Copa Libertadores
· Group Stage - 6
May 27, 2026 02:30
✓Model correct — prediction Flamengo
Bruno Henrique
(ast. Pedro)
80'
Bruno Henrique
84'
Lucas Paqueta
90'+1
(pen.)
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Flamengo a 74% win probability (draw 15%, Cusco 9%). The final result was Flamengo 3–0 Cusco. In 1 previous meetings, Flamengo have won 1 times, with 0 draws and 0 wins for Cusco.
Match statistics
21
Total shots
4
14
Shots on target
1
4.32
Actual xG
0.15
1
Saves
9
69%
Possession
31%
9
Corners
2
16
Tackles
9
0
🟨 Yellow cards
5
Match Events
14'
D. Soto
31'
G. Carabajal
46'
J. Tevez
/
N. Silva
46'
O. Valenzuela
/
D. Soto
57'
I. Colman
/
J. Manzaneda
Evertton Araujo
/ Pedro
60'
Luiz Araujo
/ E. Pulgar
60'
64'
J. Tevez
67'
C. Diez
N. de la Cruz
/ Lucas Paqueta
70'
S. Niguez
/ Samuel Lino
70'
70'
A. Ampuero
/
C. Diez
⚽Bruno Henrique
· ast. Pedro
80'
⚽Bruno Henrique
84'
Bruno Henrique
/ Everton
86'
⚽Lucas Paqueta
(pen.)
90'+1
90'
A. Ampuero
Pre-match prediction
74.64%
Flamengo ←
15.87%
X
9.49%
Cusco
✓ Correct prediction —
we assigned to the actual result (Flamengo)
74.64%
(high confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
2.20
4.32
+2.12
0.59
0.15
-0.44
Flamengo dominated by xG (4.32 vs 0.15).
The final result reflects the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
42
Andrew
G
Andrew
G
6
Ayrton Lucas
D
Ayrton Lucas
D
44
Vitão
D
Vitão
D
13
Danilo
D
Danilo
D
22
Emerson Royal
D
Emerson Royal
D
8
Saúl Ñíguez
70'
M
Saúl Ñíguez
70'
M
52
Evertton Araújo
60'
M
Evertton Araújo
60'
M
19
G. Plata
M
G. Plata
M
18
N. de la Cruz
70'
M
N. de la Cruz
70'
M
7
Luiz Araújo
60'
M
Luiz Araújo
60'
M
27
Bruno Henrique
2 ⚽
86'
F
Bruno Henrique
2 ⚽
86'
F
Bench
1
Agustín Rossi
G
Agustín Rossi
G
26
Alex Sandro
D
Alex Sandro
D
5
E. Pulgar
32'
M
E. Pulgar
32'
M
11
Everton
6'
F
Everton
6'
F
2
Guillermo Varela
D
Guillermo Varela
D
15
J. Carrascal
M
J. Carrascal
M
3
Léo Ortiz
D
Léo Ortiz
D
4
Léo Pereira
D
Léo Pereira
D
20
Lucas Paquetá
1 ⚽
22'
M
Lucas Paquetá
1 ⚽
22'
M
9
Pedro
1 👟
32'
F
Pedro
1 👟
32'
F
16
Samuel Lino
22'
M
Samuel Lino
22'
M
64
Wallace Yan
F
Wallace Yan
F
13
Andy Vidal
G
Andy Vidal
G
21
J. Zevallos
D
J. Zevallos
D
2
Carlos Gamarra
D
Carlos Gamarra
D
8
A. Fuentes
D
A. Fuentes
D
24
Marlon Ruidías
D
Marlon Ruidías
D
88
Diego Soto
45'
M
Diego Soto
45'
M
26
Nicolás Silva
45'
M
Nicolás Silva
45'
M
27
Gabriel Carabajal
M
Gabriel Carabajal
M
14
Carlo Diez
70'
M
Carlo Diez
70'
M
22
Lucas Colitto
M
Lucas Colitto
M
7
J. Manzaneda
57'
F
J. Manzaneda
57'
F
Bench
6
Alvaro Ampuero
22'
D
Alvaro Ampuero
22'
D
37
Gu-rum Choi
D
Gu-rum Choi
D
10
Iván Colman
35'
M
Iván Colman
35'
M
17
José Alí Gutiérrez
M
José Alí Gutiérrez
M
15
Jose Bolivar
D
Jose Bolivar
D
11
Juan Tévez
47'
F
Juan Tévez
47'
F
32
Julinho Astudillo
D
Julinho Astudillo
D
16
Oswaldo Valenzuela
47'
M
Oswaldo Valenzuela
47'
M
28
Pedro Diaz
G
Pedro Diaz
G
30
Sergio Quillahuaman
M
Sergio Quillahuaman
M
Best on the pitch
Bruno Henrique
F · Flamengo
8.70
2 ⚽
2 shots
· 17 pass
Ayrton Lucas
D · Flamengo
8.60
