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FK Trakai - Suduva Marijampole

A Lyga October 25, 2026 17:30
#10 · 0 pts
vs
#2 · 53 pts
⚡ Pre-match analysis
9.64%
Win
FK Trakai
22.58%
Draw
67.78%
Win
Suduva Marijampole
0.37
Expected xG
1.69
Most likely outcome
Suduva Marijampole
67.78%
Probability
59.3%
1X2 accuracy · 27 predictions (3 months)

Market probabilities

Most likely result 0–1 (21.28%)
1X2 Result
1 10%
X 23%
2 68%
Double Chance
1X 32%
X2 90%
12 77%
Over / Under
Over 1.5 79%
Over 2.5 54%
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The ForzaPitch prediction gives Suduva Marijampole a 67% win probability, against 22% for a draw and 9% for FK Trakai. Expected goals are 0.4 for FK Trakai and 1.7 for Suduva Marijampole (total 2.1), with a 79% probability of Over 1.5 goals. The most likely scoreline is 0–1 at 21.28% probability. In 2 previous meetings, FK Trakai have won 0 times, with 0 draws and 2 wins for Suduva Marijampole.

Season Stats

FK Trakai
0W 3D 12L
Suduva Marijampole
9W 3D 3L
Averages per game
0.3
Goals
1.6
2.7
Conceded
1.1
Percentages
80%
O 1.5
80%
60%
O 2.5
60%
20%
BTTS
53%
13%
Clean Sht
33%
ℹ Based on the last 15 matches in A Lyga. Bars use fixed scales (goals max 3.5, percentages 0–100%).

Venue Form

Goals signal (venue avg)
25%
O 3.5
45%
BTTS
FK Trakai
0W 2D 5L · at home
Suduva Marijampole
7W 1D 2L · away
0.3
gls/g
1.8
2.4
Conceded
1.4
0%
Win %
70%
29%
Win or Draw
80%
86%
O 1.5
100%
57%
O 2.5
80%
29%
O 3.5
20%
29%
BTTS
60%
14%
Clean Sht
30%
71%
Failed to Score
10%
last 10
ℹ Home team's record in home matches only · Away team's record in away matches only.

Score Matrix

↕ FK Trakai Suduva Marijampole →
0 1 2 3 4 5
0 12.7% 21.6% 18.2% 10.3% 4.3% 1.5%
1 4.7% 8.0% 6.7% 3.8% 1.6% 0.5%
2 0.9% 1.5% 1.2% 0.7% 0.3% 0.1%
3 0.1% 0.2% 0.2% 0.1% — —
4 — — — — — —
5 — — — — — —

Recent form

L FK Zalgiris Vilnius 3–2
L Suduva Marijampole 0–3
L Šiauliai 2–0
L Džiugas Telšiai 1–0
L Banga 0–4
W Banga 2–1
L Kauno Žalgiris 0–1
L FK Zalgiris Vilnius 4–0
D Hegelmann Litauen 1–1
D FK Zalgiris Vilnius 0–0
Away clean sheet (120 days) 24%

Playing profile

FK Trakai FK Trakai
Attack
8
Defence
34
Form
15
Suduva Marijampole Suduva Marijampole
Attack
24
Defence
59
Form
48
Indices on a 0–100 scale calculated by the model

Head-to-Head

0
FK Trakai
0
Draw
2
Suduva Marijampole
29 May 2026 A Lyga 0–3
3 Apr 2026 A Lyga 0–5

League Table

# Team G Pts
1 Kauno Žalgiris Kauno Žalgiris 31 58
2 Suduva Marijampole Suduva Marijampole 31 53
3 FK Zalgiris Vilnius FK Zalgiris Vilnius 31 51
4 TransINVEST Vilnius TransINVEST Vilnius 31 49
5 Banga Banga 31 42
6 Džiugas Telšiai Džiugas Telšiai 31 42
7 Panevėžys Panevėžys 31 38
8 Hegelmann Litauen Hegelmann Litauen 32 26
9 Šiauliai Šiauliai 31 21
10 FK Trakai FK Trakai 0 0
Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win FK Trakai vs Suduva Marijampole?
The model gives FK Trakai a 9% win probability, 22% for a draw, and 67% for an Suduva Marijampole win.
How many goals are expected in FK Trakai vs Suduva Marijampole?
Expected goals: FK Trakai 0.4, Suduva Marijampole 1.7 (total 2.1). Probability of over 1.5 goals: 79%.
What is the most likely score in FK Trakai vs Suduva Marijampole?
0–1 is the most probable final score, with an estimated probability of 21.28%.