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FK Zalgiris Vilnius - HNK Hajduk Split

Conference League August 06, 2026 19:00
FK Zalgiris Vilnius
vs
HNK Hajduk Split
⚡ Pre-match analysis
48.64%
Win
FK Zalgiris Vilnius
23.74%
Draw
27.62%
Win
HNK Hajduk Split
2.07
Expected xG
1.31

Market probabilities

Most likely result 2–1 (9.63%)
1X2 Result ✓ 76.9% hit rate (13 picks)
1 49%
X 24%
2 28%
Double Chance
1X 72%
X2 51%
12 76%
Over / Under
Over 1.5 86%
Over 2.5 70%
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The ForzaPitch prediction gives FK Zalgiris Vilnius a 48% win probability, against 23% for a draw and 27% for HNK Hajduk Split. Expected goals are 2.1 for FK Zalgiris Vilnius and 1.3 for HNK Hajduk Split (total 3.4), with a 85% probability of Over 1.5 goals. The most likely scoreline is 2–1 at 9.63% probability.

Season Stats

FK Zalgiris Vilnius
3W 1D 2L
HNK Hajduk Split
2W 1D 1L
Averages per game
2.0
Goals
1.5
1.5
Conceded
1.5
Percentages
83%
O 1.5
100%
67%
O 2.5
75%
50%
BTTS
100%
17%
Clean Sht
0%
ℹ Based on the last 6 matches in Conference League. Bars use fixed scales (goals max 3.5, percentages 0–100%).

Venue Form

Goals signal (venue avg)
42%
O 3.5
84%
BTTS
FK Zalgiris Vilnius
2W 1D 0L · at home
HNK Hajduk Split
0W 1D 1L · away
3.0
gls/g
1.0
1.0
Conceded
2.0
67%
Win %
0%
100%
Win or Draw
50%
67%
O 1.5
100%
67%
O 2.5
50%
33%
O 3.5
50%
67%
BTTS
100%
33%
Clean Sht
0%
33%
Failed to Score
0%
last 3
ℹ Home team's record in home matches only · Away team's record in away matches only.

Score Matrix

↕ FK Zalgiris Vilnius HNK Hajduk Split →
0 1 2 3 4 5
0 3.4% 4.5% 2.9% 1.3% 0.4% 0.1%
1 7.1% 9.2% 6.0% 2.6% 0.9% 0.2%
2 7.3% 9.6% 6.3% 2.7% 0.9% 0.2%
3 5.0% 6.6% 4.3% 1.9% 0.6% 0.2%
4 2.6% 3.4% 2.2% 1.0% 0.3% 0.1%
5 1.1% 1.4% 0.9% 0.4% 0.1% —

Recent form

FK Zalgiris Vilnius FK Zalgiris Vilnius
W Dinamo Tbilisi 7–2
L Dinamo Tbilisi 3–0
W Petrovac 2–1
W Petrovac 1–3
L Linfield 2–0
Home clean sheet (120 days) 19%
HNK Hajduk Split HNK Hajduk Split
L Dinamo Tirana 3–1
W Dinamo Tirana 2–1
W Zira 2–1
D Zira 1–1
Away clean sheet (120 days) 37%

Playing profile

FK Zalgiris Vilnius FK Zalgiris Vilnius
Attack
57
Defence
67
Form
68
HNK Hajduk Split HNK Hajduk Split
Attack
43
Defence
76
Form
70
Indices on a 0–100 scale calculated by the model
Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win FK Zalgiris Vilnius vs HNK Hajduk Split?
The model gives FK Zalgiris Vilnius a 48% win probability, 23% for a draw, and 27% for an HNK Hajduk Split win.
How many goals are expected in FK Zalgiris Vilnius vs HNK Hajduk Split?
Expected goals: FK Zalgiris Vilnius 2.1, HNK Hajduk Split 1.3 (total 3.4). Probability of over 1.5 goals: 85%.
What is the most likely score in FK Zalgiris Vilnius vs HNK Hajduk Split?
2–1 is the most probable final score, with an estimated probability of 9.63%.