Virsliga
· Regular Season - 32
October 12, 2026 17:00
E. Oloko
(ast. A. Ogunniyi)
38'
E. Oloko
(ast. D. Patijcuks)
77'
54'
A. Appiah
80'
(ast. J. Gerold)
O. Rubenis
90'+2
(ast. W. Fofana)
J. Gerold
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave FK Liepaja a 37% win probability (draw 28%, Auda 33%). The final result was FK Liepaja 2–3 Auda. In 3 previous meetings, FK Liepaja have won 0 times, with 0 draws and 3 wins for Auda.
Match statistics
3
Shots on target
7
1.19
Actual xG
1.90
37%
Possession
63%
3
Corners
1
Match Events
⚽E. Oloko
· ast. A. Ogunniyi
38'
48'
J. Gerold
/
B. Diedhiou
54'
A. Appiah⚽
67'
W. Fofana
/
E. Bongemba
B. Straalman
69'
⚽E. Oloko
· ast. D. Patijcuks
77'
80'
ast. J. Gerold ·
O. Rubenis⚽
A. Korobenko
/ K. Iljins
83'
84'
R. Kragliks
86'
M. Fofana
/
A. Appiah
86'
J. Minins
/
H. Ibrahim
86'
A. Ogunji
/
O. Rubenis
D. Patijcuks
/ B. Melnis
88'
90'+2
ast. W. Fofana ·
J. Gerold⚽
Pre-match prediction
37.48%
FK
28.88%
X
33.65%
Auda ←
we assigned to the actual result (Auda)
33.65%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
0.99
1.19
+0.2
0.96
1.90
+0.94
Auda dominated by xG (1.90 vs 1.19).
The final result reflects the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of FK Liepaja vs Auda?
The final score was FK Liepaja 2–3 Auda.
What did the model predict before FK Liepaja vs Auda?
The model assigned 37% probability to a FK Liepaja win, 28% to a draw, and 33% to an Auda win.