Brasileirão Série A
· Regular Season - 18
May 30, 2026 21:00
✓Model correct — prediction Flamengo
Samuel Lino
(ast. Pedro)
11'
Pedro
(ast. Samuel Lino)
60'
Samuel Lino
(ast. Ayrton Lucas)
70'
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Flamengo a 62% win probability (draw 18%, Coritiba 18%). The final result was Flamengo 3–0 Coritiba.
Match statistics
18
Total shots
9
9
Shots on target
2
1.62
Actual xG
0.83
2
Saves
6
62%
Possession
38%
6
Corners
4
12
Tackles
10
3
🟨 Yellow cards
0
0
🟥 Red cards
1
Match Events
⚽Samuel Lino
· ast. Pedro
11'
Leo Ortiz
/ Joao Souza
19'
36'
Pedro Rocha
E. Pulgar
41'
46'
Lucas Taverna
/
Joao Pedro Chermont
Evertton Araujo
54'
⚽Pedro
· ast. Samuel Lino
60'
63'
Gustavo
/
Josue
63'
Vini Paulista
/
Thiago Santos
63'
Felipe Jonatan
/
J. Lavega
⚽Samuel Lino
· ast. Ayrton Lucas
70'
Samuel Lino
/ Everton
75'
E. Pulgar
/ S. Niguez
76'
Luiz Araujo
84'
Luiz Araujo
/ Wallace Yan
85'
Pedro
/ Joshua
85'
88'
Wallisson
/
S. Gomez
Pre-match prediction
62.94%
Flamengo ←
18.7%
X
18.36%
Coritiba
✓ Correct prediction —
we assigned to the actual result (Flamengo)
62.94%
(high confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
2.28
1.62
-0.66
1.15
0.83
-0.32
Flamengo dominated by xG (1.62 vs 0.83).
The final result reflects the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
1
Agustín Rossi
G
Agustín Rossi
G
6
Ayrton Lucas
1 👟
D
Ayrton Lucas
1 👟
D
44
Vitão
D
Vitão
D
3
Léo Ortiz
19'
D
Léo Ortiz
19'
D
22
Emerson Royal
D
Emerson Royal
D
5
Erick Pulgar
76'
M
Erick Pulgar
76'
M
52
Evertton Araujo
M
Evertton Araujo
M
27
Bruno Henrique
M
Bruno Henrique
M
16
Samuel Lino
2 ⚽
1 👟
75'
M
Samuel Lino
2 ⚽
1 👟
75'
M
7
Luiz Araújo
85'
M
Luiz Araújo
85'
M
9
Pedro
1 ⚽
1 👟
85'
F
Pedro
1 ⚽
1 👟
85'
F
Bench
42
Andrew
G
Andrew
G
79
Caio Joshua
7'
M
Caio Joshua
7'
M
51
Daniel Sales
D
Daniel Sales
D
49
Dyogo Alves
G
Dyogo Alves
G
11
Everton
17'
F
Everton
17'
F
61
João Victor
73'
D
João Victor
73'
D
77
Johnny Goes
D
Johnny Goes
D
75
Luiz Felipe
M
Luiz Felipe
M
8
Saúl Ñíguez
16'
M
Saúl Ñíguez
16'
M
64
Wallace Yan
7'
F
Wallace Yan
7'
F
22
Pedro Rangel
G
Pedro Rangel
G
26
Bruno Melo
D
Bruno Melo
D
55
Jacy Maranhão
D
Jacy Maranhão
D
23
Tiago Cóser
D
Tiago Cóser
D
44
João Pedro Chermont
45'
D
João Pedro Chermont
45'
D
19
Sebastian Gomez
88'
M
Sebastian Gomez
88'
M
21
Thiago Santos
63'
M
Thiago Santos
63'
M
77
Breno Lopes
M
Breno Lopes
M
10
Josué
63'
M
Josué
63'
M
7
Joaquín Lavega
63'
M
Joaquín Lavega
63'
M
32
Pedro Rocha
36'
F
Pedro Rocha
36'
F
Bench
28
Fabinho
F
Fabinho
F
6
Felipe Jonatan
29'
D
Felipe Jonatan
29'
D
88
Fernando Sobral
M
Fernando Sobral
M
39
Gustavo
29'
M
Gustavo
29'
M
13
Keiller
G
Keiller
G
11
Lucas Ronier
F
Lucas Ronier
F
86
Lucas Taverna
47'
D
Lucas Taverna
47'
D
78
Renato Marques
F
Renato Marques
F
4
Rodrigo Moledo
D
Rodrigo Moledo
D
36
Vini Paulista
29'
F
Vini Paulista
29'
F
8
Wallisson Luiz
4'
M
Wallisson Luiz
4'
M
29
Willian Oliveira
M
Willian Oliveira
M
Best on the pitch
Samuel Lino
M · Flamengo
10.00
2 ⚽ 1 👟
4 shots
· 37 pass
Pedro
F · Flamengo
8.20
1 ⚽ 1 👟
5 shots
· 21 pass
Ayrton Lucas
D · Flamengo
7.60
1 👟
1 shots
· 76 pass
Vitão
D · Flamengo
7.20
· 76 pass
