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Flamengo - Estudiantes L.P.

Copa Libertadores October 20, 2026 22:00
#1 · 16 pts
vs
#2 · 9 pts
⚡ Pre-match analysis
47.88%
Win
Flamengo
29.53%
Draw
22.59%
Win
Estudiantes L.P.
1.17
Expected xG
0.72

Market probabilities

Most likely result 1–0 (18.36%)
1X2 Result
1 48%
X 30%
2 23%
Double Chance
1X 77%
X2 52%
12 71%
Over / Under
Over 1.5 60%
Over 2.5 29%
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The ForzaPitch prediction gives Flamengo a 47% win probability, against 29% for a draw and 22% for Estudiantes L.P.. Expected goals are 1.2 for Flamengo and 0.7 for Estudiantes L.P. (total 1.9), with a 59% probability of Over 1.5 goals. The most likely scoreline is 1–0 at 18.36% probability. In 2 previous meetings, Flamengo have won 1 times, with 1 draws and 0 wins for Estudiantes L.P..

Season Stats

Flamengo
6W 3D 0L
Estudiantes L.P.
4W 5D 1L
Averages per game
1.9
Goals
1.2
0.6
Conceded
0.7
6.9
Shots OT
5.0
4.4
Corners
5.1
54%
Poss.
49%
Percentages
89%
O 1.5
70%
33%
O 2.5
20%
56%
BTTS
60%
44%
Clean Sht
30%
ℹ Based on the last 10 matches in Copa Libertadores. Bars use fixed scales (goals max 3.5, percentages 0–100%).

Venue Form

Goals signal (venue avg)
10%
O 3.5
50%
BTTS
Flamengo
4W 1D 0L · at home
Estudiantes L.P.
2W 2D 1L · away
2.2
gls/g
1.2
0.6
Conceded
0.6
80%
Win %
40%
100%
Win or Draw
80%
80%
O 1.5
60%
60%
O 2.5
20%
20%
O 3.5
0%
60%
BTTS
40%
40%
Clean Sht
40%
0%
Failed to Score
20%
last 5
ℹ Home team's record in home matches only · Away team's record in away matches only.

Score Matrix

↕ Flamengo Estudiantes L.P. →
0 1 2 3 4 5
0 15.2% 10.9% 3.9% 0.9% 0.2% —
1 17.7% 12.7% 4.6% 1.1% 0.2% —
2 10.4% 7.4% 2.7% 0.6% 0.1% —
3 4.0% 2.9% 1.0% 0.2% — —
4 1.2% 0.8% 0.3% 0.1% — —
5 0.3% 0.2% 0.1% — — —

Recent form

D Independiente del Valle 1–1
W Independiente del Valle 0–2
W Cruzeiro 2–1
D Cruzeiro 1–1
W Cusco 3–0
Home clean sheet (120 days) 33%
W Corinthians 0–1
D Corinthians 1–1
W U. Catolica 0–3
D U. Catolica 1–1
W Independiente Medellin 1–0
Away clean sheet (120 days) 28%

Playing profile

Flamengo Flamengo
Attack
46
Defence
76
Form
72
Estudiantes L.P. Estudiantes L.P.
Attack
44
Defence
73
Form
50
Indices on a 0–100 scale calculated by the model
Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win Flamengo vs Estudiantes L.P.?
The model gives Flamengo a 47% win probability, 29% for a draw, and 22% for an Estudiantes L.P. win.
How many goals are expected in Flamengo vs Estudiantes L.P.?
Expected goals: Flamengo 1.2, Estudiantes L.P. 0.7 (total 1.9). Probability of over 1.5 goals: 59%.
What is the most likely score in Flamengo vs Estudiantes L.P.?
1–0 is the most probable final score, with an estimated probability of 18.36%.