FK Jablonec 4–1 Baník Ostrava — pre-match prediction — Czech Liga — April 11, 2026

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Czech Liga · Regular Season - 29 April 11, 2026 15:00

FK Jablonec

#6 · 20 pts

4 – 1

Final score

Baník Ostrava

#13 · 11 pts

✓Model correct — prediction FK Jablonec

D. Holly (ast. L. Jawo) 8'

N. Okeke (ast. V. Chanturishvili) 41'

E. Singhateh (ast. D. Puskac) 85'

S. Nebyla (ast. J. Chramosta) 90'+2

24' (ast. D. Planka) O. Kricfalusi

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The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave FK Jablonec a 86% win probability (draw 4%, Baník Ostrava 8%). The final result was FK Jablonec 4–1 Baník Ostrava. In 2 previous meetings, FK Jablonec have won 2 times, with 0 draws and 0 wins for Baník Ostrava.

Match statistics

Total shots

Shots on target

3.09

Actual xG

1.06

Saves

44%

Possession

56%

Corners

Tackles

🟨 Yellow cards

Match Events

⚽D. Holly · ast. L. Jawo

24'

ast. D. Planka · O. Kricfalusi⚽

↕ D. Holly / N. Okeke

40'

⚽N. Okeke · ast. V. Chanturishvili

41'

45'

M. Chalus

54'

V. Jurecka

N. Okeke

56'

58'

D. Planka

59'

A. Gning / J. Pira ↕

72'

M. Rusnak / A. Bewene ↕

72'

J. Boula / M. Kohut ↕

↕ V. Chanturishvili / D. Soucek

79'

↕ F. Zorvan / R. Sedlacek

79'

↕ L. Jawo / D. Puskac

79'

82'

A. Musak / M. Chalus ↕

82'

M. Havran / V. Sinyavskiy ↕

⚽E. Singhateh · ast. D. Puskac

85'

↕ E. Singhateh / J. Chramosta

88'

⚽S. Nebyla · ast. J. Chramosta

90'+2

Pre-match prediction

86.95%

FK ←

4.46%

8.59%

Baník

✓ Correct prediction — we assigned to the actual result (FK Jablonec) 86.95% (high confidence)

Expected vs actual xG

Exp.

Actual

4.50

3.09

-1.41

Baník

0.61

1.06

+0.45

FK Jablonec dominated by xG (3.09 vs 1.06). The final result reflects the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.

League Table

#	Team	G	Pts
1	Slavia Praha	12	28
2	Sparta Praha	12	22
3	Mlada Boleslav	12	21
4	Sigma Olomouc	12	21
5	Slovan Liberec	11	20
6	FK Jablonec	12	20
7	Zbrojovka Brno	12	20
8	Teplice	12	18
9	Plzen	12	16
10	Bohemians 1905	11	16
11	Hradec Králové	12	15
12	Pardubice	12	14
13	Baník Ostrava	11	11
14	Artis	11	9
15	Karviná	0	0
15	Slovácko	12	7
16	Zlin	12	2

