Brasileirão Série A
· Regular Season - 4
September 03, 2026 00:30
✓Model correct — prediction Flamengo
Jorge Carrascal
(ast. Pedro)
14'
Lucas Paquetá
(ast. Jorge Carrascal)
43'
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Flamengo a 73% win probability (draw 17%, Mirassol 9%). The final result was Flamengo 2–0 Mirassol. In 1 previous meetings, Flamengo have won 1 times, with 0 draws and 0 wins for Mirassol.
Match statistics
14
Total shots
8
4
Shots on target
2
2
Saves
2
56%
Possession
44%
9
Corners
7
19
Tackles
16
0
🟨 Yellow cards
2
Match Events
⚽Jorge Carrascal
· ast. Pedro
14'
Erick Pulgar
/ Evertton Araújo
31'
⚽Lucas Paquetá
· ast. Jorge Carrascal
43'
Evertton Araújo
/ Giorgian de Arrascaeta
45'
45'
Alex Muralha
/
Walter Leandro Capeloza Artune
45'
Shaylon Kallyson Cardozo
/
Carlos Eduardo
62'
Rafael Silva Guanaes
66'
João Victor Carroll Santana
66'
Lira Nogueira Elias
/
Igor Formiga
Pedro
/ Bruno Henrique
73'
Jorge Carrascal
/ Saúl Ñíguez
73'
79'
Chico Kim
/
Gustavo Cazonatti
79'
Bruno Santos de Oliveira
/
André Luis
81'
Denilson Alves Borges
Samuel Lino
/ Everton
82'
Pre-match prediction
73.32%
Flamengo ←
17.01%
X
9.67%
Mirassol
✓ Correct prediction —
we assigned to the actual result (Flamengo)
73.32%
(high confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
2.11
—
—
0.57
—
—
Lineups
1
Agustín Rossi
G
Agustín Rossi
G
6
Ayrton Lucas
D
Ayrton Lucas
D
4
Léo Pereira
D
Léo Pereira
D
3
Léo Ortiz
D
Léo Ortiz
D
2
Guillermo Varela
D
Guillermo Varela
D
21
Jorginho
M
Jorginho
M
5
Erick Pulgar
31'
M
Erick Pulgar
31'
M
16
Samuel Lino
82'
M
Samuel Lino
82'
M
20
Lucas Paquetá
1 ⚽
M
Lucas Paquetá
1 ⚽
M
15
J. Carrascal
1 ⚽
1 👟
73'
M
J. Carrascal
1 ⚽
1 👟
73'
M
9
Pedro Guilherme
1 👟
73'
F
Pedro Guilherme
1 👟
73'
F
Bench
42
Andrew
G
Andrew
G
27
Bruno Henrique
17'
F
Bruno Henrique
17'
F
13
Danilo
D
Danilo
D
49
Dyogo Alves
G
Dyogo Alves
G
22
Emerson Royal
D
Emerson Royal
D
11
Everton
8'
F
Everton
8'
F
52
Evertton Araujo
14'
M
Evertton Araujo
14'
M
10
Giorgian de Arrascaeta
45'
M
Giorgian de Arrascaeta
45'
M
77
Johnny Goes
D
Johnny Goes
D
99
Lorran
M
Lorran
M
7
Luiz Araújo
F
Luiz Araújo
F
8
Saúl
17'
M
Saúl
17'
M
22
Walter
45'
G
Walter
45'
G
6
Reinaldo
D
Reinaldo
D
3
Willian Machado
D
Willian Machado
D
34
João Victor
D
João Victor
D
44
Gabriel
D
Gabriel
D
32
Igor Formiga
66'
D
Igor Formiga
66'
D
17
Fernandinho
M
Fernandinho
M
55
Gustavo Cazonatti
79'
M
Gustavo Cazonatti
79'
M
27
Denilson
M
Denilson
M
96
Carlos Eduardo
45'
M
Carlos Eduardo
45'
M
9
André Luís
79'
F
André Luís
79'
F
Bench
77
Alesson
F
Alesson
F
23
Alex Muralha
45'
G
Alex Muralha
45'
G
30
Bruno Santos
11'
F
Bruno Santos
11'
F
10
Chico
11'
M
Chico
11'
M
20
Daniel Borges
D
Daniel Borges
D
18
Elias
24'
D
Elias
24'
D
19
Gustavo Silva
M
Gustavo Silva
M
5
Japa
M
Japa
M
2
Lucas Oliveira
D
Lucas Oliveira
D
7
Shaylon
45'
M
Shaylon
45'
M
12
Victor Luís
D
Victor Luís
D
80
Wallisson
M
