Brasileirão Série A
· Regular Season - 25
August 30, 2026 21:00
✓Model correct — prediction Flamengo
Samuel Lino
(ast. Jorginho)
13'
Samuel Lino
(ast. J. Carrascal)
86'
J. Carrascal
(ast. Everton)
90'
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Flamengo a 63% win probability (draw 19%, Botafogo 16%). The final result was Flamengo 3–0 Botafogo. In 1 previous meetings, Flamengo have won 1 times, with 0 draws and 0 wins for Botafogo.
Match statistics
12
Total shots
10
6
Shots on target
5
1.70
Actual xG
0.79
4
Saves
3
64%
Possession
36%
5
Corners
3
21
Tackles
19
0
🟨 Yellow cards
2
Match Events
9'
⚽Samuel Lino
· ast. Jorginho
13'
21'
L. Monzon
/
Alex Telles
46'
Danilo Pereira
/
A. Montoro
Luiz Araujo
/ Lucas Paqueta
57'
66'
C. Medina
/
Edenilson
69'
G. de Arrascaeta
/ J. Carrascal
75'
77'
L. M. Villalba Jaume
/
Arthur Cabral
77'
Junior Santos
/
Vitinho
83'
Marcal
⚽Samuel Lino
· ast. J. Carrascal
86'
Pedro
/ Everton
88'
89'
G. Justino
⚽J. Carrascal
· ast. Everton
90'
Pre-match prediction
63.53%
Flamengo ←
19.97%
X
16.5%
Botafogo
✓ Correct prediction —
we assigned to the actual result (Flamengo)
63.53%
(high confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
2.01
1.70
-0.31
0.90
0.79
-0.11
Flamengo dominated by xG (1.70 vs 0.79).
The final result reflects the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates were accurate.
Lineups
1
Agustín Rossi
G
Agustín Rossi
G
6
Ayrton Lucas
D
Ayrton Lucas
D
4
Léo Pereira
D
Léo Pereira
D
3
Léo Ortiz
D
Léo Ortiz
D
22
Emerson Royal
D
Emerson Royal
D
21
Jorginho
1 👟
M
Jorginho
1 👟
M
5
Erick Pulgar
M
Erick Pulgar
M
16
Samuel Lino
2 ⚽
M
Samuel Lino
2 ⚽
M
10
Giorgian de Arrascaeta
75'
M
Giorgian de Arrascaeta
75'
M
7
Luiz Araújo
57'
M
Luiz Araújo
57'
M
9
Pedro Guilherme
88'
F
Pedro Guilherme
88'
F
Bench
42
Andrew
G
Andrew
G
13
Danilo
D
Danilo
D
49
Dyogo Alves
G
Dyogo Alves
G
11
Everton
1 👟
5'
F
Everton
1 👟
5'
F
52
Evertton Araujo
M
Evertton Araujo
M
2
Guillermo Varela
D
Guillermo Varela
D
15
J. Carrascal
1 ⚽
1 👟
18'
M
J. Carrascal
1 ⚽
1 👟
18'
M
61
João Victor
D
João Victor
D
77
Johnny Goes
D
Johnny Goes
D
39
Josmar
F
Josmar
F
99
Lorran
M
Lorran
M
20
Lucas Paquetá
36'
M
Lucas Paquetá
36'
M
12
Gabriel Batista
G
Gabriel Batista
G
21
Marçal
D
Marçal
D
34
G. Justino
D
G. Justino
D
5
N. Ferraresi
D
N. Ferraresi
D
13
Alex Telles
21'
M
Alex Telles
21'
M
8
Danilo Santos
M
Danilo Santos
M
75
Huguinho
M
Huguinho
M
2
Vitinho
77'
M
Vitinho
77'
M
10
Álvaro Montoro
45'
F
Álvaro Montoro
45'
F
88
Edenílson
66'
F
Edenílson
66'
F
19
Arthur Cabral
77'
F
Arthur Cabral
77'
F
Bench
25
Allan
M
Allan
M
62
Cléber Lucas
G
Cléber Lucas
G
6
C. Medina
27'
M
C. Medina
27'
M
90
Danilo
48'
F
Danilo
48'
F
91
Domingos Andrade
M
Domingos Andrade
M
7
Júnior Santos
16'
F
Júnior Santos
16'
F
42
Kadu Santos
D
Kadu Santos
D
59
Kauan Toledo
M
Kauan Toledo
M
37
K. Barria
F
K. Barria
F
33
L. Monzón
72'
D
L. Monzón
72'
D
77
L. Villalba
16'
F
L. Villalba
16'
F
17
Warleson
G
Warleson
G
Best on the pitch
Samuel Lino
M · Flamengo
9.60
2 ⚽
2 shots
· 41 pass
J. Carrascal
M · Flamengo
8.30
1 ⚽ 1 👟
1 shots