Lineups

FK Jablonec 3-4-3

G 6.70

D 6.90

N. Tekijaški D 6.60

R. Pantalon D 6.70

E. Sobol M 6.90

F. Zorvan 80' M 7.20

S. Nebyla 1 ⚽ M 8.90

V. Tchanturishvili 1 👟 80' M 7.00

E. Singhateh 1 ⚽ 88' F 7.50

Lamin Jawo 1 👟 80' F 8.20

D. Hollý 1 ⚽ 39' F 7.00

Bench

D. Souček 10' D 6.30

F. Novák D

J. Chramosta 1 👟 2' F

Matej Malenšek F

N. Okeke 1 ⚽ 51' M 7.70

Baník Ostrava 3-4-2-1

G 6.20

D 6.00

M. Frydrych D 5.90

M. Chaluš 82' D 6.00

V. Sinyavskiy 82' M 6.20

O. Kričfaluši 1 ⚽ M 7.30

M. Kohút 72' M 6.70

A. Bewene 72' M 7.20

D. Planka 1 👟 F 6.90

V. Jurečka F 6.30

Jakub Pira 59' F 6.50

Bench

A. Gning 31' F 6.50

Artúr Musák 8' M 6.20

Filip Šancl M

J. Boula 18' M 7.00

M. Rusnák 18' M 6.90

Pablo Ortíz D

S. Plavšić M

Best on the pitch

S. Nebyla

M · FK

8.90

1 ⚽

2 shots · 17 pass

Lamin Jawo

F · FK

8.20

1 👟

· 11 pass

N. Okeke

M · FK

7.70

1 ⚽

1 shots · 16 pass

E. Singhateh

F · FK

7.50

1 ⚽

2 shots · 9 pass

O. Kričfaluši

M · Baník

7.30

1 ⚽

2 shots · 48 pass

F. Zorvan

M · FK

7.20

1 shots · 35 pass

FK Jablonec — Player statistics

Team	Pos	Min	Rating	⚽	👟	Shots	Pass	Acc%	Tck	YC	RC
	G	90	6.70	—	—	—	30	20%	—	—	—
	D	90	6.90	—	—	—	37	27%	1	—	—
N. Tekijaški	D	90	6.60	—	—	—	38	29%	2	—	—
R. Pantalon	D	90	6.70	—	—	—	35	24%	4	—	—
E. Sobol	M	90	6.90	—	—	1	23	16%	2	—	—
F. Zorvan	M	80	7.20	—	—	1	35	24%	1	—	—
S. Nebyla	M	90	8.90	1	—	2	17	11%	2	—	—
V. Tchanturishvili	M	80	7.00	—	1	—	17	9%	2	—	—
E. Singhateh	F	88	7.50	1	—	2	9	8%	1	—	—
Lamin Jawo	F	80	8.20	—	1	—	11	4%	1	—	—
D. Hollý	F	39	7.00	1	—	1	5	2%	—	—	—
D. Souček	D	10	6.30	—	—	—	3	2%	—	—	—
J. Chramosta	F	2	—	—	1	—	1	—	—	—	—
N. Okeke	M	51	7.70	1	—	1	16	13%	1	1	—

Baník Ostrava — Player statistics

Team	Pos	Min	Rating	⚽	👟	Shots	Pass	Acc%	Tck	YC	RC
	G	90	6.20	—	—	—	27	17%	—	—	—
	D	90	6.00	—	—	1	57	49%	2	—	—
M. Frydrych	D	90	5.90	—	—	1	52	43%	—	—	—
M. Chaluš	D	82	6.00	—	—	1	20	13%	—	1	—
V. Sinyavskiy	M	82	6.20	—	—	—	19	11%	—	—	—
O. Kričfaluši	M	90	7.30	1	—	2	48	38%	1	—	—
M. Kohút	M	72	6.70	—	—	1	32	25%	—	—	—
A. Bewene	M	72	7.20	—	—	1	20	17%	2	—	—
D. Planka	F	90	6.90	—	1	—	36	30%	—	1	—
V. Jurečka	F	90	6.30	—	—	—	22	18%	1	1	—
Jakub Pira	F	59	6.50	—	—	—	12	10%	2	—	—
A. Gning	F	31	6.50	—	—	—	6	5%	—	—	—
Artúr Musák	M	8	6.20	—	—	—	3	3%	—	—	—
J. Boula	M	18	7.00	—	—	1	8	6%	3	—	—
M. Rusnák	M	18	6.90	—	—	2	3	2%	2	—	—

Frequently Asked Questions

What was the final score of FK Jablonec vs Baník Ostrava?

The final score was FK Jablonec 4–1 Baník Ostrava.

What did the model predict before FK Jablonec vs Baník Ostrava?

The model assigned 86% probability to a FK Jablonec win, 4% to a draw, and 8% to an Baník Ostrava win.