Virsliga
· Regular Season - 17
June 12, 2026 18:00
D. Gueye
37'
(pen.)
D. Patijcuks
(ast. K. Leidsman)
45'
28'
(ast. N. Pathe)
V. Lizunovs
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave FK Liepaja a 52% win probability (draw 25%, Super Nova 22%). The final result was FK Liepaja 2–1 Super Nova. In 2 previous meetings, FK Liepaja have won 2 times, with 0 draws and 0 wins for Super Nova.
Match statistics
Match Events
28'
ast. N. Pathe ·
V. Lizunovs⚽
⚽D. Gueye
(pen.)
37'
K. Leidsman
42'
⚽D. Patijcuks
· ast. K. Leidsman
45'
46'
E. Emsis
/
R. Sitjakovs
D. Patijcuks
/ I. Patrikejevs
58'
A. Ogunniyi
/ Fellipe Vieira
58'
I. Korotkovs
60'
66'
I. Ndiaye
/
R. Iida
66'
A. Grikovs
/
N. Pathe
D. Gueye
/ C. Amatkarijo
69'
72'
J. Cirulis
76'
A. Baghdasaryan
/
K. Skadmanis
80'
E. Emsis
83'
N. Barkovskis
/
J. Cirulis
87'
Facu
88'
M. Oss
K. Leidsman
/ I. Pulis
89'
A. Haidara
/ A. Traore
89'
M. Martins
90'+1
D. Oss
90'+3
Pre-match prediction
52.22%
FK ←
25.16%
X
22.62%
Super
we assigned to the actual result (FK Liepaja)
52.22%
(medium confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.46
—
—
0.86
—
—
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of FK Liepaja vs Super Nova?
The final score was FK Liepaja 2–1 Super Nova.
What did the model predict before FK Liepaja vs Super Nova?
The model assigned 52% probability to a FK Liepaja win, 25% to a draw, and 22% to an Super Nova win.