✗Model wrong — prediction Flamengo, result Draw
Giorgian de Arrascaeta
(ast. Agustín Rossi)
83'
31'
Djorkaeff Reascos
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Flamengo a 58% win probability (draw 21%, Independiente del Valle 20%). The final result was Flamengo 1–1 Independiente del Valle. In 1 previous meetings, Flamengo have won 1 times, with 0 draws and 0 wins for Independiente del Valle.
Match statistics
10
Total shots
8
3
Shots on target
4
3
Saves
2
52%
Possession
48%
5
Corners
3
19
Tackles
14
3
🟨 Yellow cards
1
1
🟥 Red cards
0
Match Events
31'
Djorkaeff Reascos⚽
Lucas Paquetá
53'
Jorginho
55'
58'
Mateo Carabajal
Lucas Paquetá
/ Giorgian de Arrascaeta
59'
Jorge Carrascal
/ Gonzalo Plata
59'
Jorginho
65'
Bruno Henrique
/ Saúl Ñíguez
70'
75'
Yandri Vásquez
/
Djorkaeff Reascos
Erick Pulgar
80'
83'
Ronald Briones
/
Matias Mijail Perello
⚽Giorgian de Arrascaeta
· ast. Agustín Rossi
83'
89'
Steven Daniel Góngora Palacios
/
Emerson Ivan Pata Rodríguez
Samuel Lino
/ Guillermo Varela
90'+1
Nicolas De la Cruz
90'+2
Pre-match prediction
58.91%
Flamengo
21.0%
X ←
20.09%
Independiente
✗ Wrong prediction —
we assigned to the actual result (Draw)
21.0%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.84
—
—
1.02
—
—
Lineups
1
Agustín Rossi
1 👟
G
Agustín Rossi
1 👟
G
6
Ayrton Lucas
D
Ayrton Lucas
D
4
Léo Pereira
D
Léo Pereira
D
3
Léo Ortiz
D
Léo Ortiz
D
22
Emerson Royal
D
Emerson Royal
D
21
Jorginho
65'
M
Jorginho
65'
M
5
Erick Pulgar
M
Erick Pulgar
M
16
Samuel Lino
M
Samuel Lino
M
20
Lucas Paquetá
59'
M
Lucas Paquetá
59'
M
15
J. Carrascal
59'
M
J. Carrascal
59'
M
27
Bruno Henrique
70'
F
Bruno Henrique
70'
F
Bench
26
Alex Sandro
D
Alex Sandro
D
42
Andrew
G
Andrew
G
13
Danilo
D
Danilo
D
10
Giorgian de Arrascaeta
1 ⚽
31'
M
Giorgian de Arrascaeta
1 ⚽
31'
M
19
Gonzalo Plata
31'
F
Gonzalo Plata
31'
F
2
Guillermo Varela
D
Guillermo Varela
D
30
Joaquín Freitas
F
Joaquín Freitas
F
7
Luiz Araújo
F
Luiz Araújo
F
18
N. de la Cruz
M
N. de la Cruz
M
9
Pedro Guilherme
F
Pedro Guilherme
F
8
Saúl
20'
M
Saúl
20'
M
44
Vitão
D
Vitão
D
1
A. Quintana
G
A. Quintana
G
19
L. Loor
D
L. Loor
D
5
R. Schunke
D
R. Schunke
D
14
M. Carabajal
D
M. Carabajal
D
13
Daykol Alejandro Romero Padilla
D
Daykol Alejandro Romero Padilla
D
6
J. Alcívar
M
J. Alcívar
M
31
Emerson Ivan Pata Rodríguez
89'
M
Emerson Ivan Pata Rodríguez
89'
M
10
J. Sornoza
M
J. Sornoza
M
28
H. Quintana
M
H. Quintana
M
11
M. Perelló
83'
M
M. Perelló
83'
M
99
D. Reasco
1 ⚽
75'
F
D. Reasco
1 ⚽
75'
F
Bench
33
Andy René Velasco García
D
Andy René Velasco García
D
17
A. Rodríguez
F
A. Rodríguez
F
56
E. Quintero
M
E. Quintero
M
15
G. Cortéz
D
G. Cortéz
D
4
J. Espinoza
D
J. Espinoza
D
32
J. Méndez
M
J. Méndez
M
70
M. Peralta
G