Wallisson
M
Best on the pitch
J. Carrascal
M · Flamengo
8.66
1 ⚽ 1 👟
1 shots
· 30 pass
Lucas Paquetá
M · Flamengo
8.01
1 ⚽
4 shots
· 69 pass
Pedro Guilherme
F · Flamengo
7.43
1 👟
1 shots
· 21 pass
Willian Machado
D · Mirassol
7.28
· 72 pass
Léo Pereira
D · Flamengo
7.26
1 shots
· 96 pass
Samuel Lino
M · Flamengo
7.20
2 shots
· 30 pass
Flamengo — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Agustín Rossi | G | 90 | 7.00 | — | — | 0 | 31 | 25% | 0 | — | — |
| Ayrton Lucas | D | 90 | 7.12 | — | — | 0 | 54 | 47% | 0 | — | — |
| Léo Pereira | D | 90 | 7.26 | — | — | 1 | 96 | 90% | 2 | — | — |
| Léo Ortiz | D | 90 | 6.83 | — | — | 1 | 84 | 80% | 1 | — | — |
| Guillermo Varela | D | 90 | 6.67 | — | — | 1 | 46 | 42% | 2 | — | — |
| Jorginho | M | 90 | 6.99 | — | — | 2 | 89 | 80% | 0 | — | — |
| Erick Pulgar | M | 31 | 7.11 | — | — | 0 | 34 | 32% | 0 | — | — |
| Samuel Lino | M | 82 | 7.20 | — | — | 2 | 30 | 28% | 3 | — | — |
| Lucas Paquetá | M | 90 | 8.01 | 1 | — | 4 | 69 | 54% | 3 | — | — |
| J. Carrascal | M | 73 | 8.66 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 30 | 26% | 3 | — | — |
| Pedro Guilherme | F | 73 | 7.43 | — | 1 | 1 | 21 | 15% | 0 | — | — |
| Bruno Henrique | F | 17 | 6.38 | — | — | 0 | 4 | 2% | 0 | — | — |
| Everton | F | 8 | 6.47 | — | — | 0 | 4 | 4% | 0 | — | — |
| Evertton Araujo | M | 14 | 6.57 | — | — | 0 | 7 | 7% | 2 | — | — |
| Giorgian de Arrascaeta | M | 45 | 6.39 | — | — | 1 | 26 | 21% | 1 | — | — |
| Saúl | M | 17 | 6.51 | — | — | 0 | 9 | 5% | 2 | — | — |
Mirassol — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Walter | G | 45 | 5.73 | — | — | 0 | 17 | 15% | 0 | — | — |
| Reinaldo | D | 90 | 7.10 | — | — | 1 | 30 | 24% | 1 | — | — |
| Willian Machado | D | 90 | 7.28 | — | — | 0 | 72 | 66% | 4 | — | — |
| João Victor | D | 90 | 6.07 | — | — | 0 | 53 | 51% | 2 | 1 | — |
| Gabriel | D | 90 | 6.41 | — | — | 0 | 47 | 40% | 1 | — | — |
| Igor Formiga | D | 66 | 6.32 | — | — | 2 | 27 | 24% | 1 | — | — |
| Fernandinho | M | 90 | 6.47 | — | — | 1 | 24 | 21% | 3 | — | — |
| Gustavo Cazonatti | M | 79 | 6.34 | — | — | 0 | 43 | 37% | 0 | — | — |
| Denilson | M | 90 | 6.63 | — | — | 1 | 66 | 63% | 0 | 1 | — |
| Carlos Eduardo | M | 45 | 6.05 | — | — | 0 | 8 | 6% | 0 | — | — |
| André Luís | F | 79 | 6.13 | — | — | 1 | 19 | 14% | 1 | — | — |
| Alex Muralha | G | 45 | 5.81 | — | — | 0 | 11 | 9% | 0 | — | — |
| Bruno Santos | F | 11 | 6.87 | — | — | 1 | 8 | 6% | 0 | — | — |
| Chico | M | 11 | 6.20 | — | — | 0 | 20 | 17% | 2 | — | — |
| Elias | D | 24 | 6.19 | — | — | 0 | 10 | 8% | 0 | — | — |
| Shaylon | M | 45 | 6.45 | — | — | 1 | 28 | 25% | 1 | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Flamengo vs Mirassol?
The final score was Flamengo 2–0 Mirassol.
What did the model predict before Flamengo vs Mirassol?
The model assigned 73% probability to a Flamengo win, 17% to a draw, and 9% to an Mirassol win.