Brasileirão Série A
· Regular Season - 17
May 24, 2026 02:00
38'
(ast. Allan Elias)
J. Lopez
57'
Allan Elias
90'+5
(ast. Jefte)
Paulinho
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Flamengo a 53% win probability (draw 23%, Palmeiras 23%). The final result was Flamengo 0–3 Palmeiras.
Match statistics
12
Total shots
9
3
Shots on target
6
1.14
Actual xG
0.83
3
Saves
3
48%
Possession
52%
8
Corners
4
14
Tackles
15
3
🟨 Yellow cards
6
1
🟥 Red cards
0
Match Events
J. Carrascal
21'
Lucas Paqueta
29'
32'
Andreas Pereira
38'
ast. Allan Elias ·
J. Lopez⚽
40'
J. Lopez
Evertton Araujo
/ Bruno Henrique
46'
57'
Allan Elias⚽
61'
J. Arias
Bruno Henrique
65'
Samuel Lino
/ G. Plata
68'
72'
Carlos Miguel
75'
Felipe Anderson
/
J. Arias
75'
Mauricio
/
Andreas Pereira
Lucas Paqueta
/ N. de la Cruz
81'
81'
Paulinho
/
Allan Elias
81'
Jefte
/
Arthur Gabriel
Jorginho
/ S. Niguez
87'
Pedro
/ Wallace Yan
87'
87'
A. Giay
90'+1
Lucas Evangelista
/
J. Lopez
N. de la Cruz
90'+2
90'+5
ast. Jefte ·
Paulinho⚽
90'+8
Paulinho
Wallace Yan
90'+10
Leo Pereira
90'+10
Pre-match prediction
53.45%
Flamengo
23.4%
X
23.15%
Palmeiras ←
we assigned to the actual result (Palmeiras)
23.15%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.77
1.14
-0.63
1.01
0.83
-0.18
Flamengo dominated by xG (1.14 vs 0.83).
The final result does not reflect the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
1
Agustín Rossi
G
Agustín Rossi
G
26
Alex Sandro
D
Alex Sandro
D
4
Léo Pereira
D
Léo Pereira
D
3
Léo Ortiz
D
Léo Ortiz
D
2
Guillermo Varela
D
Guillermo Varela
D
21
Jorginho
87'
M
Jorginho
87'
M
52
Evertton Araújo
45'
M
Evertton Araújo
45'
M
16
Samuel Lino
68'
M
Samuel Lino
68'
M
20
Lucas Paquetá
81'
M
Lucas Paquetá
81'
M
15
J. Carrascal
21'
M
J. Carrascal
21'
M
9
Pedro
87'
F
Pedro
87'
F
Bench
42
Andrew
G
Andrew
G
6
Ayrton Lucas
D
Ayrton Lucas
D
27
Bruno Henrique
53'
F
Bruno Henrique
53'
F
49
Dyogo Alves
G
Dyogo Alves
G
22
Emerson Royal
D
Emerson Royal
D
5
E. Pulgar
M
E. Pulgar
M
19
G. Plata
30'
F
G. Plata
30'
F
7
Luiz Araújo
F
Luiz Araújo
F
18
N. de la Cruz
17'
M
N. de la Cruz
17'
M
8
Saúl Ñíguez
11'
M
Saúl Ñíguez
11'
M
44
Vitão
D
Vitão
D
64
Wallace Yan
11'
F
Wallace Yan
11'
F
1
Carlos Miguel
G
Carlos Miguel
G
56
Arthur Gabriel
81'
D
Arthur Gabriel
81'
D
26
Murilo
D
Murilo
D
15
Gustavo Gómez
D
Gustavo Gómez
D
4
Agustín Giay
D
Agustín Giay
D
17
Marlon Freitas
M
Marlon Freitas
M
32
Emiliano Martínez
M
Emiliano Martínez
M
11
Jhon Arias
75'
M
Jhon Arias
75'
M
8
Andreas Pereira
75'
M
Andreas Pereira
75'
M
40
Allan
1 ⚽
1 👟
81'
M
Allan
1 ⚽
1 👟
81'
M
42
J. López
1 ⚽
F
J. López
1 ⚽
F
Bench
45
Erick Belé
M
Erick Belé
M
7
Felipe Anderson
23'
M
Felipe Anderson
23'
M
6
Jefté
1 👟
17'
D
Jefté
1 👟
17'
D
12
Khellven
D
Khellven
D
48
Larson
M
Larson
M
30
Lucas Evangelista
7'
M
Lucas Evangelista
7'
M
31
Luighi Hanri
F
Luighi Hanri
F
50
Luis Pacheco
M
Luis Pacheco
M
14
Marcelo Lomba
G
Marcelo Lomba
G
18
Mauricio
23'
M
Mauricio
23'
M
10
Paulinho
1 ⚽
17'
F
Paulinho
1 ⚽
17'
F
37
Riquelme Fillipi
F
Riquelme Fillipi
F
Best on the pitch
J. López
F · Palmeiras
7.90
1 ⚽
2 shots
· 18 pass
Allan
M · Palmeiras
7.90
1 ⚽ 1 👟
1 shots
· 28 pass
Samuel Lino
M · Flamengo
7.70
3 shots
· 31 pass
Paulinho
F · Palmeiras
7.60
1 ⚽
1 shots
· 9 pass
