning 31' F 6.50
55 Artúr Musák Artúr Musák 8' M 6.20
19 Filip Šancl Filip Šancl M
5 Jiří Boula Jiří Boula 18' M 7.00
66 Matúš Rusnák Matúš Rusnák 18' M 6.90
20 Pablo Ortíz Pablo Ortíz D
10 Srđan Plavšić Srđan Plavšić M
Best on the pitch
Sebastian Nebyla
Sebastian Nebyla
M · FK
8.90
1 ⚽
2 shots · 17 pass
Lamin Jawo
Lamin Jawo
F · FK
8.20
1 👟
· 11 pass
Nelson Okeke
Nelson Okeke
M · FK
7.70
1 ⚽
1 shots · 16 pass
E. Singhateh
F · FK
7.50
1 ⚽
2 shots · 9 pass
O. Kricfalusi
M · Baník
7.30
1 ⚽
2 shots · 48 pass
Filip Zorvan
Filip Zorvan
M · FK
7.20
1 shots · 35 pass
FK Jablonec FK Jablonec — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
G 90 6.70 — — — 30 20% — — —
D 90 6.90 — — — 37 27% 1 — —
Nemanja Tekijaški D 90 6.60 — — — 38 29% 2 — —
Renato Pantalon D 90 6.70 — — — 35 24% 4 — —
Eduard Sobol M 90 6.90 — — 1 23 16% 2 — —
Filip Zorvan M 80 7.20 — — 1 35 24% 1 — —
Sebastian Nebyla M 90 8.90 1 — 2 17 11% 2 — —
Vakhtang Chanturishvili M 80 7.00 — 1 — 17 9% 2 — —
E. Singhateh F 88 7.50 1 — 2 9 8% 1 — —
Lamin Jawo F 80 8.20 — 1 — 11 4% 1 — —
D. Hollý F 39 7.00 1 — 1 5 2% — — —
Daniel Souček D 10 6.30 — — — 3 2% — — —
Jan Chramosta F 2 — — 1 — 1 — — — —
Nelson Okeke M 51 7.70 1 — 1 16 13% 1 1 —
Baník Ostrava Baník Ostrava — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
G 90 6.20 — — — 27 17% — — —
D 90 6.00 — — 1 57 49% 2 — —
Michal Frydrych D 90 5.90 — — 1 52 43% — — —
Matěj Chaluš D 82 6.00 — — 1 20 13% — 1 —
Vlasiy Sinyavskiy M 82 6.20 — — — 19 11% — — —
O. Kricfalusi M 90 7.30 1 — 2 48 38% 1 — —
M. Kohut M 72 6.70 — — 1 32 25% — — —
Abdullahi Bewene M 72 7.20 — — 1 20 17% 2 — —
David Planka F 90 6.90 — 1 — 36 30% — 1 —
Václav Jurečka F 90 6.30 — — — 22 18% 1 1 —
Jakub Pira F 59 6.50 — — — 12 10% 2 — —
Abdallah Gning F 31 6.50 — — — 6 5% — — —
Artúr Musák M 8 6.20 — — — 3 3% — — —
Jiří Boula M 18 7.00 — — 1 8 6% 3 — —
Matúš Rusnák M 18 6.90 — — 2 3 2% 2 — —
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of FK Jablonec vs Baník Ostrava?
The final score was FK Jablonec 4–1 Baník Ostrava.
What did the model predict before FK Jablonec vs Baník Ostrava?
The model assigned 86% probability to a FK Jablonec win, 4% to a draw, and 8% to an Baník Ostrava win.