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← Copa Libertadores

Flamengo - Cruzeiro

Copa Libertadores August 18, 2026 22:00
Flamengo
#1 · 16 pts
vs
Cruzeiro
#2 · 11 pts
⚡ Pre-match analysis
68.47%
Win
Flamengo
14.36%
Draw
17.17%
Win
Cruzeiro
4.2
Expected xG
1.88
Most likely outcome
Flamengo
68.47%
Probability
70.6%
1X2 accuracy · 17 predictions (3 months)

Market probabilities

Most likely result 3–1 (6.38%)
1X2 Result ✓ 70.6% hit rate (17 picks)
1 68%
X 14%
2 17%
Double Chance
1X 83%
X2 32%
12 86%
Over / Under
Over 1.5 87%
Over 2.5 83%
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The ForzaPitch prediction gives Flamengo a 68% win probability, against 14% for a draw and 17% for Cruzeiro. Expected goals are 4.2 for Flamengo and 1.9 for Cruzeiro (total 6.1), with a 86% probability of Over 1.5 goals. The most likely scoreline is 3–1 at 6.38% probability. In 1 previous meetings, Flamengo have won 1 times, with 0 draws and 0 wins for Cruzeiro.

Season Stats

Flamengo
4W 1D 0L
Cruzeiro
3W 2D 1L
Averages per game
2.2
Goals
1.3
0.4
Conceded
0.5
8.6
Shots OT
3.8
5.0
Corners
3.0
58%
Poss.
54%
Percentages
80%
O 1.5
50%
40%
O 2.5
33%
40%
BTTS
33%
60%
Clean Sht
67%
ℹ Based on the last 6 matches in Copa Libertadores. Bars use fixed scales (goals max 3.5, percentages 0–100%).

Venue Form

Goals signal (venue avg)
17%
O 3.5
33%
BTTS
Flamengo
3W 0D 0L · at home
Cruzeiro
1W 2D 0L · away
2.7
gls/g
0.7
0.3
Conceded
0.3
100%
Win %
33%
100%
Win or Draw
100%
67%
O 1.5
33%
67%
O 2.5
0%
33%
O 3.5
0%
33%
BTTS
33%
67%
Clean Sht
67%
0%
Failed to Score
33%
last 3
ℹ Home team's record in home matches only · Away team's record in away matches only.

Score Matrix

↕ Flamengo Cruzeiro →
0 1 2 3 4 5
0 0.2% 0.4% 0.4% 0.3% 0.1% —
1 1.0% 1.8% 1.7% 1.1% 0.5% 0.2%
2 2.0% 3.8% 3.6% 2.2% 1.0% 0.4%
3 2.8% 5.3% 5.0% 3.1% 1.5% 0.5%
4 3.0% 5.6% 5.2% 3.3% 1.5% 0.6%
5 2.5% 4.7% 4.4% 2.7% 1.3% 0.5%

Recent form

Flamengo Flamengo
W Cusco 3–0
W Estudiantes L.P. 1–0
D Estudiantes L.P. 1–1
W Independiente Medellin 4–1
W Cusco 0–2
Home clean sheet (120 days) 35%
Cruzeiro Cruzeiro
W Barcelona SC 4–0
D Boca Juniors 1–1
D U. Catolica 0–0
W Boca Juniors 1–0
L U. Catolica 1–2
Away clean sheet (120 days) 26%

Playing profile

Flamengo Flamengo
Attack
58
Defence
78
Form
73
Cruzeiro Cruzeiro
Attack
47
Defence
66
Form
57
Indices on a 0–100 scale calculated by the model

Head-to-Head

1
Flamengo
0
Draw
0
Cruzeiro
12 Mar 2026 Brasileirão Série A 2–0
Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win Flamengo vs Cruzeiro?
The model gives Flamengo a 68% win probability, 14% for a draw, and 17% for an Cruzeiro win.
How many goals are expected in Flamengo vs Cruzeiro?
Expected goals: Flamengo 4.2, Cruzeiro 1.9 (total 6.1). Probability of over 1.5 goals: 86%.
What is the most likely score in Flamengo vs Cruzeiro?
3–1 is the most probable final score, with an estimated probability of 6.38%.