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FK Trakai - Panevėžys

A Lyga May 15, 2026 19:00
FK Trakai
#10 · 0 pts
vs
Panevėžys
#8 · 20 pts
⚡ Pre-match analysis
11.65%
Win
FK Trakai
23.91%
Draw
64.44%
Win
Panevėžys
0.31
Expected xG
1.82
Most likely outcome
Panevėžys
64.44%
Probability
64.7%
1X2 accuracy · 17 predictions (3 months)

Market probabilities

Most likely result 0–1 (21.7%)
1X2 Result ✓ 64.7% hit rate (17 picks)
1 12%
X 24%
2 64%
Double Chance ✓ 88.2% hit rate (17 picks)
1X 36%
X2 88%
12 76%
Over / Under
Over 1.5 73%
Over 2.5 38%
✓ 57.1% hit rate (28 picks)
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The ForzaPitch prediction gives Panevėžys a 64% win probability, against 23% for a draw and 11% for FK Trakai. Expected goals are 0.3 for FK Trakai and 1.8 for Panevėžys (total 2.1), with a 72% probability of Over 1.5 goals. The most likely scoreline is 0–1 at 21.7% probability. In 1 previous meetings, FK Trakai have won 0 times, with 0 draws and 1 wins for Panevėžys.

Season Stats

FK Trakai
0W 3D 10L
Panevėžys
4W 3D 6L
Averages per game
0.2
Goals
1.0
2.6
Conceded
1.6
Percentages
77%
O 1.5
69%
62%
O 2.5
54%
23%
BTTS
62%
15%
Clean Sht
15%
ℹ Based on the last 13 matches in A Lyga. Bars use fixed scales (goals max 3.5, percentages 0–100%).

Venue Form

Goals signal (venue avg)
45%
O 3.5
45%
BTTS
FK Trakai
0W 2D 4L · at home
Panevėžys
2W 0D 5L · away
0.3
gls/g
1.0
2.3
Conceded
2.3
0%
Win %
29%
33%
Win or Draw
29%
83%
O 1.5
71%
50%
O 2.5
71%
33%
O 3.5
57%
33%
BTTS
57%
17%
Clean Sht
14%
67%
Failed to Score
29%
last 7
ℹ Home team's record in home matches only · Away team's record in away matches only.

Score Matrix

↕ FK Trakai Panevėžys →
0 1 2 3 4 5
0 12.0% 21.7% 19.7% 11.9% 5.4% 2.0%
1 3.7% 6.7% 6.1% 3.7% 1.7% 0.6%
2 0.6% 1.0% 0.9% 0.6% 0.3% 0.1%
3 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% — —
4 — — — — — —
5 — — — — — —

Recent form

FK Trakai FK Trakai
L FK Zalgiris Vilnius 3–2
L Suduva Marijampole 0–3
L Šiauliai 2–0
L Džiugas Telšiai 1–0
L Banga 0–4
Home clean sheet (120 days) 20%
Panevėžys Panevėžys
D Džiugas Telšiai 1–1
L Kauno Žalgiris 3–0
D Hegelmann Litauen 1–1
L Suduva Marijampole 1–2
W Šiauliai 3–2
Away clean sheet (120 days) 20%

Playing profile

FK Trakai FK Trakai
Attack
8
Defence
34
Form
15
Panevėžys Panevėžys
Attack
22
Defence
46
Form
26
Indices on a 0–100 scale calculated by the model

Head-to-Head

0
FK Trakai
0
Draw
1
Panevėžys
15 Mar 2026 A Lyga 1–2

League Table

# Team G Pts
1 Kauno Žalgiris Kauno Žalgiris 21 37
2 Džiugas Telšiai Džiugas Telšiai 23 37
3 Suduva Marijampole Suduva Marijampole 21 36
4 TransINVEST Vilnius TransINVEST Vilnius 22 35
5 FK Zalgiris Vilnius FK Zalgiris Vilnius 21 34
6 Banga Banga 22 33
7 Hegelmann Litauen Hegelmann Litauen 24 22
8 Panevėžys Panevėžys 21 20
9 Šiauliai Šiauliai 23 13
10 FK Trakai FK Trakai 0 0
Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win FK Trakai vs Panevėžys?
The model gives FK Trakai a 11% win probability, 23% for a draw, and 64% for an Panevėžys win.
How many goals are expected in FK Trakai vs Panevėžys?
Expected goals: FK Trakai 0.3, Panevėžys 1.8 (total 2.1). Probability of over 1.5 goals: 72%.
What is the most likely score in FK Trakai vs Panevėžys?
0–1 is the most probable final score, with an estimated probability of 21.7%.