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← Brasileirão Série A
#1 · 60 pts
3 – 0
Final score
#9 · 38 pts
✓Model correct — prediction Flamengo
Samuel Lino (ast. Pedro) 11'
Pedro (ast. Samuel Lino) 60'
Samuel Lino (ast. Ayrton Lucas) 70'
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The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Flamengo a 62% win probability (draw 18%, Coritiba 18%). The final result was Flamengo 3–0 Coritiba.

Match statistics
18
Total shots
9
9
Shots on target
2
1.62
Actual xG
0.83
2
Saves
6
62%
Possession
38%
6
Corners
4
12
Tackles
10
3
🟨 Yellow cards
0
0
🟥 Red cards
1
Match Events
⚽Samuel Lino · ast. Pedro
11'
↕ Leo Ortiz / Joao Souza
19'
36'
Pedro Rocha
E. Pulgar
41'
46'
Lucas Taverna / Joao Pedro Chermont ↕
Evertton Araujo
54'
⚽Pedro · ast. Samuel Lino
60'
63'
Gustavo / Josue ↕
63'
Vini Paulista / Thiago Santos ↕
63'
Felipe Jonatan / J. Lavega ↕
⚽Samuel Lino · ast. Ayrton Lucas
70'
↕ Samuel Lino / Everton
75'
↕ E. Pulgar / S. Niguez
76'
Luiz Araujo
84'
↕ Luiz Araujo / Wallace Yan
85'
↕ Pedro / Joshua
85'
88'
Wallisson / S. Gomez ↕
Pre-match prediction
62.94%
Flamengo ←
18.7%
X
18.36%
Coritiba
✓ Correct prediction — we assigned to the actual result (Flamengo) 62.94% (high confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
Flamengo
2.28
1.62
-0.66
Coritiba
1.15
0.83
-0.32
Flamengo dominated by xG (1.62 vs 0.83). The final result reflects the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
League Table
#Team GPts
1 Flamengo Flamengo 28 60
2 Palmeiras Palmeiras 28 57
3 Atletico Paranaense Atletico Paranaense 28 49
4 Fluminense Fluminense 28 48
5 Bahia Bahia 28 46
6 Cruzeiro Cruzeiro 28 45
7 Atletico-MG Atletico-MG 27 40
8 Santos Santos 27 38
9 Coritiba Coritiba 28 38
10 RB Bragantino RB Bragantino 27 36
11 Sao Paulo Sao Paulo 27 36
12 Botafogo Botafogo 28 35
13 Vitoria Vitoria 28 33
14 Corinthians Corinthians 28 32
15 Mirassol Mirassol 28 32
16 Vasco DA Gama Vasco DA Gama 27 31
17 Gremio Gremio 28 29
18 Internacional Internacional 28 28
19 Remo Remo 28 23
20 Chapecoense-sc Chapecoense-sc 27 18
Lineups
Flamengo Flamengo 4-2-3-1
1 A. Rossi A. Rossi G 6.90
6 Ayrton Lucas Ayrton Lucas 1 👟 D 7.60
44 Vitão Vitão D 7.20
3 Léo Ortiz Léo Ortiz 19' D 6.60
22 Emerson Royal Emerson Royal D 7.20
5 E. Pulgar E. Pulgar 76' M 7.20
52 Evertton Araújo Evertton Araújo M 7.00
27 Bruno Henrique Bruno Henrique M 6.50
16 Samuel Lino Samuel Lino 2 ⚽ 1 👟 75' M 10.00
7 Luiz Araújo Luiz Araújo 85' M 7.20
9 Pedro Pedro 1 ⚽ 1 👟 85' F 8.20
Bench
42 Andrew Andrew G
79 Caio Joshua Caio Joshua 7' M
51 Daniel Sales Daniel Sales D
49 Dyogo Dyogo G
11 Everton Everton 17' F 6.50
61 João Victor João Victor 73' D 6.90
77 Johnny Góes Johnny Góes D
75 Luiz Felipe Luiz Felipe M
8 Saúl Saúl 16' M 6.60
64 Wallace Wallace 7' F
Coritiba Coritiba 4-2-3-1