1 shots
· 61 pass
G. Plata
M · Flamengo
8.20
1 shots
· 50 pass
Andy Vidal
G · Cusco
7.70
· 27 pass
Danilo
D · Flamengo
7.60
· 85 pass
Lucas Paquetá
M · Flamengo
7.30
1 ⚽
2 shots
· 21 pass
Flamengo — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Andrew | G | 92 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 17 | 17% | — | — | — |
| Ayrton Lucas | D | 92 | 8.60 | — | — | 1 | 61 | 57% | 2 | — | — |
| Vitão | D | 92 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 75 | 72% | — | — | — |
| Danilo | D | 92 | 7.60 | — | — | — | 85 | 79% | — | — | — |
| Emerson Royal | D | 92 | 6.90 | — | — | 4 | 56 | 51% | 1 | — | — |
| Saúl Ñíguez | M | 70 | 7.20 | — | — | 2 | 54 | 49% | 2 | — | — |
| Evertton Araújo | M | 60 | 7.30 | — | — | 2 | 62 | 52% | 1 | — | — |
| G. Plata | M | 92 | 8.20 | — | — | 1 | 50 | 42% | 2 | — | — |
| N. de la Cruz | M | 70 | 6.70 | — | — | 3 | 36 | 29% | — | — | — |
| Luiz Araújo | M | 60 | 7.30 | — | — | 2 | 34 | 30% | 2 | — | — |
| Bruno Henrique | F | 86 | 8.70 | 2 | — | 2 | 17 | 15% | 2 | — | — |
| E. Pulgar | M | 32 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 24 | 23% | 1 | — | — |
| Everton | F | 6 | — | — | — | — | 2 | 2% | — | — | — |
| Lucas Paquetá | M | 22 | 7.30 | 1 | — | 2 | 21 | 18% | 1 | — | — |
| Pedro | F | 32 | 6.70 | — | 1 | 1 | 7 | 7% | 1 | — | — |
| Samuel Lino | M | 22 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 13 | 12% | 1 | — | — |
Cusco — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Andy Vidal | G | 92 | 7.70 | — | — | — | 27 | 16% | — | — | — |
| J. Zevallos | D | 92 | 6.00 | — | — | — | 22 | 22% | — | — | — |
| Carlos Gamarra | D | 92 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 28 | 18% | 2 | — | — |
| A. Fuentes | D | 92 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 24 | 17% | — | — | — |
| Marlon Ruidías | D | 92 | 6.00 | — | — | — | 35 | 28% | 2 | — | — |
| Diego Soto | M | 45 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 16 | 13% | — | 1 | — |
| Nicolás Silva | M | 45 | 6.70 | — | — | 1 | 9 | 8% | 1 | — | — |
| Gabriel Carabajal | M | 92 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 18 | 11% | — | 1 | — |
| Carlo Diez | M | 70 | 5.90 | — | — | 2 | 13 | 10% | — | 1 | — |
| Lucas Colitto | M | 92 | 6.50 | — | — | 1 | 19 | 15% | 2 | — | — |
| J. Manzaneda | F | 57 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 13 | 10% | — | — | — |
| Alvaro Ampuero | D | 22 | 5.60 | — | — | — | 11 | 10% | — | 1 | — |
| Iván Colman | M | 35 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 22 | 18% | 1 | — | — |
| Juan Tévez | F | 47 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 8 | 6% | — | 1 | — |
| Oswaldo Valenzuela | M | 47 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 17 | 17% | 1 | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Flamengo vs Cusco?
The final score was Flamengo 3–0 Cusco.
What did the model predict before Flamengo vs Cusco?
The model assigned 74% probability to a Flamengo win, 15% to a draw, and 9% to an Cusco win.