Brasileirão Série A
· Regular Season - 10
April 05, 2026 22:30
Pedro
(ast. J. Carrascal)
64'
Jorginho
71'
(pen.)
Lucas Paqueta
(ast. G. Plata)
89'
48'
(ast. C. Oliva)
L. Diaz
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Flamengo a 46% win probability (draw 29%, Santos 24%). The final result was Flamengo 3–1 Santos.
Match statistics
11
Total shots
7
4
Shots on target
2
2.07
Actual xG
0.71
1
Saves
1
63%
Possession
37%
2
Corners
7
8
Tackles
16
0
🟨 Yellow cards
2
Match Events
48'
ast. C. Oliva ·
L. Diaz⚽
53'
Gabriel Bontempo
57'
⚽Pedro
· ast. J. Carrascal
64'
Samuel Lino
/ Bruno Henrique
65'
Evertton Araujo
/ Lucas Paqueta
65'
67'
Álvaro Barreal
⚽Jorginho
(pen.)
71'
72'
Willian Arao
/
C. Oliva
72'
Gabriel Barbosa
/
Ze Ivaldo
72'
Moises
/
Thaciano
J. Carrascal
/ G. Plata
81'
Pedro
/ Luiz Araujo
82'
82'
B. Rollheiser
/
A. Barreal
G. de Arrascaeta
/ N. de la Cruz
86'
⚽Lucas Paqueta
· ast. G. Plata
89'
90'+6
Ze Rafael
/
Gabriel Bontempo
Pre-match prediction
46.25%
Flamengo ←
29.5%
X
24.26%
Santos
we assigned to the actual result (Flamengo)
46.25%
(medium confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.50
2.07
+0.57
0.73
0.71
-0.02
Flamengo dominated by xG (2.07 vs 0.71).
The final result reflects the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
1
G
6
Ayrton Lucas
D
Ayrton Lucas
D
4
Léo Pereira
D
Léo Pereira
D
3
Léo Ortiz
D
Léo Ortiz
D
2
D
21
Jorginho
1 ⚽
M
Jorginho
1 ⚽
M
52
Evertton Araujo
65'
M
Evertton Araujo
65'
M
16
Samuel Lino
65'
M
Samuel Lino
65'
M
10
Giorgian de Arrascaeta
86'
M
Giorgian de Arrascaeta
86'
M
15
Jorge Carrascal
1 👟
81'
M
Jorge Carrascal
1 👟
81'
M
9
Pedro
1 ⚽
82'
F
Pedro
1 ⚽
82'
F
Bench
42
Andrew
G
Andrew
G
27
Bruno Henrique
25'
F
Bruno Henrique
25'
F
22
Emerson Royal
D
Emerson Royal
D
19
Gonzalo Plata
1 👟
9'
F
Gonzalo Plata
1 👟
9'
F
20
Lucas Paquetá
1 ⚽
25'
M
Lucas Paquetá
1 ⚽
25'
M
7
Luiz Araújo
8'
F
Luiz Araújo
8'
F
18
N. de la Cruz
17'
M
N. de la Cruz
17'
M
77
Gabriel Brazão
G
Gabriel Brazão
G
31
Gonzalo Escobar
D
Gonzalo Escobar
D
14
Luan Peres
D
Luan Peres
D
4
Lucas Veríssimo
D
Lucas Veríssimo
D
2
Zé Ivaldo
72'
D
Zé Ivaldo
72'
D
48
Gustavo Henrique Pereira
M
Gustavo Henrique Pereira
M
16
Thaciano
72'
M
Thaciano
72'
M
22
Álvaro Barreal
82'
M
Álvaro Barreal
82'
M
28
Christian Oliva
1 👟
72'
M
Christian Oliva
1 👟
72'
M
49
Gabriel Bontempo
89'
M
Gabriel Bontempo
89'
M
19
Lautaro Díaz
1 ⚽
F
Lautaro Díaz
1 ⚽
F
Bench
32
Benjamín Rollheiser
8'
F
Benjamín Rollheiser
8'
F
1
Diogenes
G
Diogenes
G
9
Gabriel Barbosa
18'
F
Gabriel Barbosa
18'
F
5
João Schmidt
M
João Schmidt
M
21
Moisés
18'
F
Moisés
18'
F
38
Rafael Gonzaga
D
Rafael Gonzaga
D
15
Willian Arão
18'
M
Willian Arão
18'
M
Best on the pitch
Jorginho
M · Flamengo
8.20
1 ⚽
1 shots
· 81 pass
Lucas Paquetá
M · Flamengo
8.20
1 ⚽
1 shots
· 23 pass
Pedro
F · Flamengo
7.90
1 ⚽
1 shots
· 17 pass
Léo Pereira
D · Flamengo
7.70
1 shots
· 85 pass
Léo Ortiz
D · Flamengo
7.50
· 86 pass
Luiz Araújo
F · Flamengo
7.30
