Flamengo - Independiente del Valle
Copa Libertadores
September 18, 2026 02:30
⚡ Pre-match analysis
60.4%
Win
Flamengo
19.43%
Draw
20.17%
Win
Independiente del Valle
2.14
1.15
Expected xG
Most likely outcome
Flamengo
60.4%
Probability
100.0%
1X2 accuracy · 2 predictions (3 months)
Market probabilities
Most likely result
2–1
(9.83%)
1X2 Result
1
60%
X
19%
2
20%
Double Chance
1X
80%
X2
40%
12
81%
Over / Under
Over 1.5
80%
Over 2.5
64%
The ForzaPitch prediction gives Flamengo a 60% win probability, against 19% for a draw and 20% for Independiente del Valle. Expected goals are 2.1 for Flamengo and 1.1 for Independiente del Valle (total 3.3), with a 80% probability of Over 1.5 goals. The most likely scoreline is 2–1 at 9.83% probability. In 1 previous meetings, Flamengo have won 1 times, with 0 draws and 0 wins for Independiente del Valle.
Season Stats
6W
2D
0L
6W
1D
2L
Averages per game
2.0
Goals
1.7
0.5
Conceded
1.0
7.4
Shots OT
6.1
4.4
Corners
6.8
54%
Poss.
55%
Percentages
88%
O 1.5
67%
38%
O 2.5
44%
50%
BTTS
44%
50%
Clean Sht
33%
ℹ
Based on the last 9 matches in Copa Libertadores. Bars use fixed scales (goals max 3.5, percentages 0–100%).
Venue Form
Goals signal (venue avg)
25%
O 3.5
38%
BTTS
4W
0D
0L
· at home
2W
1D
1L
· away
2.5
gls/g
1.0
0.5
Conceded
1.0
100%
Win %
50%
100%
Win or Draw
75%
75%
O 1.5
50%
75%
O 2.5
25%
25%
O 3.5
25%
50%
BTTS
25%
50%
Clean Sht
50%
0%
Failed to Score
50%
last 4
ℹ
Home team's record in home matches only · Away team's record in away matches only.
Score Matrix
↕ Flamengo
Independiente del Valle →
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 3.7% | 4.3% | 2.5% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| 1 | 8.0% | 9.2% | 5.3% | 2.0% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| 2 | 8.5% | 9.8% | 5.6% | 2.2% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| 3 | 6.1% | 7.0% | 4.0% | 1.5% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| 4 | 3.3% | 3.8% | 2.2% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| 5 | 1.4% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% | — |
Recent form
Playing profile
Flamengo
Attack
49
Defence
79
Form
76
Independiente del Valle
Attack
51
Defence
58
Form
63
Indices on a 0–100 scale calculated by the model
Head-to-Head
1
0
Draw
0
11 Sep 2026
2–0
Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win Flamengo vs Independiente del Valle?
The model gives Flamengo a 60% win probability, 19% for a draw, and 20% for an Independiente del Valle win.
How many goals are expected in Flamengo vs Independiente del Valle?
Expected goals: Flamengo 2.1, Independiente del Valle 1.1 (total 3.3). Probability of over 1.5 goals: 80%.
What is the most likely score in Flamengo vs Independiente del Valle?
2–1 is the most probable final score, with an estimated probability of 9.83%.