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FK Jablonec - Rīgas FS

Conference League August 06, 2026 18:00
⚡ Pre-match analysis
30.54%
Win
FK Jablonec
25.56%
Draw
43.9%
Win
Rīgas FS
1.06
Expected xG
1.4

Market probabilities

Most likely result 0–1 (12.62%)
1X2 Result ✓ 76.9% hit rate (13 picks)
1 31%
X 26%
2 44%
Double Chance
1X 56%
X2 70%
12 74%
Over / Under
Over 1.5 83%
Over 2.5 67%
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The ForzaPitch prediction gives Rīgas FS a 43% win probability, against 25% for a draw and 30% for FK Jablonec. Expected goals are 1.1 for FK Jablonec and 1.4 for Rīgas FS (total 2.5), with a 83% probability of Over 1.5 goals. The most likely scoreline is 0–1 at 12.62% probability.

Season Stats

FK Jablonec
1W 0D 1L
Rīgas FS
3W 2D 1L
Averages per game
2.0
Goals
1.8
1.5
Conceded
1.0
Percentages
100%
O 1.5
83%
50%
O 2.5
50%
50%
BTTS
67%
50%
Clean Sht
17%
Based on the last 6 matches in Conference League. Bars use fixed scales (goals max 3.5, percentages 0–100%).

Venue Form

Goals signal (venue avg)
0%
O 3.5
34%
BTTS
FK Jablonec
1W 0D 0L · at home
Rīgas FS
1W 1D 1L · away
2.0
gls/g
1.0
0.0
Conceded
1.0
100%
Win %
33%
100%
Win or Draw
67%
100%
O 1.5
67%
0%
O 2.5
33%
0%
O 3.5
0%
0%
BTTS
67%
100%
Clean Sht
0%
0%
Failed to Score
33%
last 3
Home team's record in home matches only · Away team's record in away matches only.

Score Matrix

↕ FK Jablonec Rīgas FS →
0 1 2 3 4 5
0 8.6% 12.0% 8.4% 3.9% 1.4% 0.4%
1 9.1% 12.7% 8.9% 4.1% 1.4% 0.4%
2 4.8% 6.7% 4.7% 2.2% 0.8% 0.2%
3 1.7% 2.4% 1.7% 0.8% 0.3% 0.1%
4 0.5% 0.6% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1%
5 0.1% 0.1% 0.1%

Recent form

W NK Varazdin 2–0
L NK Varazdin 3–2
Home clean sheet (120 days) 37%
D Vestri 1–1
W Vestri 4–1
W Glentoran 2–0
W Glentoran 1–2
D Hamrun Spartans 2–2
Away clean sheet (120 days) 43%

Playing profile

FK Jablonec FK Jablonec
Attack
32
Defence
76
Form
55
Rīgas FS Rīgas FS
Attack
46
Defence
85
Form
71
Indices on a 0–100 scale calculated by the model
Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win FK Jablonec vs Rīgas FS?
The model gives FK Jablonec a 30% win probability, 25% for a draw, and 43% for an Rīgas FS win.
How many goals are expected in FK Jablonec vs Rīgas FS?
Expected goals: FK Jablonec 1.1, Rīgas FS 1.4 (total 2.5). Probability of over 1.5 goals: 83%.
What is the most likely score in FK Jablonec vs Rīgas FS?
0–1 is the most probable final score, with an estimated probability of 12.62%.