· 7 pass
Agustín Rossi
G · Flamengo
8.00
· 27 pass
Erick Pulgar
M · Flamengo
7.90
· 82 pass
Jorginho
M · Flamengo
7.50
1 👟
· 84 pass
Vitinho
M · Botafogo
7.30
1 shots
· 34 pass
Flamengo — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Agustín Rossi | G | 93 | 8.00 | — | — | — | 27 | 24% | — | — | — |
| Ayrton Lucas | D | 93 | 7.20 | — | — | 3 | 57 | 53% | 2 | — | — |
| Léo Pereira | D | 93 | 7.00 | — | — | 1 | 93 | 86% | 1 | — | — |
| Léo Ortiz | D | 93 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 78 | 69% | 1 | — | — |
| Emerson Royal | D | 93 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 49 | 45% | 3 | — | — |
| Jorginho | M | 93 | 7.50 | — | 1 | — | 84 | 78% | — | — | — |
| Erick Pulgar | M | 93 | 7.90 | — | — | — | 82 | 79% | 7 | — | — |
| Samuel Lino | M | 93 | 9.60 | 2 | — | 2 | 41 | 37% | 4 | — | — |
| Giorgian de Arrascaeta | M | 75 | 7.00 | — | — | 4 | 47 | 41% | 1 | — | — |
| Luiz Araújo | M | 57 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 36 | 31% | — | — | — |
| Pedro Guilherme | F | 88 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 21 | 15% | 2 | — | — |
| Everton | F | 5 | — | — | 1 | — | 1 | 1% | — | — | — |
| J. Carrascal | M | 18 | 8.30 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 5% | — | — | — |
| Lucas Paquetá | M | 36 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 23 | 19% | — | — | — |
Botafogo — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gabriel Batista | G | 93 | 6.00 | — | — | — | 23 | 16% | — | — | — |
| Marçal | D | 93 | 5.90 | — | — | — | 38 | 32% | 1 | 1 | — |
| G. Justino | D | 93 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 34 | 29% | 3 | 1 | — |
| N. Ferraresi | D | 93 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 47 | 40% | 5 | — | — |
| Alex Telles | M | 21 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 1 | 1% | 1 | — | — |
| Danilo Santos | M | 93 | 7.20 | — | — | 2 | 29 | 23% | 2 | — | — |
| Huguinho | M | 93 | 7.30 | — | — | 1 | 41 | 38% | 2 | — | — |
| Vitinho | M | 77 | 7.30 | — | — | 1 | 34 | 24% | 2 | — | — |
| Álvaro Montoro | F | 45 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 7 | 5% | — | — | — |
| Edenílson | F | 66 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 20 | 20% | 1 | — | — |
| Arthur Cabral | F | 77 | 7.20 | — | — | 4 | 24 | 15% | — | — | — |
| C. Medina | M | 27 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 8 | 8% | — | — | — |
| Danilo | F | 48 | 6.60 | — | — | 2 | 14 | 13% | — | — | — |
| Júnior Santos | F | 16 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 10 | 8% | — | — | — |
| L. Monzón | D | 72 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 28 | 25% | 2 | — | — |
| L. Villalba | F | 16 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 2 | 2% | — | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Flamengo vs Botafogo?
The final score was Flamengo 3–0 Botafogo.
What did the model predict before Flamengo vs Botafogo?
The model assigned 63% probability to a Flamengo win, 19% to a draw, and 16% to an Botafogo win.