· 9 pass
Flamengo — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | 90 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 31 | 25% | — | — | — | |
| Ayrton Lucas | D | 90 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 38 | 35% | — | — | — |
| Léo Pereira | D | 90 | 7.70 | — | — | 1 | 85 | 79% | — | — | — |
| Léo Ortiz | D | 90 | 7.50 | — | — | — | 86 | 79% | 1 | — | — |
| D | 90 | 7.20 | — | — | 1 | 64 | 51% | — | — | — | |
| Jorginho | M | 90 | 8.20 | 1 | — | 1 | 81 | 76% | — | — | — |
| Evertton Araujo | M | 65 | 7.00 | — | — | 1 | 62 | 55% | 1 | — | — |
| Samuel Lino | M | 65 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 25 | 21% | — | — | — |
| Giorgian de Arrascaeta | M | 86 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 27 | 20% | — | — | — |
| Jorge Carrascal | M | 81 | 7.30 | — | 1 | 2 | 37 | 32% | 2 | — | — |
| Pedro | F | 82 | 7.90 | 1 | — | 1 | 17 | 14% | — | — | — |
| Bruno Henrique | F | 25 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 7 | 5% | 1 | — | — |
| Gonzalo Plata | F | 9 | 6.90 | — | 1 | 1 | 9 | 9% | 1 | — | — |
| Lucas Paquetá | M | 25 | 8.20 | 1 | — | 1 | 23 | 18% | — | — | — |
| Luiz Araújo | F | 8 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 9 | 9% | 2 | — | — |
| N. de la Cruz | M | 17 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 15 | 14% | — | — | — |
Santos — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gabriel Brazão | G | 90 | 6.00 | — | — | — | 18 | 10% | — | — | — |
| Gonzalo Escobar | D | 90 | 5.90 | — | — | 2 | 39 | 32% | 2 | — | — |
| Luan Peres | D | 90 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 34 | 29% | 1 | — | — |
| Lucas Veríssimo | D | 90 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 27 | 24% | 2 | — | — |
| Zé Ivaldo | D | 72 | 6.00 | — | — | — | 10 | 6% | — | — | — |
| Gustavo Henrique Pereira | M | 90 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 30 | 26% | 2 | — | — |
| Thaciano | M | 72 | 6.20 | — | — | 2 | 16 | 7% | 1 | — | — |
| Álvaro Barreal | M | 82 | 6.00 | — | — | — | 24 | 16% | 1 | 1 | — |
| Christian Oliva | M | 72 | 6.90 | — | 1 | — | 19 | 12% | 2 | — | — |
| Gabriel Bontempo | M | 89 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 30 | 23% | 2 | 1 | — |
| Lautaro Díaz | F | 90 | 7.30 | 1 | — | 2 | 19 | 15% | 1 | — | — |
| Benjamín Rollheiser | F | 8 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 21 | 19% | — | — | — |
| Gabriel Barbosa | F | 18 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 22 | 21% | — | — | — |
| Moisés | F | 18 | 6.60 | — | — | 1 | 12 | 9% | — | — | — |
| Willian Arão | M | 18 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 21 | 15% | 2 | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Flamengo vs Santos?
The final score was Flamengo 3–1 Santos.
What did the model predict before Flamengo vs Santos?
The model assigned 46% probability to a Flamengo win, 29% to a draw, and 24% to an Santos win.