M. Peralta
G
16
R. Briones
7'
M
R. Briones
7'
M
8
Y. Ochoa
M
Y. Ochoa
M
52
Y. Vásquez
15'
F
Y. Vásquez
15'
F
Best on the pitch
Giorgian de Arrascaeta
M · Flamengo
8.01
1 ⚽
1 shots
· 9 pass
D. Reasco
F · Independiente
7.72
1 ⚽
1 shots
· 9 pass
Ayrton Lucas
D · Flamengo
6.99
1 shots
· 54 pass
R. Schunke
D · Independiente
6.93
· 73 pass
Léo Pereira
D · Flamengo
6.87
1 shots
· 74 pass
Emerson Royal
D · Flamengo
6.78
· 37 pass
Flamengo — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Agustín Rossi | G | 90 | 6.75 | — | 1 | 0 | 20 | 11% | 0 | — | — |
| Ayrton Lucas | D | 90 | 6.99 | — | — | 1 | 54 | 50% | 2 | — | — |
| Léo Pereira | D | 90 | 6.87 | — | — | 1 | 74 | 68% | 1 | — | — |
| Léo Ortiz | D | 90 | 6.49 | — | — | 1 | 61 | 52% | 1 | — | — |
| Emerson Royal | D | 90 | 6.78 | — | — | 0 | 37 | 36% | 1 | — | — |
| Jorginho | M | 65 | 6.20 | — | — | 0 | 60 | 55% | 1 | — | 1 |
| Erick Pulgar | M | 90 | 6.39 | — | — | 2 | 53 | 46% | 1 | 1 | — |
| Samuel Lino | M | 91 | 6.68 | — | — | 2 | 43 | 32% | 4 | — | — |
| Lucas Paquetá | M | 59 | 6.40 | — | — | 0 | 29 | 21% | 4 | 1 | — |
| J. Carrascal | M | 59 | 6.34 | — | — | 0 | 24 | 19% | 0 | — | — |
| Bruno Henrique | F | 70 | 6.30 | — | — | 2 | 8 | 6% | 1 | — | — |
| Giorgian de Arrascaeta | M | 31 | 8.01 | 1 | — | 1 | 9 | 7% | 1 | — | — |
| Gonzalo Plata | F | 31 | 6.61 | — | — | 0 | 9 | 8% | 2 | — | — |
| Saúl | M | 20 | 6.25 | — | — | 0 | 0 | 0% | 0 | — | — |
Independiente del Valle — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A. Quintana | G | 90 | 6.61 | — | — | 0 | 22 | 15% | 0 | — | — |
| L. Loor | D | 90 | 6.24 | — | — | 0 | 37 | 30% | 0 | — | — |
| R. Schunke | D | 90 | 6.93 | — | — | 0 | 73 | 66% | 2 | — | — |
| M. Carabajal | D | 90 | 6.52 | — | — | 2 | 64 | 56% | 1 | 1 | — |
| Daykol Alejandro Romero Padilla | D | 90 | 6.35 | — | — | 0 | 42 | 32% | 0 | — | — |
| J. Alcívar | M | 90 | 6.31 | — | — | 0 | 45 | 34% | 3 | — | — |
| Emerson Ivan Pata Rodríguez | M | 89 | 6.43 | — | — | 3 | 22 | 19% | 3 | — | — |
| J. Sornoza | M | 90 | 6.63 | — | — | 1 | 52 | 48% | 0 | — | — |
| H. Quintana | M | 90 | 6.36 | — | — | 0 | 26 | 19% | 1 | — | — |
| M. Perelló | M | 83 | 5.86 | — | — | 0 | 21 | 10% | 4 | — | — |
| D. Reasco | F | 75 | 7.72 | 1 | — | 1 | 9 | 8% | 0 | — | — |
| R. Briones | M | 7 | 6.20 | — | — | 0 | 6 | 4% | 0 | — | — |
| Y. Vásquez | F | 15 | 6.75 | — | — | 1 | 3 | 3% | 0 | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Flamengo vs Independiente del Valle?
The final score was Flamengo 1–1 Independiente del Valle.
What did the model predict before Flamengo vs Independiente del Valle?
The model assigned 58% probability to a Flamengo win, 21% to a draw, and 20% to an Independiente del Valle win.