Emerson Royal
D · Flamengo
7.20
1 shots
· 59 pass
Erick Pulgar
M · Flamengo
7.20
1 shots
· 60 pass
Flamengo — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Agustín Rossi | G | 92 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 16 | 15% | — | — | — |
| Ayrton Lucas | D | 92 | 7.60 | — | 1 | 1 | 76 | 68% | 1 | — | — |
| Vitão | D | 92 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 76 | 72% | — | — | — |
| Léo Ortiz | D | 19 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 11 | 10% | 1 | — | — |
| Emerson Royal | D | 92 | 7.20 | — | — | 1 | 59 | 54% | — | — | — |
| Erick Pulgar | M | 76 | 7.20 | — | — | 1 | 60 | 56% | — | 1 | — |
| Evertton Araujo | M | 92 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 90 | 85% | — | 1 | — |
| Bruno Henrique | M | 92 | 6.50 | — | — | 2 | 37 | 31% | 2 | — | — |
| Samuel Lino | M | 75 | 10.00 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 37 | 32% | 1 | — | — |
| Luiz Araújo | M | 85 | 7.20 | — | — | 3 | 55 | 50% | 4 | 1 | — |
| Pedro | F | 85 | 8.20 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 21 | 18% | 3 | — | — |
| Caio Joshua | M | 7 | — | — | — | — | 5 | 4% | — | — | — |
| Everton | F | 17 | 6.50 | — | — | 1 | 11 | 10% | — | — | — |
| João Victor | D | 73 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 63 | 61% | — | — | — |
| Saúl Ñíguez | M | 16 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 18 | 17% | — | — | — |
| Wallace Yan | F | 7 | — | — | — | — | 3 | 2% | — | — | — |
Coritiba — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pedro Rangel | G | 92 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 38 | 24% | — | — | — |
| Bruno Melo | D | 92 | 5.90 | — | — | — | 50 | 44% | — | — | — |
| Jacy Maranhão | D | 92 | 6.20 | — | — | 2 | 39 | 36% | 1 | — | — |
| Tiago Cóser | D | 92 | 6.00 | — | — | — | 27 | 22% | 2 | — | — |
| João Pedro Chermont | D | 45 | 6.00 | — | — | 1 | 16 | 10% | 1 | — | — |
| Sebastian Gomez | M | 88 | 6.90 | — | — | 2 | 37 | 34% | 2 | — | — |
| Thiago Santos | M | 63 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 32 | 30% | 1 | — | — |
| Breno Lopes | M | 92 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 34 | 32% | — | — | — |
| Josué | M | 63 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 39 | 33% | — | — | — |
| Joaquín Lavega | M | 63 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 24 | 19% | 2 | — | — |
| Pedro Rocha | F | 36 | 5.50 | — | — | — | 3 | 3% | — | — | 1 |
| Felipe Jonatan | D | 29 | 6.00 | — | — | 1 | 17 | 16% | — | — | — |
| Gustavo | M | 29 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 8 | 7% | — | — | — |
| Lucas Taverna | D | 47 | 6.00 | — | — | — | 16 | 15% | — | — | — |
| Vini Paulista | F | 29 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 10 | 8% | 1 | — | — |
| Wallisson Luiz | M | 4 | — | — | — | — | 2 | 2% | — | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Flamengo vs Coritiba?
The final score was Flamengo 3–0 Coritiba.
What did the model predict before Flamengo vs Coritiba?
The model assigned 62% probability to a Flamengo win, 18% to a draw, and 18% to an Coritiba win.