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Flamengo - Corinthians

Brasileirão Série A September 13, 2026 22:30
Flamengo
#1 · 54 pts
vs
Corinthians
#12 · 32 pts
⚡ Pre-match analysis
60.44%
Win
Flamengo
23.76%
Draw
15.8%
Win
Corinthians
1.58
Expected xG
0.68
Most likely outcome
Flamengo
60.44%
Probability
62.5%
1X2 accuracy · 32 predictions (3 months)

Market probabilities

Most likely result 1–0 (17.05%)
1X2 Result
1 60%
X 24%
2 16%
Double Chance
1X 84%
X2 40%
12 76%
Over / Under
Over 1.5 74%
Over 2.5 48%
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The ForzaPitch prediction gives Flamengo a 60% win probability, against 23% for a draw and 15% for Corinthians. Expected goals are 1.6 for Flamengo and 0.7 for Corinthians (total 2.3), with a 73% probability of Over 1.5 goals. The most likely scoreline is 1–0 at 17.05% probability. In 1 previous meetings, Flamengo have won 0 times, with 1 draws and 0 wins for Corinthians.

Season Stats

Flamengo
9W 4D 2L
Corinthians
6W 3D 6L
Averages per game
2.1
Goals
1.3
0.7
Conceded
1.1
5.0
Shots OT
4.1
5.4
Corners
4.9
59%
Poss.
55%
Percentages
87%
O 1.5
67%
53%
O 2.5
53%
40%
BTTS
53%
53%
Clean Sht
40%
ℹ Based on the last 15 matches in Brasileirão Série A. Bars use fixed scales (goals max 3.5, percentages 0–100%).

Venue Form

Goals signal (venue avg)
25%
O 3.5
50%
BTTS
Flamengo
7W 2D 1L · at home
Corinthians
2W 4D 4L · away
2.1
gls/g
1.1
0.7
Conceded
1.3
70%
Win %
20%
90%
Win or Draw
60%
100%
O 1.5
80%
60%
O 2.5
50%
20%
O 3.5
30%
30%
BTTS
70%
60%
Clean Sht
30%
10%
Failed to Score
20%
last 10
ℹ Home team's record in home matches only · Away team's record in away matches only.

Score Matrix

↕ Flamengo Corinthians →
0 1 2 3 4 5
0 10.4% 7.1% 2.4% 0.5% 0.1% —
1 16.5% 11.2% 3.8% 0.9% 0.1% —
2 13.0% 8.9% 3.0% 0.7% 0.1% —
3 6.9% 4.7% 1.6% 0.4% 0.1% —
4 2.7% 1.8% 0.6% 0.1% — —
5 0.9% 0.6% 0.2% — — —

Recent form

Flamengo Flamengo
W Remo 0–1
W Mirassol 2–0
W Botafogo 3–0
L Cruzeiro 2–1
W Mirassol 1–5
Home clean sheet (120 days) 48%
Corinthians Corinthians
L Chapecoense-sc 1–2
L Santos 0–1
L Coritiba 2–1
L Cruzeiro 1–2
W RB Bragantino 0–2
Away clean sheet (120 days) 23%

Playing profile

Flamengo Flamengo
Attack
45
Defence
78
Form
70
Corinthians Corinthians
Attack
34
Defence
73
Form
45
Indices on a 0–100 scale calculated by the model

Head-to-Head

0
Flamengo
1
Draw
0
Corinthians
23 Mar 2026 Brasileirão Série A 1–1

League Table

# Team G Pts
1 Flamengo Flamengo 26 54
2 Palmeiras Palmeiras 26 53
3 Atletico Paranaense Atletico Paranaense 27 46
4 Fluminense Fluminense 26 45
5 Bahia Bahia 26 43
6 Cruzeiro Cruzeiro 26 42
7 Coritiba Coritiba 27 38
8 Atletico-MG Atletico-MG 25 36
9 RB Bragantino RB Bragantino 25 35
10 Sao Paulo Sao Paulo 25 33
11 Vitoria Vitoria 26 32
12 Corinthians Corinthians 26 32
13 Santos Santos 25 32
14 Botafogo Botafogo 25 31
15 Gremio Gremio 25 28
16 Mirassol Mirassol 26 28
17 Vasco DA Gama Vasco DA Gama 25 25
18 Internacional Internacional 26 25
19 Remo Remo 26 23
20 Chapecoense-sc Chapecoense-sc 25 17
Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win Flamengo vs Corinthians?
The model gives Flamengo a 60% win probability, 23% for a draw, and 15% for an Corinthians win.
How many goals are expected in Flamengo vs Corinthians?
Expected goals: Flamengo 1.6, Corinthians 0.7 (total 2.3). Probability of over 1.5 goals: 73%.
What is the most likely score in Flamengo vs Corinthians?
1–0 is the most probable final score, with an estimated probability of 17.05%.