22 Pedro Rangel Pedro Rangel G 6.50
26 Bruno Melo Bruno Melo D 5.90
55 Jacy Jacy D 6.20
23 Tiago Cóser Tiago Cóser D 6.00
44 João Pedro Chermont João Pedro Chermont 45' D 6.00
19 S. Gómez S. Gómez 88' M 6.90
21 Thiago Santos Thiago Santos 63' M 6.90
77 Breno Lopes Breno Lopes M 6.90
10 Josué Josué 63' M 6.30
7 J. Lavega J. Lavega 63' M 6.60
32 Pedro Rocha Pedro Rocha 36' F 5.50
Bench
28 Fabinho Fabinho F
6 Felipe Jonatan Felipe Jonatan 29' D 6.00
88 Fernando Sobral Fernando Sobral M
39 Gustavo Gustavo 29' M 6.30
13 Keiller Keiller G
11 Lucas Ronier Lucas Ronier F
86 Lucas Taverna Lucas Taverna 47' D 6.00
78 Renato Marques Renato Marques F
4 Rodrigo Moledo Rodrigo Moledo D
36 Vini Paulista Vini Paulista 29' F 6.60
8 Wallisson Wallisson 4' M
29 Willian Oliveira Willian Oliveira M
Best on the pitch
Samuel Lino
Samuel Lino
M · Flamengo
10.00
2 ⚽ 1 👟
4 shots · 37 pass
Pedro
Pedro
F · Flamengo
8.20
1 ⚽ 1 👟
5 shots · 21 pass
Ayrton Lucas
Ayrton Lucas
D · Flamengo
7.60
1 👟
1 shots · 76 pass
Vitão
Vitão
D · Flamengo
7.20
· 76 pass
Emerson Royal
Emerson Royal
D · Flamengo
7.20
1 shots · 59 pass
E. Pulgar
E. Pulgar
M · Flamengo
7.20
1 shots · 60 pass
Flamengo Flamengo — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
A. Rossi G 92 6.90 — — — 16 15% — — —
Ayrton Lucas D 92 7.60 — 1 1 76 68% 1 — —
Vitão D 92 7.20 — — — 76 72% — — —
Léo Ortiz D 19 6.60 — — — 11 10% 1 — —
Emerson Royal D 92 7.20 — — 1 59 54% — — —
E. Pulgar M 76 7.20 — — 1 60 56% — 1 —
Evertton Araújo M 92 7.00 — — — 90 85% — 1 —
Bruno Henrique M 92 6.50 — — 2 37 31% 2 — —
Samuel Lino M 75 10.00 2 1 4 37 32% 1 — —
Luiz Araújo M 85 7.20 — — 3 55 50% 4 1 —
Pedro F 85 8.20 1 1 5 21 18% 3 — —
Caio Joshua M 7 — — — — 5 4% — — —
Everton F 17 6.50 — — 1 11 10% — — —
João Victor D 73 6.90 — — — 63 61% — — —
Saúl M 16 6.60 — — — 18 17% — — —
Wallace F 7 — — — — 3 2% — — —
Coritiba Coritiba — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
Pedro Rangel G 92 6.50 — — — 38 24% — — —
Bruno Melo D 92 5.90 — — — 50 44% — — —
Jacy D 92 6.20 — — 2 39 36% 1 — —
Tiago Cóser D 92 6.00 — — — 27 22% 2 — —
João Pedro Chermont D 45 6.00 — — 1 16 10% 1 — —
S. Gómez M 88 6.90 — — 2 37 34% 2 — —
Thiago Santos M 63 6.90 — — 1 32 30% 1 — —
Breno Lopes M 92 6.90 — — 1 34 32% — — —
Josué M 63 6.30 — — — 39 33% — — —
J. Lavega M 63 6.60 — — — 24 19% 2 — —
Pedro Rocha F 36 5.50 — — — 3 3% — — 1
Felipe Jonatan D 29 6.00 — — 1 17 16% — — —
Gustavo M 29 6.30 — — 1 8 7% — — —
Lucas Taverna D 47 6.00 — — — 16 15% — — —
Vini Paulista F 29 6.60 — — — 10 8% 1 — —
Wallisson M 4 — — — — 2 2% — — —
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Flamengo vs Coritiba?
The final score was Flamengo 3–0 Coritiba.
What did the model predict before Flamengo vs Coritiba?
The model assigned 62% probability to a Flamengo win, 18% to a draw, and 18% to an Coritiba win.