Gustavo Gómez
D · Palmeiras
7.60
· 75 pass
Marlon Freitas
M · Palmeiras
7.30
1 shots
· 80 pass
Flamengo — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Agustín Rossi | G | 98 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 17 | 14% | — | — | — |
| Alex Sandro | D | 98 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 45 | 38% | — | — | — |
| Léo Pereira | D | 98 | 6.70 | — | — | 1 | 64 | 51% | 4 | — | — |
| Léo Ortiz | D | 98 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 59 | 57% | — | — | — |
| Guillermo Varela | D | 98 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 40 | 40% | — | — | — |
| Jorginho | M | 87 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 55 | 49% | 4 | — | — |
| Evertton Araújo | M | 45 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 35 | 33% | 1 | — | — |
| Samuel Lino | M | 68 | 7.70 | — | — | 3 | 31 | 29% | 2 | — | — |
| Lucas Paquetá | M | 81 | 6.70 | — | — | 5 | 45 | 36% | 3 | 1 | — |
| J. Carrascal | M | 21 | 3.50 | — | — | — | 17 | 15% | — | — | 1 |
| Pedro | F | 87 | 7.00 | — | — | 1 | 20 | 15% | — | — | — |
| Bruno Henrique | F | 53 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 14 | 13% | — | 1 | — |
| G. Plata | F | 30 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 11 | 9% | — | — | — |
| N. de la Cruz | M | 17 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 6 | 6% | — | 1 | — |
| Saúl Ñíguez | M | 11 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 2 | 1% | — | — | — |
| Wallace Yan | F | 11 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 3 | 1% | — | — | — |
Palmeiras — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Carlos Miguel | G | 98 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 23 | 22% | — | 1 | — |
| Arthur Gabriel | D | 81 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 31 | 24% | 4 | — | — |
| Murilo | D | 98 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 62 | 55% | — | — | — |
| Gustavo Gómez | D | 98 | 7.60 | — | — | — | 75 | 71% | 2 | — | — |
| Agustín Giay | D | 98 | 7.00 | — | — | 1 | 39 | 33% | 2 | 1 | — |
| Marlon Freitas | M | 98 | 7.30 | — | — | 1 | 80 | 77% | — | — | — |
| Emiliano Martínez | M | 98 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 79 | 73% | 3 | — | — |
| Jhon Arias | M | 75 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 32 | 30% | — | 1 | — |
| Andreas Pereira | M | 75 | 6.20 | — | — | 1 | 30 | 27% | — | 1 | — |
| Allan | M | 81 | 7.90 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 28 | 24% | 3 | — | — |
| J. López | F | 91 | 7.90 | 1 | — | 2 | 18 | 13% | — | 1 | — |
| Felipe Anderson | M | 23 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 12 | 11% | — | — | — |
| Jefté | D | 17 | 6.90 | — | 1 | — | 7 | 7% | — | — | — |
| Lucas Evangelista | M | 7 | — | — | — | — | 2 | 2% | 1 | — | — |
| Mauricio | M | 23 | 6.70 | — | — | 1 | 9 | 7% | — | — | — |
| Paulinho | F | 17 | 7.60 | 1 | — | 1 | 9 | 9% | — | 1 | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Flamengo vs Palmeiras?
The final score was Flamengo 0–3 Palmeiras.
What did the model predict before Flamengo vs Palmeiras?
The model assigned 53% probability to a Flamengo win, 23% to a draw, and 23% to an Palmeiras win.